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Tesla’s ‘delivery logistics hell’ is an encouraging sign for Q3’s Model 3 production

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Tesla is now on full throttle as it attempts to deliver as many vehicles as it can to Model 3 reservation holders before the end of the third quarter. As the company hits new production levels for the electric car, Tesla is now finding itself facing yet another challenge — a new type of hell, even. As dubbed by Elon Musk in a recent tweet, Tesla has gone from “production hell” straight into “delivery logistics hell.”

Elon Musk was online this Sunday on Twitter, and during his interactions with his followers, he was faced with an inquiry from a Model 3 reservation holder whose delivery had been delayed multiple times. Megan Gale, the reservation holder, noted that her delivery date had been moved four times before she was informed that her Model 3’s handover had been delayed “indefinitely.”

Musk promptly admitted fault, stating that the company is currently facing challenges with delivery logistics. Musk did note, though, that delivery logistics hell is far more tractable than production hell; and thus, Tesla should be able to solve the issue shortly.

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While there are now reservation holders being inconvenienced due to Tesla’s inability to deliver their vehicles on time, the current issue does indicate something notably positive for one of the company’s targets this Q3 — the production numbers of the Model 3. Tesla has announced that it is aiming to produce 50,000-55,000 Model 3 for the third quarter, and just recently, an email from Elon Musk to the company’s employees noted that Tesla would likely build and deliver around twice as many vehicles as it did last quarter.

If Tesla is on track in meeting the milestones Elon Musk outlined in his letter, the company’s delivery centers across the United States are likely experiencing an influx of vehicles at a scale they have never experienced before. For a company that is still finding its legs as a mainstream carmaker, this sudden increase in the number of impending deliveries would likely result in challenges.

This is not to say that Tesla is being caught off guard by its own production numbers. This quarter, the company has implemented programs designed to speed up the delivery process, such as the 5-Minute Sign & Drive delivery program. Unlike Tesla’s old delivery system that involves a thorough walkthrough of its electric cars’ functions, the 5-Minute Sign & Drive system only covers the basics of the vehicles. The electric cars’ more specific features and capabilities are expected to be reviewed by reservation holders prior to the delivery date. Back in July, Elon Musk also noted that Tesla is working on a system that would get rid of paper contracts completely by having customers sign necessary documents online. Musk further noted that in the future, Tesla’s customers should be able to return the electric cars just like any other consumer product, in the event that they are unsatisfied with the vehicle.

There is a lot at stake for Tesla this third quarter. After achieving its then-elusive goal of manufacturing 5,000 Model 3 per week at the end of Q2 2018, the company has focused itself on the task of pushing Model 3 production even further and ending the quarter as a profitable company. These goals are undoubtedly ambitious, but Tesla seems to have a shot at accomplishing just that. Analysts from Evercore ISI and Worm Capital, for one, have noted that with the right optimizations, Tesla should be able to maintain a steady production rate of 5,000-6,000 Model 3 per week. The Evercore ISI analysts even noted that with minimal CapEx, Tesla should be able to manufacture up to 8,000 Model 3 per week.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Tesla blacklisted by Swedish pension fund AP7 as it sells entire stake

A Swedish pension fund is offloading its Tesla holdings for good.

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tesla
(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla shares have been blacklisted by the Swedish pension fund AP7, who said earlier today that it has “verified violations of labor rights in the United States” by the automaker.

The fund ended up selling its entire stake, which was worth around $1.36 billion when it liquidated its holdings in late May. Reuters first reported on AP7’s move.

Other pension and retirement funds have relinquished some of their Tesla holdings due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement in politics, among other reasons, and although the company’s stock has been a great contributor to growth for many funds over the past decade, these managers are not willing to see past the CEO’s right to free speech.

However, AP7 says the move is related not to Musk’s involvement in government nor his political stances. Instead, the fund said it verified several labor rights violations in the U.S.:

“AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States. Despite several years of dialogue with Tesla, including shareholder proposals in collaboration with other investors, the company has not taken sufficient measures to address the issues.”

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Tesla made up about 1 percent of the AP7 Equity Fund, according to a spokesperson. This equated to roughly 13 billion crowns, but the fund’s total assets were about 1,181 billion crowns at the end of May when the Tesla stake was sold off.

Tesla has had its share of labor lawsuits over the past few years, just as any large company deals with at some point or another. There have been claims of restrictions against labor union supporters, including one that Tesla was favored by judges, as they did not want pro-union clothing in the factory. Tesla argued that loose-fitting clothing presented a safety hazard, and the courts agreed.

tesla employee

(Photo: Tesla)

There have also been claims of racism at the Fremont Factory by a former elevator contractor named Owen Diaz. He was awarded a substantial sum of $137m. However, U.S. District Judge William Orrick ruled the $137 million award was excessive, reducing it to $15 million. Diaz rejected this sum.

Another jury awarded Diaz $3.2 million. Diaz’s legal team said this payout was inadequate. He and Tesla ultimately settled for an undisclosed amount.

AP7 did not list any of the current labor violations that it cited as its reason for

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Investor's Corner

xAI targets $5 billion debt offering to fuel company goals

Elon Musk’s xAI is targeting a $5B debt raise, led by Morgan Stanley, to scale its artificial intelligence efforts.

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(Credit: xAI)

xAI’s $5 billion debt offering, marketed by Morgan Stanley, underscores Elon Musk’s ambitious plans to expand the artificial intelligence venture. The xAI package comprises bonds and two loans, highlighting the company’s strategic push to fuel its artificial intelligence development.

Last week, Morgan Stanley began pitching a floating-rate term loan B at 97 cents on the dollar with a variable interest rate of 700 basis points over the SOFR benchmark, one source said. A second option offers a fixed-rate loan and bonds at 12%, with terms contingent on investor appetite. This “best efforts” transaction, where the debt size hinges on demand, reflects cautious lending in an uncertain economic climate.

According to Reuters sources, Morgan Stanley will not guarantee the issue volume or commit its own capital in the xAI deal, marking a shift from past commitments. The change in approach stems from lessons learned during Musk’s 2022 X acquisition when Morgan Stanley and six other banks held $13 billion in debt for over two years.

Morgan Stanley and the six other banks backing Musk’s X acquisition could only dispose of that debt earlier this year. They capitalized on X’s improved operating performance over the previous two quarters as traffic on the platform increased engagement around the U.S. presidential elections. This time, Morgan Stanley’s prudent strategy mitigates similar risks.

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Beyond debt, xAI is in talks to raise $20 billion in equity, potentially valuing the company between $120 billion and $200 billion, sources said. In April, Musk hinted at a significant valuation adjustment for xAI, stating he was looking to put a “proper value” on xAI during an investor call.

As xAI pursues this $5 billion debt offering, its financial strategy positions it to lead the AI revolution, blending innovation with market opportunity.

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Tesla tops Cathie Wood’s stock picks, predicts $2,600 surge

Tesla’s future lies beyond cars—with robotaxis, humanoid bots & AI-driven factories. Cathie Wood predicts a 9x surge in 5 years.

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Cathie Wood shared that Tesla is her top stock pick. During Steven Bartlett’s podcast “The Diary Of A CEO,” the Ark Invest founder highlighted Tesla’s innovative edge, citing its convergence of robotics, energy storage, and AI.

“Because think about it. It is a convergence among three of our major platforms. So, robots, energy storage, AI,” Wood said of Tesla. She emphasized the company’s potential beyond its current offerings, particularly with its Optimus robots.

“And it’s not stopping with robotaxis; there’s a story beyond that with humanoid robots, and our $2,600 number has nothing for humanoid robots. We just thought it’d be an investment, period,” she added.

In June 2024, Ark Invest issued a $2,600 price target for Tesla, which Wood reaffirmed in a March Bloomberg interview, projecting the stock to reach this level within five years. She told Bartlett that Tesla’s Optimus robots would drive productivity gains and create new revenue streams.

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Elon Musk echoed Wood’s optimism in a CNBC interview last month.

“We expect to have thousands of Optimus robots working in Tesla factories by the end of this year, beginning this fall. And we expect to scale Optimus up faster than any product, I think, in history to get to millions of units per year as soon as possible,” Musk said.

Tesla’s stock has faced volatility lately, hitting a peak closing price of $479 in December after President Donald Trump’s election win. However, Musk’s involvement with the White House DOGE office triggered protests and boycotts, contributing to a stock decline of over 40% from mid-December highs by March.

The volatility in Tesla stock alarmed investors, who urged Musk to refocus on the company. In a May earnings call, Musk responded, stating he would be “scaling down his involvement with DOGE to focus on Tesla.” Through it all, Cathie Wood and Ark Invest maintained their faith in Tesla. Wood, in particular, predicted that the “brand damage” Tesla experienced earlier this year would not be long term.

Despite recent fluctuations, Wood’s confidence in Tesla underscores its potential to redefine industries through AI and robotics. As Musk shifts his focus back to Tesla, the company’s advancements in Optimus and other innovations could drive it toward Wood’s ambitious $2,600 target, positioning Tesla as a leader in the evolving tech landscape.

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