Investor's Corner
Tesla’s global Model 3 assault is coming to life with exhibitions in Europe and Asia
As the Tesla Model 3’s production hits its stride, the company has brought over the vehicles to several key regions, inviting reservation holders to view the electric sedan. Just today alone, reports from the Tesla community indicate that invitations were sent out to reservation holders residing in Germany, France, Sweden, Norway, Italy, and Belgium. In Asia, the Tesla Model 3 is also making its rounds, being exhibited in territories such as Hong Kong, China, and Japan.
At this point, it seems safe to assume that after passing through “production hell” and attaining profitability in the third quarter, Tesla is finally preparing to bring the Model 3 to other countries. With this in mind, Tesla’s Model 3 assault on the global market seems inevitable.
Da domani #Model3 al #Tesla store di Piazza Gae Aulenti a Milano! @Tesla @TeslaOwnersIT @disinformatico @Teslarati pic.twitter.com/PlEKj5ZhK6
— Francesco (@FraPet89) November 13, 2018
While the Model 3 is already proving to be successful in the United States, the vehicle’s distribution actually remains very limited, being available only in the US and Canada. With a global rollout, though, the Model 3’s potential disruption would likely be even more notable.
Now Tesla Model 3 exhibition already started in JAPAN 🇯🇵
It can be seen that Tesla has made final preparations for the delivery of Model 3 to Asia Pacific. Was in Hong Kong last week, now Japan. $TSLA #TeslaJapan #テスラ
(Credit: emolas from https://t.co/WgwubBfi0J) pic.twitter.com/anCFdXeXGi
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-— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 10, 2018
Elon Musk has been quite conservative about his timelines for the Model 3’s global release. Back in March, Musk stated that the production of vehicles with an RHD configuration would likely begin sometime in the middle of 2019. During the third quarter earnings call, though, Musk noted that Tesla is expecting to produce a notable volume of vehicles for Europe starting January. The CEO further stated that deliveries in the region would likely see a ramp in late February or sometime in March. By the second quarter of 2019, Musk pointed out that Model 3 deliveries would probably start in the Asia-Pacific region.
“We expect to start producing a significant volume for Europe in January. And it obviously takes some time to ship. So deliveries, probably pretty significant deliveries in Europe, kind of in the late February, March time frame because the cars have to get all the way from California to a customer in Europe. It will be kind of borderline as to whether cars are delivered in APAC by the end of Q1. So I can’t say it for certain. Definitely in Europe. But — and then definitely in APAC in Q2,” Musk said.
Nov 5th, the first ever China International Import Expo (中国国际进口博览会)was grandly opened at the Shanghai National Convention and Exhibition Center. Tesla accepts the invitation of the government to exhibit Model S X & 3 at the show. $TSLA #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/OmKFYPgoxT
— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 5, 2018
Invitations for Model 3 viewings bode well for reservation holders of the electric car. Tesla, after all, started Model 3 exhibits in the United States not long before deliveries of the electric sedan began to hit their stride. That said, Tesla’s global rollout of the vehicle appears to have been teased in the past few months, particularly as Model 3 has been making the rounds in countries such as Australia and New Zealand. Just recently, the Model 3 was showcased as Tesla’s key exhibit in China’s International Import Expo as well.
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Tesla might still be a relatively young carmaker, but its reputation as a maker of the world’s premier electric vehicles is already getting more established by the day. While the Model S and the Model X proved that electric vehicles can be viable alternatives to fossil fuel-powered cars, the Model 3 is proving that an EV can stand toe-to-toe with the best-selling, most competitive passenger cars in the industry, and still win. As the Model 3 enters the worldwide car market, the electric sedan’s disruption and potential would definitely be put to the test.
SpaceX stock did the opposite of what most of Wall Street expected this week, when the day designed to be its most dangerous turned into a rally, and the rally kept going.
Thursday marked the first major lockup expiration since SpaceX’s June IPO, making roughly 911.5 million insider held shares eligible to trade for the first time, more than doubling the company’s public float. Analysts and short sellers had spent weeks bracing for a flood of selling, especially after the stock fell 13 percent following its first earnings report as a public company on Tuesday. Instead, shares rose 6.1 percent Thursday to close at $114.92, and by Friday they were trading near $129, up more than another 12 percent on the day.
SpaceX shorts get warned by Musk ally, echoing Tesla’s early struggles
The setup made the outcome notable. Short interest had climbed to roughly 34 percent of the float heading into earnings, among the highest of any large cap stock, with about 95 percent of available shares to borrow already on loan. CEO Elon Musk warned short sellers twice in the weeks before the lockup, writing on X that “the survival probability of firms who maintain a significant short position in SpaceX over time is very low,” then following up on the morning of earnings with “I try to warn them, but they just double down.”
When the newly unlocked shares hit the market and the selloff never showed up, some of that short position appears to have started unwinding. TipRanks reported that options activity shifted toward bullish strategies like put selling and risk reversals following the rally, with roughly $600 million in options premium trading Thursday alone. Retail buyers also stepped in during the earnings dip, according to Vanda Research.
The fundamentals behind the stock have not changed much in a week. SpaceX’s revenue nearly doubled year over year to $7.8 billion, with Starlink subscribers doubling to 12 million and the company’s AI segment growing 247 percent. What spooked investors on Tuesday was the spending side. Capital expenditures jumped to more than $18 billion for the quarter, up from $2.8 billion a year earlier, with AI investment alone rising from $749 million to $15.8 billion. Wall Street remains split on whether that spending is building infrastructure SpaceX needs or outrunning what the business can currently support, a debate Teslarati has tracked since shares first came under pressure.
None of that resolves the bigger question hanging over the stock. Thursday’s release was only the first of nine staggered lockup tranches, with roughly $800 billion worth of additional shares scheduled to become eligible through October, and Musk’s own stake stays locked until next June. If this week is any indication, the market is treating that supply as something it can absorb rather than something to fear, at least for now.
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Cybertruck
Tesla Cybertruck production snaps back after ugly supplier fight
Cybertrucks are piling up again at Giga Texas after Tesla’s court win against a parts supplier.
Cybertruck production at Giga Texas is showing its first visible recovery since Tesla sued a supplier last month over withheld manufacturing tooling.
Aerial observer Joe Tegtmeyer flew over the Austin factory Wednesday morning and counted roughly 100 or more Cybertrucks filling the outbound lot, a sharp jump from the thin numbers seen in recent weeks. The flyover came a day after a judge granted Tesla a temporary restraining order against Angstrom Automotive Group, the parts supplier at the center of the dispute.
Tesla filed an emergency lawsuit in late July after Angstrom told the automaker it planned to close the Troy, Texas facility where Tesla’s die-cast tools, trim dies and other Cybertruck stamping equipment were housed. According to Tesla’s complaint, a shipment of 700 finished parts never left the building, and when Tesla sent representatives to retrieve its equipment, accompanied by law enforcement, they were turned away. Angstrom allegedly then asked for an extra $250,000 a week to keep operating, which Tesla’s filing described as holding its own property for ransom.
TESLA: U.S. District Judge Christopher R. Wolfe of the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas, Waco Division granted Tesla a Temporary Restraining Order and Writ of Replevin in its dispute with Angstrom Automotive (Case No. 6:26-cv-00477).
The order authorizes… https://t.co/E1DKcQSxMn pic.twitter.com/LR8aAiV2Og
— S.E. Robinson, Jr. (@SERobinsonJr) August 5, 2026
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The restraining order gives Tesla immediate right of entry to Angstrom’s facility to recover the tooling. It is temporary, with a fuller hearing still to come, but the speed of Wednesday’s rebound suggests the Angstrom shortage was indeed the main bottleneck limiting Cybertruck output. Outbound lot counts are an imperfect measure of actual production, since finished trucks can sit for days before shipping, but a lot that full after a lean stretch is a meaningful signal.
Cybertruck output at Giga Texas has fluctuated all year as Tesla worked through supply issues and introduced new trims, including a cheaper Dual Motor AWD version that drew strong early demand.
Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya has cautioned investors shorting SpaceX shares, drawing a direct parallel to the intense short-selling pressure Tesla faced in its early public years.
Responding to reports of elevated short interest in the newly public rocket, satellite, and AI company, Palihapitiya noted that similar dynamics played out with Tesla, where aggressive short sellers ultimately “went broke.”
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) went public on June 12, 2026, in the largest IPO on record, pricing at $135 per share. Shares quickly surged to an all-time high of $225.64 just days later, briefly implying a valuation exceeding $2 trillion. The stock has since retreated sharply amid valuation concerns, lockup expiration fears, and broader market dynamics.
By early August, it traded near $108–$125, representing a roughly 50 percent decline from the peak and bringing the market capitalization closer to the $1.5–1.7 trillion range. On August 4, shares closed up more than 9 percent at $125.33 ahead of earnings before facing pressure in after-hours and premarket trading.
Short interest has climbed dramatically. According to S3 Partners data widely cited in market reports, short positions reached approximately 219.3 million shares by late July, about 34 percent of the limited public float of roughly 640 million shares, and represented a notional value of around $24.6 billion.
Utilization of shares available to borrow hit 95 percent, with borrow fees rising. This level of shorting exceeded the dollar value of short bets against Tesla at the time and built rapidly ahead of two catalysts: the company’s first post-IPO earnings and an August 6 lockup expiration that could free up to 911.5 million additional shares.
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CEO Elon Musk has issued warnings of his own. In mid-July, as short interest approached one-third of the float, he posted that “the survival probability of firms who maintain a significant short position in SpaceX over time is very low,” reiterating his view that the company could ultimately be worth more than Earth if it achieves its goals.
On August 4, just before earnings, Musk responded to the latest short-interest data by saying, “I try to warn them, but they just double down.”
SpaceX delivered its first quarterly results as a public company after the close on August 4. Second-quarter revenue rose 92 percent year-over-year to $7.8 billion, beating consensus estimates near $6.8–6.9 billion.
The net loss narrowed to $541 million, or 9 cents per share, better than the roughly 23–24 cent loss expected. Starlink/connectivity contributed about $4.3 billion (up 66 percent), while the AI business generated $2.6 billion (up roughly 250 percent). Capital expenditures were heavy at $18.4 billion, largely tied to AI infrastructure. Management projected a $100 billion annualized revenue run rate by year-end 2026 and outlined a path toward $1 trillion in annual revenue by 2030.
The combination of Chamath’s historical reminder, Musk’s repeated alerts, and the company’s ambitious growth targets underscores the high-stakes debate surrounding SPCX. Short sellers are positioned for near-term supply pressure from the lockup, while long-term bulls point to Starlink scale, Starship progress, and AI compute expansion as reasons the bears may ultimately face the same fate as many early Tesla skeptics.
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