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Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2018 financial report and earnings call: What to expect

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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is set to release its financial report for the second quarter after markets close on Wednesday, August 1, 2018, followed by its Q2 2018 earnings call at 2:30 p.m. PST (5:30 p.m. EST).

With a vast majority of the second-quarter spent pushing volume production of Model 3, questions are abounding if vehicle demand matches company claims and if Tesla is finally on its way to profitability. Arguably, the elephant in the room will be indicators on whether the company will have to raise more capital due to what Wall Street analysts widely regard as Tesla’s cash flow challenges. Here is an outline of things to expect in Tesla’s Q2 2018 financial results and earnings call.

Tesla’s Losses and Revenue

Considering that the electric car maker continued to invest heavily in the Model 3 ramp over Q2, a consensus among Wall Street analysts suggest that Tesla would be reporting a loss of $2.81 per share. Among 21 analysts, the range for expectations made public about the company’s losses for the second quarter spans from a loss of $3.44 to $1.71 per share.

Wall Street analysts estimate that Tesla would post revenue of around $3.97 billion, which is significantly higher than the $2.79 billion the company posted for the second quarter of 2017. If analysts’ predictions are correct, Tesla would be able to post a year-on-year growth of $42.3%. Ultimately, Tesla’s revenue would be a compelling point in the company’s financial report, validating CEO Elon Musk’s narrative that the electric car and energy company continues to see strong demand in the past seven quarters. Tesla’s revenue has increased sequentially in each of the last six quarters as well.

Model 3 Ramp and Delivery Guidance

Tesla is expected to give an update on the current state of Model 3 production. With the electric car maker managing to hit its self-imposed target of manufacturing 5,000 Model 3 per week in a “burst build effort” during the final week of June, questions are now abounding about the company’s capability to exceed this production rate.

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Tesla’s plans and strategies for the delivery of the Model 3 are also expected to be discussed in the Q2 earnings call. With the company recently selling its 200,000th vehicle in the United States, Tesla would likely provide delivery guidance for the Model 3 as the $7,500 federal tax credit starts its phase-out period.

Tesla Energy

Tesla Energy has slowly been growing in the background as the company’s electric car business stayed in the limelight. Over the past months, Tesla has teased several key developments in its Energy business. During the 2018 Annual Shareholder Meeting, Elon Musk mentioned that the company is on pace to “cross a key battery-cost threshold of $100-per-kilowatt-hour later this year.” Such a milestone could cut the cost of its upcoming products such as the Model Y, while pushing Tesla forward as a leader in battery technology.

Updates on large-scale Tesla Energy initiatives, including a 1 GWh scale energy project that Musk teased in the Shareholder Meeting, as well as the South Australia virtual power plant, would likely be discussed as well.

Financial Guidance

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has made his stance clear during the now-infamous Q1 2018 earnings call that he does not intend to raise capital this year. Musk has also reiterated his prediction that Tesla would be profitable in the third or fourth quarter of 2018. This goal, however, hinges on the successful ramp of the Model 3.

During Tesla’s update on vehicle deliveries for Q1, the company stated that the 5,000 Model 3 per week milestone is expected to lay “the groundwork for Q3 to have the long-sought ideal combination of high volume, good gross margin, and strong positive operating cash flow.” Tesla’s Q2 2018 earnings call would likely cover how the company plans to hit the green for the second half of the year.

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A webcast of Tesla’s Q2 2018 earnings call could be accessed here on Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. PST (5:30 p.m. EST).

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Tesla investors will be shocked by Jim Cramer’s latest assessment

Jim Cramer is now speaking positively about Tesla, especially in terms of its Robotaxi performance and its perception as a company.

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Credit: CNBC Television/YouTube

Tesla investors will be shocked by analyst Jim Cramer’s latest assessment of the company.

When it comes to Tesla analysts, many of them are consistent. The bulls usually stay the bulls, and the bears usually stay the bears. The notable analysts on each side are Dan Ives and Adam Jonas for the bulls, and Gordon Johnson for the bears.

Jim Cramer is one analyst who does not necessarily fit this mold. Cramer, who hosts CNBC’s Mad Money, has switched his opinion on Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) many times.

He has been bullish, like he was when he said the stock was a “sleeping giant” two years ago, and he has been bearish, like he was when he said there was “nothing magnificent” about the company just a few months ago.

Now, he is back to being a bull.

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Cramer’s comments were related to two key points: how NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang describes Tesla after working closely with the Company through their transactions, and how it is not a car company, as well as the recent launch of the Robotaxi fleet.

Jensen Huang’s Tesla Narrative

Cramer says that the narrative on quarterly and annual deliveries is overblown, and those who continue to worry about Tesla’s performance on that metric are misled.

“It’s not a car company,” he said.

He went on to say that people like Huang speak highly of Tesla, and that should be enough to deter any true skepticism:

“I believe what Musk says cause Musk is working with Jensen and Jensen’s telling me what’s happening on the other side is pretty amazing.”

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Tesla self-driving development gets huge compliment from NVIDIA CEO

Robotaxi Launch

Many media outlets are being extremely negative regarding the early rollout of Tesla’s Robotaxi platform in Austin, Texas.

There have been a handful of small issues, but nothing significant. Cramer says that humans make mistakes in vehicles too, yet, when Tesla’s test phase of the Robotaxi does it, it’s front page news and needs to be magnified.

He said:

“Look, I mean, drivers make mistakes all the time. Why should we hold Tesla to a standard where there can be no mistakes?”

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It’s refreshing to hear Cramer speak logically about the Robotaxi fleet, as Tesla has taken every measure to ensure there are no mishaps. There are safety monitors in the passenger seat, and the area of travel is limited, confined to a small number of people.

Tesla is still improving and hopes to remove teleoperators and safety monitors slowly, as CEO Elon Musk said more freedom could be granted within one or two months.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets $475 price target from Benchmark amid initial Robotaxi rollout

Tesla’s limited rollout of its Robotaxi service in Austin is already catching the eye of Wall Street.

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Credit: Tesla

Venture capital firm Benchmark recently reiterated its “Buy” rating and raised its price target on Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) from $350 to $475 per share, citing the company’s initial Robotaxi service deployment as a sign of future growth potential.

Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg praised the Robotaxi service pilot’s “controlled and safety-first approach,” adding that it could help Tesla earn the trust of regulators and the general public.

Confidence in camera-based autonomy

Legg reiterated Benchmark’s belief in Tesla’s vision-only approach to autonomous driving. “We are a believer in Tesla’s camera-focused approach that is not only cost effective but also scalable,” he noted. 

The analyst contrasted Tesla’s simple setup with the more expensive hardware stacks used by competitors like Waymo, which use various sophisticated sensors that hike up costs, as noted in an Investing.com report. Compared to Tesla’s Model Y Robotaxis, Waymo’s self-driving cars are significantly more expensive.

He also pointed to upcoming Texas regulations set to take effect in September, suggesting they could help create a regulatory framework favorable to autonomous services in other cities.

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“New regulations for autonomous vehicles are set to go into place on Sept. 1 in TX that we believe will further help win trust and pave the way for expansion to additional cities,” the analyst wrote.

https://twitter.com/herbertong/status/1938287117441855616?s=10

Tesla as a robotics powerhouse

Beyond robotaxis, Legg sees Tesla evolving beyond its roots as an electric vehicle maker. He noted that Tesla’s humanoid robot, Optimus, could be a long-term growth driver alongside new vehicle programs and other future initiatives.

“In our view, the company is undergoing an evolution from a trailblazing vehicle OEM to a high-tech automation and robotics company with unmatched domestic manufacturing scale,” he wrote.

Benchmark noted that Tesla stock had rebounded over 50% from its April lows, driven in part by easing tariff concerns and growing momentum around autonomy. With its initial Robotaxi rollout now underway, the firm has returned to its previous $475 per share target and reaffirmed TSLA as a Benchmark Top Pick for 2025.

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Tesla blacklisted by Swedish pension fund AP7 as it sells entire stake

A Swedish pension fund is offloading its Tesla holdings for good.

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tesla
(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla shares have been blacklisted by the Swedish pension fund AP7, who said earlier today that it has “verified violations of labor rights in the United States” by the automaker.

The fund ended up selling its entire stake, which was worth around $1.36 billion when it liquidated its holdings in late May. Reuters first reported on AP7’s move.

Other pension and retirement funds have relinquished some of their Tesla holdings due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement in politics, among other reasons, and although the company’s stock has been a great contributor to growth for many funds over the past decade, these managers are not willing to see past the CEO’s right to free speech.

However, AP7 says the move is related not to Musk’s involvement in government nor his political stances. Instead, the fund said it verified several labor rights violations in the U.S.:

“AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States. Despite several years of dialogue with Tesla, including shareholder proposals in collaboration with other investors, the company has not taken sufficient measures to address the issues.”

Tesla made up about 1 percent of the AP7 Equity Fund, according to a spokesperson. This equated to roughly 13 billion crowns, but the fund’s total assets were about 1,181 billion crowns at the end of May when the Tesla stake was sold off.

Tesla has had its share of labor lawsuits over the past few years, just as any large company deals with at some point or another. There have been claims of restrictions against labor union supporters, including one that Tesla was favored by judges, as they did not want pro-union clothing in the factory. Tesla argued that loose-fitting clothing presented a safety hazard, and the courts agreed.

tesla employee

(Photo: Tesla)

There have also been claims of racism at the Fremont Factory by a former elevator contractor named Owen Diaz. He was awarded a substantial sum of $137m. However, U.S. District Judge William Orrick ruled the $137 million award was excessive, reducing it to $15 million. Diaz rejected this sum.

Another jury awarded Diaz $3.2 million. Diaz’s legal team said this payout was inadequate. He and Tesla ultimately settled for an undisclosed amount.

AP7 did not list any of the current labor violations that it cited as its reason for

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