Investor's Corner
Why new EV incentives are the nail in the coffin for ICE manufacturers
The newly-revised electric vehicle incentive program, which is a part of President Biden’s Build Back Better plan, could officially spell the end of the combustion engine era in the American automotive industry. The new EV tax credit breakdown could award as much as $12,500 for an EV purchase, but that’s not the best part. As the EV industry continues to embrace new vehicle styles and expand to more consumers, the language in the bill reflects new body types and supports domestic manufacturing. Additionally, vehicles purchased from a unionized plant will provide an extra $4,500, with $500 more if US-produced batteries are used in the car.
Currently, $7,500 is offered to anyone who purchases an EV from a company in the United States that has not sold at least 200,000 units. GM and Tesla are the two manufacturers who are currently disqualified from utilizing the EV incentive because they have surpassed the 200k vehicle threshold.
Over the past several days, more details regarding the EV tax credit have been detailed, especially as revisions to the bill were made just a few days ago to include trucks, SUVs, and vans. Additionally, new income eligibility requirements have been lowered, which will disqualify more people from receiving the credit.
U.S. Senate Panel looks to boost EV Tax Credit to $12,500: What we know so far
Vehicle Type Price Caps
The latest modifications to the bill include price caps for body styles. SUVs up to $80,000 will now qualify, increased from the previous $69,000 cap. Trucks have also been increased to $80,000 from $74,000, and vans up to $80,000 in price will also now qualify. Sedans are included in the “Other” category and will be eligible at $55,000 and under.
Electric trucks will be a significant part of the U.S. EV market in the coming years. With Rivian beginning initial deliveries of the R1T earlier this month, the company will have to fend off stiff competition from the Ford F-150 Lightning, the GMC Hummer EV, and the Tesla Cybertruck. This market will become more robust in the coming years as pre-orders for the F-150 Lightning have reached 160,000, and the Cybertruck has peaked at 1.5 million reservations.
Income Limitation Revisions
Income limits have been lower to $500,000 for joint families, $375,000 for the head of household, and $250,000 for individual filers. These are relatively drastic reductions, especially as single filers were eligible with incomes of up to $400,000, and joint filers were not disqualified until the $800,000 yearly income mark. After all, the bill does state that the incentive is to make EVs more affordable for middle-class Americans.
The White House writes:
“The consumer rebates and credits included in the Build Back Better framework will save the average American family hundreds of dollars per year in energy costs. These measures include enhancement and expansion of existing home energy and efficiency tax credits, as well as the creation of a new, electrification-focused rebate program. The framework will cut the cost of installing rooftop solar for a home by around 30 percent, shortening the payback period by around 5 years; and the framework’s electric vehicle tax credit will lower the cost of an electric vehicle that is made in America with American materials and union labor by $12,500 for a middle-class family. In addition, the framework will help rural communities tap into the clean energy opportunity through targeted grants and loans through the Department of Agriculture.”
Used EVs now Qualify
Used EVs will also now qualify for the tax credit at a slightly reduced rate. According to CNET, the legislation in the Affordable EVs for Working Families Act will provide up to $2,500 for an individual filing their taxes who drives a used EV and has an income of less than $75,000 per year. Joint filers will have to make under $150,000 to qualify, and the EV has to be at least two years old and cost under $25,000 to qualify.
The Nail in the Coffin for ICE
It is no secret that EVs will begin to displace a significant number of ICE vehicles on the road in the coming years. While many manufacturers have announced plans to scrap ICE production altogether, goals and timelines are not always met. However, incentivizing consumers to purchase electric vehicles is a great way to surge the EV movement forward. Seeing that many families and individuals will qualify for hefty tax credits worth various amounts, more consumers may tend to lead toward the quickly-growing EV sector.
Now that incentives have been announced for additional body styles, the expansion of the EV sector is providing more options for consumers who need more than a daily driver to accomplish everyday tasks. With the introduction of several electrified pickups and SUVs, consumers can consider more versatility, as the need for a pickup or SUV for personal reasons is no longer an excuse not to buy electric.
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Elon Musk
Tesla AI boss reveals how big Optimus is going to get
Tesla’s Optimus chief corrected himself on X, confirming a staggering 10 million robot production target.
Tesla’s Optimus program has a new number attached to it, after Ashok Elluswamy, the executive who has run the humanoid robot program since June 2025, posted a three word correction on X Thursday, “Correction, 10 million robots.”
The line clarifies the long term annual capacity Tesla is building toward its planned second Optimus production line at Gigafactory Texas, a figure Musk has cited repeatedly since last year’s shareholder meeting.
The scale is worth noting, because ten million robots a year would mean Tesla building more units annually than most countries sell in new cars. Tesla has framed this as a second line, not the first. The buildout is happening in two phases: a roughly one million unit per year line inside Tesla’s Fremont factory, installed on the floor space vacated when Model S and Model X production ended earlier this year, and a much larger dedicated facility under construction at Giga Texas that broke ground on its first steel structure in May. That Texas facility is the one Elluswamy’s correction refers to, and is expected to reach volume production sometime in 2027.
Correction, 10 million robots https://t.co/0z4nyQNTzp
— Ashok Elluswamy (@aelluswamy) July 30, 2026
Tesla Optimus project fires up as Musk sees production line progress
Elluswamy took over Optimus from Milan Kovac last summer and has spent the months since talking up the program’s trajectory. Elon Musk has also floated the ten million figure at Tesla’s 2025 shareholder meeting.
Ending Model S and Model X production to make room for the first Optimus line was one of the more consequential manufacturing decisions in the company’s recent history, retiring two flagship vehicles in favor of a robot that has yet to enter mass production. Musk has previously estimated per unit production costs at $20,000 to $25,000 once Tesla reaches a million units a year, though he hasn’t said what that cost looks like at ten times the volume.
Elon Musk
SpaceX scores another massive Pentagon deal to support military satellites
SpaceX just picked up another $1.6 billion from the Pentagon, with the U.S. Space Force awarding two task orders worth $1.6 billion to fly 18 Falcon 9 missions from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California through the end of 2027. The launches will carry satellites for the Space Based Sensing and Targeting portfolio, a set of programs meant to help the military detect and track airborne threats and relay that information across forces in near real time.
The award falls under National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 1, the Space Force’s faster, commercial style procurement track for missions that do not require the military’s most demanding certification process. It is also the largest single order publicly disclosed under that program so far, and the first task order issued since the Space Force nearly tripled Lane 1’s contract ceiling from $5.6 billion to $17 billion on July 17.
SpaceX to become America’s Military data backbone for missiles, drones, and warfighters
Eric Zarybnisky, the Space Force’s acting portfolio acquisition executive for space access, said the entire process, from identifying the requirement to signing the contract, took about two months, including a month set aside for companies to prepare proposals.
SpaceX is not just launching these satellites. It already holds the contracts to build two of the programs within the same portfolio, $4.16 billion for the Space Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator system and $2.29 billion for the Space Data Network Backbone, which Teslarati covered in May. That means SpaceX is now responsible for both building key pieces of the military’s next generation sensing network and getting them into orbit.
With this latest award, SpaceX’s Pentagon contract total for 2026 alone tops $8 billion, adding to a defense portfolio that already includes the Golden Dome missile defense software group SpaceX joined in April and a string of GPS launches it inherited after ULA’s Vulcan rocket ran into a booster anomaly, which we detailed in March.
Lane 1’s vendor pool technically includes seven companies: SpaceX, ULA, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, Impulse Space, and Relativity Space. In practice, SpaceX remains the only provider with the combination of launch cadence, flight proven Falcon 9 hardware, and West Coast infrastructure to support a campaign requiring roughly one Vandenberg launch a month for the next year and a half.
Some lawmakers have flagged the growing concentration of national security launches with one company as a risk worth watching. For now, the Space Force keeps backing SpaceX, with it being the company that shows up ready to launch.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.
Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.
SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.
It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.
The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.
Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

