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SpaceX just expanded the envelope of rocket recovery with 50th booster landing

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk says Falcon 9's latest booster landing - pictured here - "expanded [the envelope]" for all future rocket recovery efforts. (SpaceX)

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CEO Elon Musk says SpaceX has successfully expanded the envelope of orbital-class rocket recovery with its 50th booster landing, meaning that all Falcon boosters will have a better chance of safely returning to Earth from now on.

On March 6th, after a four-day delay, a flight-proven SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, new second stage, and twice-flown Cargo Dragon spacecraft successfully lifted off on the company’s 20th NASA Commercial Resupply Services mission (CRS-20). Dragon capsule C112 and its expendable trunk section are heading up Earth’s orbital hill to rendezvous with the International Space Station (ISS) tomorrow morning, nominally delivering some two metric tons (~4500 lb) of cargo to the ISS and its crew of astronauts. Once the spacecraft returns to Earth, SpaceX’s Dragon 1 program will effectively be over, wrapping up almost a decade of launches with some 45 metric tons (100,000 lb) of cargo delivered to the ISS.

Back on the ground, SpaceX’s Falcon rocket family still has a long life ahead of it and is likely to support one or several hundred more launches between now and its retirement. Additionally, Elon Musk says that the specific Falcon 9 rocket that launched CRS-20 has now proven that SpaceX rocket boosters can successfully land back on Earth even when ground winds are exceptionally high, hopefully guaranteeing many more booster recoveries to come.

Cargo Dragon 1’s final Falcon 9 launch and landing, pictured in a single long-exposure photo. (Richard Angle)

Teslarati photographer Richard Angle was on site to capture the spectacular launch and landing. The exceptionally detailed long-exposure image above includes the entirety of Falcon 9 B1059’s launch and landing, from main engine cut-off (MECO) and boostback burn to the booster’s reentry and landing burns.

Falcon 9’s MECO (the gap) and boostback burn (backwards curly-cue). The lefthand arc is the rocket’s upper stage and Cargo Dragon payload continuing on its way to orbit. (Richard Angle)
A few minutes before landing, B1059 ignited its engines to form a sort of exhaust ‘shield’, minimizing the maximum heating from atmospheric reentry. (Richard Angle)
Finally, B1059 ignited its engines for the fourth and final time for a landing burn, coming to a rest at Landing Zone 1 (LZ-1) approximately eight minutes after liftoff. (Richard Angle)

According to Musk, this particular landing was unique because it proved Falcon boosters can be successfully recovered – with a bulls-eye landing, no less – even when winds are high around the landing zone (or drone ship). SpaceX intentionally took this risk in part to expand Falcon 9’s safe envelope of operations, which now includes both winds during liftoffs and winds during landings.

Taken remotely from SpaceX Launch Complex 40, the pad B1059 lifted off from, Richard Angle managed to capture a streak of the booster landing at LZ-1 some eight minutes after launch and 9 km (5.5 mi) to the south. (Richard Angle)

While Cargo Dragon 1 may be on its way to the ISS for the last time, SpaceX won a second ‘Phase 2’ CRS contract from NASA that will see the company begin cargo launches to the space station with its Dragon 2 spacecraft – a lightly modified Crew Dragon – as early as Q4 2020, give or take a month. Prior to that mission, known as CRS-21, Crew Dragon is expected to launch at least once and possibly twice, first carrying two NASA astronauts to the ISS on its Demo-2 test flight and SpaceX’s inaugural crewed launch. There’s also a limited chance that SpaceX will flawlessly complete Demo-2 and be able to prepare a second Crew Dragon for its first operational astronaut launch (deemed ‘Crew-1’) before the end of 2020.

(Richard Angle)
(Richard Angle)
Falcon 9 B1059 and Cargo Dragon C112 are pictured on March 6th just a handful of hours before liftoff. (Richard Angle)

For now, SpaceX’s next Dragon launch will also be the company’s first astronaut launch ever. Crew Dragon’s Demo-2 mission is scheduled to lift off no earlier than late-April or May 2020.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch

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Credit: SpaceX

Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.

SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.

The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.

Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean

Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.

This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.

Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims

Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.

A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.

It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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