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What Happened to the Tesla Battery Swap?

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Tesla Battery Swap

Elon Musk's demo of the Tesla battery swapIt’s hard to imagine that over a year ago Tesla Motors was drumming its Tesla battery swap system on its Model S. Since then, very little has happened, compared to the gigantic expansion of the Supercharger network and the behemoth Gigafactory development. Has Tesla abandoned the battery swapping idea?

The Tesla Battery Swap, or not to swap

A year ago, Tesla Motors invited many of us to witness the first fast, easy and convenient battery swap demonstration for its Model S. It managed to swap two Model S battery packs in the same amount of time it takes an Audi sedan to gas up. The party was great, there was much cheering and Elon Musk spoke at length about its benefits and promised the first station would be operational by the end of that year 2013. But that was over a year ago, and since then, nothing much has happened.

Doing a little research on the current state of the Tesla battery swap on Google, won’t get you very far. The first Google Tesla battery swap links back to the Model S main page. Elon spoke in February in front of the California Public Utility Commission’s Thought Leaders program and said: “We’re a little late on [battery swapping] because we got preoccupied with a few other issues. But we’re hopefully going to get that enabled in the next few months between LA and San Francisco.”

Re-evaluating the Tesla battery swap

In all fairness, Tesla Motors has far more pressing issues than to roll out one expensive battery swapping station after another. It’s Supercharger network is growing rapidly, while the introduction of the Model X is receiving the bulk of the resources. This is followed by the expansion of the Chinese market and, finally, working on the Model III. That would be enough to keep any carmaker humming for the next year or so.

Tesla battery swap platform

Jalopnik, a car website not always known for its love of electric vehicles (EV) reminds us that soon after the Tesla battery swap event, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) was revising how it would hand out its Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credits. This puts into question the “fast fueling” seven ZEV credit incentives carmakers would receive to refuel a full pack in under 15 minutes for 285 miles.

Tesla battery swap stalled

According to Diarmuid O’Connell, Tesla VP Corporate Development, Tesla could have something in place by the end of the third quarter, which means the next few months. However, this prospect seems less likely, even by the end of the year.

We’ve known for some time that the company is developing their first Tesla battery swap location, in California, somewhere between Los Angeles and San Francisco which would most likely be a demonstration program for utilities. Since then, Zachary Shahan reported on Treehugger that Tesla would evaluate how they would roll out battery swapping stations elsewhere.

I guess Tesla Motors needs that Gigafactory more than we first imagined in order to make its Tesla battery swap a reality.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

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Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

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The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk responds to Volvo’s latest LiDAR decision

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has responded to reports that Volvo is officially discontinuing the LiDAR sensor on two of its cars.

Volvo announced that it would officially scrap LiDAR systems on its EX90 and ES90 vehicles in various markets. In Norway, owners will get a €1,800 compensation for features that will never arrive due to this decision. There will be no option to remove the unit from vehicles, either.

The issue stems from Volvo’s supplier, Luminar, and its bankruptcy filing. Luminar will no longer be able to supply LiDAR units to Volvo for the EX90 and ES90, effectively axing any use the unit has on vehicles. Volvo will phase out the data collection processes via the LiDAR system, and it will not be utilized whatsoever.

Musk saw the story on X and responded, stating:

“I did try to warn them. Humans drive using neural nets and optical sensors. Same is true for robot cars.”

Musk has been publicly vocal about his disdain for LiDAR systems, once calling them “a fool’s errand,” as he has consistently kept the outlook that they are not needed for effective self-driving.

The typical example used as evidence for this by Musk is humans themselves: made with only eyes and memories, humans are capable of navigating a car by using what they can see and what they’ve personally experienced on the road.

Elon Musk argues lidar and radar make self driving cars more dangerous

“Same is true for robot cars,” Musk says, as Teslas have eight exterior cameras that help see everything surrounding the vehicle, and a neural network that analyzes behavior and tendencies with every mile driven.

Tesla is a vision-only self-driving company that ditched sensors and radar several years ago in favor of cameras. Behind this effort, the company has established a reputation for having one of the most robust self-driving platforms in the world.

Musk’s big bet with Tesla on its self-driving program’s strategy has widely paid off. Other companies continue to utilize things like LiDAR, radar, and sensors for effective self-driving, but Tesla has shown that there is more than one way to give consumers a strong and accurate driver assistance suite.

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The real question is: who will be the first company to take Musk’s advice and attempt a self-driving platform based on cameras only, or even license FSD for themselves?

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