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Record U.S. EV sales in Q3 backed by incentives, more options: data

Credit: Tesla

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It’s been widely reported that electric vehicle (EV) sales growth has slowed this year, but new data from the third quarter shows continued growth in the sector, as backed by incentive programs and a wider variety of options available to consumers this year than the last few.

According to Kelley Blue Book estimates reported by Cox Automotive in a press release last week, EV sales in the U.S. grew 11 percent year over year in Q3—reaching record highs in both overall market share and total delivery volume.

Total EVs sold in the third quarter reached 346,309, marking a 5-percent jump from Q2. Meanwhile, total EV market share reached 8.9 percent in Q3, which is the highest level recorded yet and marks a jump from 7.8 percent in the same quarter last year.

“While year-over-year growth has slowed, EV sales in the U.S. continue to march higher,” said Stephanie Valdez Streaty, Cox Automotive’s Director of Industry Insights. “The growth is being fueled in part by Incentives and discounts, but as more affordable EVs enter the market and infrastructure improves, we can expect even greater adoption in the coming years.”

Tesla’s share of total EV sales vs. the rest of the industry

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Credit: Cox Automotive

Q3 EV Share of Total Brand Sales

Credit: Cox Automotive

Cox says it expects increased growth in the coming months, and it says market share of 10 percent is “well within reach,” especially with increased charging infrastructure and EV options on the market, as well as great incentives and discounts.

EV incentives also reached a high in the third quarter, along with leasing programs that gave automakers access to even more generous government incentives. During Q3, incentives averaged over 12 percent of the Average Transaction Price (ATP) on sales, above that of the industry average of around 7 percent.

Cox reported in July that incentives had reached a three-year high at about 11.54 percent of the ATP on sales, before climbing even higher in August to 13.32 percent. It dropped off again slightly in September, landing at 12 percent of the ATP.

EV Lease penetration of retail sales vs. industry

Credit: Cox Automotive

Credit: Cox Automotive

Tesla has remained the clear EV market leader, though consumer options have continued to increase, along with the market share of other automakers attempting to ramp up their EV programs. In Q3, Tesla delivered 166,923 vehicles in the U.S., marking a 6.6 percent increase year over year.

The report also notes that Tesla returned to growth mode in Q3 with sales jumping 6.6 percent, as supported by the increasingly popular Cybertruck. Tesla sold 16,692 Cybertrucks in Q3, outselling every other EV with the exception of the Model 3 (58,423) and Model Y (86,801).

As for individual brands, Tesla was followed by Ford and Chevy in Q3, which sold 23,509 and 19,933 EVs, respectively.

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Notably, General Motors (GM) EVs overall saw a 60-percent jump to 32,095 total units across brands, and surpassed Hyundai, which saw sales plateau year over year at 29,609 units.

You can see the full data from Cox Automotive here.

Experts discuss the remaining hurdle to EV sales

What are your thoughts? Let me know at zach@teslarati.com, find me on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send us tips at tips@teslarati.com.

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Zach is a renewable energy reporter who has been covering electric vehicles since 2020. He grew up in Fremont, California, and he currently lives in Colorado. His work has appeared in the Chicago Tribune, KRON4 San Francisco, FOX31 Denver, InsideEVs, CleanTechnica, and many other publications. When he isn't covering Tesla or other EV companies, you can find him writing and performing music, drinking a good cup of coffee, or hanging out with his cats, Banks and Freddie. Reach out at zach@teslarati.com, find him on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send us tips at tips@teslarati.com.

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Tesla sees sharp November rebound in China as Model Y demand surges

New data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows a 9.95% year-on-year increase and a 40.98% jump month-over-month.

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Credit: Tesla China

Tesla’s sales momentum in China strengthened in November, with wholesale volumes rising to 86,700 units, reversing a slowdown seen in October. 

New data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows a 9.95% year-on-year increase and a 40.98% jump month-over-month. This was partly driven by tightened delivery windows, targeted marketing, and buyers moving to secure vehicles before changes to national purchase tax incentives take effect.

Tesla’s November rebound coincided with a noticeable spike in Model Y interest across China. Delivery wait times extended multiple times over the month, jumping from an initial 2–5 weeks to estimated handovers in January and February 2026 for most five-seat variants. Only the six-seat Model Y L kept its 4–8 week estimated delivery timeframe.

The company amplified these delivery updates across its Chinese social media channels, urging buyers to lock in orders early to secure 2025 delivery slots and preserve eligibility for current purchase tax incentives, as noted in a CNEV Post report. Tesla also highlighted that new inventory-built Model Y units were available for customers seeking guaranteed handovers before December 31.

This combination of urgency marketing and genuine supply-demand pressure seemed to have helped boost November’s volumes, stabilizing what had been a year marked by several months of year-over-year declines.

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For the January–November period, Tesla China recorded 754,561 wholesale units, an 8.30% decline compared to the same period last year. The company’s Shanghai Gigafactory continues to operate as both a domestic production base and a major global export hub, building the Model 3 and Model Y for markets across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, among other territories.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla bear gets blunt with beliefs over company valuation

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.

“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Shortand was portrayed by Christian Bale.

Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”

Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation

For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.

Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.

While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.

Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.

In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.

Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.

It closed at $430.14 on Monday.

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Tesla is making a change to its exterior cameras with a potential upgrade

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla appears to be making a change to its exterior side repeater cameras, which are used for the company’s Full Self-Driving suite, and other features, like Sentry Mode.

The change appears to be a potential upgrade in preparation for the AI5 suite, which CEO Elon Musk said will be present on a handful of vehicles next year, but will not be widely implemented until 2027.

Currently, Tesla uses a Sony sensor lens with the model number IMX963, a 5-megapixel camera with better dynamic range and low-light performance over the past iteration in Hardware 3 vehicles. Cameras in HW3 cars were only 1.2 megapixels.

However, Tesla is looking to upgrade, it appears, as Tesla hacker greentheonly has spotted a new sensor model in its firmware code, with the model number IMX00N being explicitly mentioned:

Sony has not announced any formal specifications for the IMX00N model, and although IMX963 has been used in AI4/HW4 vehicles, it only makes sense that Tesla would prepare to upgrade these external cameras once again in preparation for what it believes to be the second hardware iteration capable of fully autonomous self-driving.

Tesla has maintained that AI4/HW4 vehicles are capable of self-driving operation, but AI5 will likely help the company make significant strides, especially in terms of overall performance and data collection.

Tesla last updated its exterior cameras on its vehicles back in early 2023, as it transitioned to the 5-megapixel IMX963. It also added additional cameras to its vehicles in January with the new Model Y, which featured an additional lens on the front bumper to help with Full Self-Driving.

Tesla’s new self-driving computer (HW4): more cameras, radar, and more

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