Investor's Corner
Insight Into How Elon Musk Funds His Business Ventures
Elon Musk does not follow the herd. Even though most executives do not use their private wealth to fund business ventures, Musk believes it is important to to show that he personally has skin in the game.
More than almost any other entrepreneur, Elon Musk finances his three primary business ventures — Tesla Motors, SolarCity, and SpaceX — by leveraging his own personal assets. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) says those three companies are valued at close to $50 billion, largely because of Musk’s “voracious appetite for risk and unyielding optimism.”
A study in February by ISS QuickScore found that just 13% of executives or directors at the 3,000 largest companies have pledged shares they own in those companies as collateral for personal loans.
Of the $105 million in bonds sold by SolarCity since October, 2014, SpaceX has purchased $90 million. Musk has taken out $475 million in personal loans at various times to help out one or another of his business interests when they needed cash injections. Those loans are secured by $2.5 billion worth of shares he owns in Tesla Motors and SolarCity, based on market values from this week.
WSJ says few top executives use their personal funds to support their business ventures because it can place them in conflict with other shareholders. It could also subject them to a margin call that could disrupt normal trading in company shares. “As an analyst, it is often a red flag for me when companies and management direct loans between entities they have personal or financial interests in,” says Nathan Weiss, founder and senior analyst at independent research firm Unit Economics LLC in East Greenwich, RI.
“There are a few cases where one company was doing considerably better than another and I borrowed money,” Musk says via WSJ. “If I ask investors to put money in, then I feel morally I should put money in as well […] I should not ask people to eat from the fruit bowl if I have not myself been willing to eat from the fruit bowl.” In other words, he thinks it’s important for others to see that he has skin in the game.
Musk says the odds of him not being able to handle a margin call are “almost zero.” That’s because his exposure is less than 5% of his total worth. He says he has “made it clear to shareholders that I subscribe to the notion that the captain is the last person off the ship.”
Venture capitalist Steve Jurvetson, a major early investor in all of Musk’s companies, says he is not concerned that Musk has pledged his own shares. As long as the total is less than 5% of Musk’s total net worth, “you don’t have much to talk about.” Jurvetson raves about Musk, saying “his passion is breathtaking.”
Republicans in Congress are less in awe of Elon, however. Now that SpaceX has signed contracts worth billions of dollars with NASA, they are proposing legislation that would prohibit Musk from using his stake in SpaceX as collateral for other loans, particularly to SolarCity. The solar power company has recently had a loud and contentious spat with the Nevada Public Utilities Commission, which voted to impose a monthly fee on all rooftop solar installations in the state.
In response, SolarCity has shuttered his operations in Nevada and laid off hundreds of employees. How that plays out as the Gigafactory comes online should be interesting, since the same utility company (owned by Warren Buffett) that imposed its will on the Nevada PUC will also be the energy supplier to that gigantic manufacturing process. Tesla intends to sell excess power back to the utility, a process that started the whole controversy in Nevada in the first place.
Representative Douglas Lamborn, Republican from Colorado, says the proposed legislation is intended to send a message to Musk that his moves are being watched and monitored. A SpaceX spokesman retorts that SpaceX’s “cash balances are not government money’.”
Elon keeps his political leanings well out of public view. But it is clear his propensity for disrupting the established order has made a few enemies along the way.
Source: The Wall Street Journal
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Investor's Corner
Tesla stock lands elusive ‘must own’ status from Wall Street firm
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
