Investor's Corner
Tesla pushes Model 3 European ramp with test drive events in multiple countries
As Tesla starts shipping the Model 3 to Europe, the electric car maker has begun to increase its efforts to promote its disruptive midsize electric sedan. As noted by reports from several members of the Tesla community today, the Silicon Valley-based electric car maker has started sending out invites reservation holders and potential customers for Model 3 test drive events.
Reports about the European test drive events were noted by the Tesla community on Wednesday. On the r/TeslaMotors subreddit, for one, u/josmaus shared a screenshot of an invitation for a Model 3 test drive event in Finland. As noted in the invitation, the test drives would be conducted in select Tesla locations from January 25 to February 9.
Test drive of Tesla Model 3 in Sweden (Stockholm, Malmö, Gothenburg) from 25 January! pic.twitter.com/TZNI5VzbAs
— Totoro (@terra_mm) January 23, 2019
In social media platforms such as Twitter, Tesla community members from other parts of the European regions — such as those residing in Sweden, Austria, and Germany — stated that they received the same invitation as well. Overall, Tesla’s test drive invites come amidst sightings of Model 3 being transported to Europe, as well as the electric sedan being spotted in areas such as Denmark.
-->Tesla’s European ramp for the Model 3 is key to the company’s success in the region. In an email to employees earlier this month, Elon Musk noted that Tesla would be starting its international Model 3 ramp with the vehicle’s two higher-end variants — the Long Range AWD version and the Model 3 Performance. Tesla is shipping the Model 3 to Europe and China, and in both regions, the Long Range AWD and Performance variants are leading the charge.
Tesla’s decision to start the international ramp of the Model 3 with Europe and China bodes well for the company, considering that both regions are perfect for the electric sedan. Europe, for one, has a midsize sedan market that is twice as large as that of the United States. China, on the other hand, is simply the world’s largest EV market. In the case of the latter, the shipments of the Model 3 Performance and Long Range AWD Model 3 could give Tesla time to saturate the country before Gigafactory 3 starts producing affordable versions of the electric sedan locally.
And from 1st of February also in Germany. Email received 20minutes ago. 😉 pic.twitter.com/pPPcItd158
— 🌻 Teslectrics (Slava Ukraini!) 🇺🇦🌻 (@teslectrics) January 23, 2019
For now, though, European Model 3 reservation holders and potential customers look forward to experiencing the high-performance electric car firsthand. With test drives soon offered in multiple European territories, the upcoming saturation of the Model 3 in the region is all but inevitable. Test drives in a Tesla, after all, are among the most effective ways to demonstrate the advantages and features of the company’s electric cars to potential buyers.
-->Tesla’s European ramp for the Model 3 is about to get fully underway. Apart from the recent test drive invites and confirmation of homologation approval for the Model 3, Tesla has also been busy expanding its Supercharger Network in the region with the installations of dual charge stations fitted with both a Type 2 and CCS plug, the latter being the standard used by the Model 3. Tesla’s newly installed CCS Superchargers, which are marked “Model 3 Priority,” continue to grow in number by the day.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
-->“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
-->Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
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