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SpaceX secures 100+ smallsat launch contracts in 10 months

SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket has already secured more than a 100 smallsat launch contracts in less than 10 months. (NASA)

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SpaceX announced that more than 100 small spacecraft are contracted to launch on future Falcon 9 rideshare missions less than 10 months after the company’s Smallsat Program opened its doors.

Critically, this milestone suggests that even before a single launch was completed, demand for SpaceX’s unprecedentedly affordable smallsat launch services is so strong that the program is all but guaranteed to contribute outsized revenue. Thanks to the company’s free-for-all, rapid-fire approach to rideshares on its massive Falcon 9 rocket, there could be monthly opportunities for unrelated small spacecraft to launch on Starlink missions – followed by one or two dedicated rideshares to a slightly different orbit – for the indefinite future.

After securing ~100 customers in a matter of months, SpaceX’s Smallsat Program has proven that it’s already a heavyweight to be reckoned with.

Per SpaceX’s own online portal, where customers can legitimately purchase a smallsat launch contract in a matter of minutes, the potential revenue generated from >100 contracts could be even more than $100 million. For a number of reasons, however, $50-75 million is a much more reasonable – and still extremely impressive – ceiling. Equivalent to the cost of 7-10 launches of Rocket Lab’s small Electron rocket, the ultimate price paid by any given SpaceX rideshare customer is at least several times – if not a magnitude – less.

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The compromise: much like taking a bus instead of the cab, customers have to accept that they’ll likely be dropped off – at best – in the general vicinity of their optimal destination. For some small satellites, that’s likely a showstopper or major qualm. For many others, though, millions of dollars of launch cost savings could easily make up for the inconvenience. It’s even possible that companies could choose to add more capable off-the-shelf propulsion offered by a ever-growing number NewSpace suppliers to their spacecraft, effectively allowing a smallsat to head from a given rideshare ‘bus stop’ to its preferred orbit.

Electron’s 11th launch. (Rocket Lab)
Falcon 9’s upper stage sends a batch of smallsats into orbit. (SpaceX)
Space tug companies like Momentus Space could potentially take smallsats to their final destinations without requiring customers to complicate their spacecraft with more advanced propulsion. (Momentus/SpaceX)

Down the road, space tug startup Momentus Space has already signed several contracts with SpaceX to include its Vigoride and Vigoride Extended spacecraft on future Smallsat Program launches. With Vigoride and space tugs like it, smallsat owners could feasibly contract with Momentus to have their satellites delivered to a custom orbit after launching with SpaceX. It remains to be seen if the cost of a combination rideshare-spacetug launch contract can compete with a dedicated small launch vehicle like Electron, but early signs are extremely encouraging.

Scheduled to launch no earlier than December 2020, SpaceX’s very first dedicated rideshare mission will include a Momentus Vigoride space tug that has already secured contracts worth more than $6 million for a portion of its 250 kg (~550 lb) payload capacity.

All things considered, given that the very first Smallsat Program rideshare was completed less than a week ago on June 13th, SpaceX is likely just getting started. Once the company has thoroughly proven the value of its smallsat launch offering with several launches and many happy customers, it’s possible that SpaceX’s first 100 contracts will pale in comparison to the demand it sees a year or two from now.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Elon Musk confirms Tesla FSD V14.2 will see widespread rollout

Musk shared the news in a post on social media platform X.

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Credit: Whole Mars Catalog/X

Elon Musk has confirmed that Tesla will be implementing a wide rollout of Full Self-Driving (FSD) V14 with the system’s V14.2 update. Musk shared the news in a post on social media platform X. 

FSD V14.1.2 earns strong praise from testers

Musk’s comment came as a response to Tesla owner and longtime FSD tester AI DRIVR, who noted that it might be time to release Full Self-Driving to the fleet because V14.1.2 has already become very refined.

“95% of the indecisive lane changes and braking have been fixed in FSD 14.1.2. I haven’t touched my steering wheel in two days. I think it’s time, Tesla AI,” the longtime FSD tester wrote

AI DRIVR’s comment received quite a bit of support from fellow Tesla drivers, some of whom noted that the improvements that were implemented in V14.1.2 are substantial. Others also agreed that it’s time for FSD to see a wide release.

In his reply to the FSD tester, CEO Elon Musk noted that FSD V14’s wide release would happen with V14.2. “14.2 for widespread use,” Musk wrote in his reply

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Mad Max mode makes headlines

One of the key features that was introduced with FSD’s current iteration is Mad Max mode, which allows for higher speeds and more frequent lane changes than the previous “Hurry” mode. Videos and social media posts from FSD testers have shown the system deftly handling complex traffic, merging seamlessly, and maintaining an assertive but safe driving behavior with Mad Max mode engaged.

Tesla AI head Ashok Elluswamy recently noted in a post on X that Mad Max mode was built to handle congested daytime traffic, making it extremely useful for drivers who tend to find themselves in heavy roads during their daily commutes. With Musk now hinting that FSD V14.2 will go on wide release, it might only be a matter of time before the larger Tesla fleet gets to experience the notable improvements of FSD’s V14 update.

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Multiple Tesla Cybercab units spotted at Giga Texas crash test facility

The vehicles were covered, but one could easily recognize the Cybercab’s sleek lines and compact size.

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Credit: @JoeTegtmeyer/X

It appears that Tesla is ramping up its activities surrounding the development and likely initial production of the Cybercab at Giga Texas. This was, at least, hinted at in a recent drone flyover of the massive electric vehicle production facility in Austin. 

Cybercab sightings fuel speculations

As observed by longtime Giga Texas drone operator Joe Tegtmeyer, Tesla had several covered Cybercab units outside the facility’s crash testing facility at the time of his recent flyover. The vehicles were covered, but one could easily recognize the Cybercab’s sleek lines and compact size. Tegtmeyer also observed during his flyover that production of the Model Y Standard seems to be hitting its pace.

The drone operator noted that the seven covered Cybercabs might be older prototypes being decommissioned or new units awaiting crash tests. Either scenario points to a ramp-up in Cybercab activity at Giga Texas, however. “In either case, this is another datapoint indicating production is getting closer to happening,” Tegtmeyer wrote on X, highlighting that the autonomous two-seaters were quite exciting to see.

Cybercab production targets

This latest sighting follows reports of renewed Cybercab appearances at both the Fremont Factory and Giga Texas. A test unit was recently spotted driving on Giga Texas’ South River Road. Another Cybercab, seen at Tesla’s Fremont Factory, appeared to be manually driven, suggesting that the vehicle’s current prototypes may still be produced with temporary steering controls.

The Tesla Cybercab is designed to be the company’s highest-volume vehicle, with CEO Elon Musk estimating that the autonomous two-seater should see an annual production rate of about 2 million units per year. To accomplish this, Tesla will be building the Cybercab using its “Unboxed” process, which should help the vehicle’s production line achieve outputs that are more akin to consumer electronics production lines.

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Teslas in the Boring Co. Vegas Loop are about to get a big change

Elon Musk has a big update for Teslas that operate within the Boring Company’s Vegas Loop.

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the boring company's vegas loop entrance
(Credit: Sam Morris, LVCVA/Las Vegas News Bureau)

Tesla vehicles operating in the Boring Company’s Vegas Loop are about to get a big change, CEO Elon Musk said.

In Las Vegas, the Boring Company operates the Vegas Loop, an underground tunnel system that uses Teslas to drop people off at various hotspots on the strip. It’s been active for a few years now and is expanding to other resorts, hotels, and destinations.

Currently, there are stops at three resorts: Westgate, the Encore, and Resorts World. However, there will eventually be “over 100 stations and span over 68 miles of tunnel,” the Vegas Loop website says.

The Loop utilizes Tesla Model 3 and Model Y vehicles to send passengers to their desired destinations. They are currently driven using the Full Self-Driving suite, but they also have safety drivers in each vehicle to ensure safety.

Tesla Cybertruck rides are crucial for Vegas Loop expansion to airport

Tesla and the Boring Company have been working to remove drivers from the vehicles used in the Loop, but now, it appears there is a set timeline to have them out, according to CEO Elon Musk:

Musk says the Boring Co. will no longer rely on safety drivers within the Teslas for operation. Instead, Tesla will look to remove the safety drivers from the cars within the next month or two, a similar timeline for what Musk believes the Robotaxi platform will look like in Austin.

In Texas, as Robotaxi continues to operate as it has since June, there are still safety monitors within the car who sit in the passenger’s seat. They are there to ensure a safe experience for riders.

When the route takes the vehicle on the highway, safety monitors move into the driver’s seat.

However, Tesla wants to be able to remove safety monitors from its vehicles in Austin by the end of the year, Musk has said recently.

In early September, Musk said that the safety monitors are “just there for the first few months to be extra safe.” He then added that there “should be no safety driver by end of year.”

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