Investor's Corner
BMW CEO reportedly risks replacement amid poor sales, weak EV strategy, and the rise of Tesla’s Model 3
BMW CEO Harald Krüger has always preferred to work in the background. Content to leave the stage for others, Krüger has mostly led BMW in an almost understated manner. Yet, in a recent meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and fellow executives from rivals Volkswagen and Daimler, the CEO proved assertive, announcing that BMW will be looking to sell around 300,000 electric and electrified vehicles annually by 2021.
Krüger’s assertive stance on EVs is likely due to pressures that BMW is feeling in the electric vehicle market, which has, in more ways than one, started affecting the security of the CEO’s post. The 53-year-old BMW executive’s contract expires in May 2020, and theoretically, the company’s Supervisory Board could extend it. Unfortunately, reports are now emerging that Krüger’s contract as BMW’s chief executive might not be extended anymore, according to information gathered by German news agency Handelsblatt.
Amidst BMW’s current challenges, the publication alleges that the automaker no longer considers an extension of Krüger’s CEO contract as the most plausible scenario in the near future. Talks of tensions in BMW’s leadership have emerged, and an insider has even noted that there is “high pressure in the boiler.” If Krüger is not able to keep his CEO post, two board members are reportedly set to take over his seat: the ambitious Head of Development Klaus Fröhlich and the more tempered Oliver Zipse, who took over BMW’s production department from Krüger back in 2015.
BMW is currently facing a number of challenges. The company has initiated a group-wide “hiring freeze,” and the CEO’s critics were quick to point out that despite BMW’s “biggest model offensive in the company’s history,” sales have stagnated. Over the past nine months, the German automaker surprised with two profit warnings, and margins for its vehicles are under pressure. Krüger, for his part, remained cautiously optimistic, stating that “In the second half of the year, we expect a tailwind” amid the upcoming release of large vehicles like the BMW X7 SUV.
Hiring freezes and poor sales aside, one thing that has notably irked the German automaker’s shareholders is its poor electric vehicle strategy. In 2013, Krüger’s predecessor, Norbert Reithofer, launched the BMW i3, a curiously futuristic electric car that was compared to the Tesla Model S. BMW has not released a pure battery-electric vehicle since then. Jaguar has started its push with the I-PACE, Audi has released the e-tron, and Mercedes-Benz has already unveiled the EQC. BMW’s iX3, on the other hand, won’t be ready for at least another year. Speaking to the publication, a competitor noted that “BMW was ahead, now they are suspended.”
The emergence of Tesla as a player in the premium sedan market has also become a painful pill to swallow for BMW. With its international rollout, the Tesla Model 3 continued to hack away at the sales of BMW’s iconic 3-Series sedan. Tests from publications such as Top Gear, which have been traditionally pro-petrol in the past, have also recognized the Silicon Valley-made Model 3 as superior in more ways than one to a BMW. Tesla’s rise has not escaped the attention of BMW’s investors, who appear to be getting quite impatient with the German automaker’s delayed, if not half-hearted EV strategy.
These sentiments were expressed during BMW’s annual shareholder meeting in May. Addressing the company, shareholder protector Daniela Bergdolt did not mince words. “I now expect an electric offensive that sweeps Tesla off the table,” she said, and the company did not really have a strong response. There’s the i4 and the iNext, but both vehicles don’t currently have a concrete release date. The impressive BMW Vision M Next, which was recently revealed, is also an eye-catching concept vehicle, but it still remains to be seen if or when the car will enter production.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’
The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.
Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.
On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.
🚨 Piper Sandler reiterated its Overweight rating and $500 PT on Tesla $TSLA stock
Analyst Alexander Potter said FSD is near full autonomy and latest versions showed the largest improvement in disengagements, from 440 miles to 9,200 miles between critical interventions pic.twitter.com/u4WCLfZcA9
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) December 9, 2025
The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.
Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.
Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.
Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.
Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.
Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it
With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.
Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.
Tesla received a price target boost from Morgan Stanley, according to a new note on Monday morning, but there is some considerable caution also being communicated over the next year or so.
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco took over Tesla coverage for the firm from longtime bull Adam Jonas, who appears to be focusing on embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
Percoco took over and immediately adjusted the price target for Tesla from $410 to $425, and changed its rating on shares from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco said he believes Tesla is the leading company in terms of electric vehicles, manufacturing, renewable energy, and real-world AI, so it deserves a premium valuation. However, he admits the high expectations for the company could provide for a “choppy trading environment” for the next year.
He wrote:
“However, high expectations on the latter have brought the stock closer to fair valuation. While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment for the TSLA shares over the next 12 months, as we see downside to estimates, while the catalysts for its non-auto businesses appear priced at current levels.”
Percoco also added that if market cap hurdles are achieved, Morgan Stanley would reduce its price target by 7 percent.
Perhaps the biggest change with Percoco taking over the analysis for Jonas is how he will determine the value of each individual project. For example, he believes Optimus is worth about $60 per share of equity value.
He went on to describe the potential value of Full Self-Driving, highlighting its importance to the Tesla valuation:
“Full Self Driving (FSD) is the crown jewel of Tesla’s auto business; we believe that its leading-edge personal autonomous driving offering is a real game changer, and will remain a significant competitive advantage over its EV and non-EV peers. As Tesla continues to improve its platform with increased levels of autonomy (i.e., hands-off, eyes-off), it will revolutionize the personal driving experience. It remains to be seen if others will be able to keep pace.”
Additionally, Percoco outlined both bear and bull cases for the stock. He believes $860 per share, “which could be in play in the next 12 months if Tesla manages through the EV-downturn,” while also scaling Robotaxi, executing on unsupervised FSD, and scaling Optimus, is in play for the bull case.
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Meanwhile, the bear case is placed at $145 per share, and “assumes greater competition and margin pressure across all business lines, embedding zero value for humanoids, slowing the growth curve for Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to reflect regulatory challenges in scaling a vision-only perception stack, and lowering market share and margin profile for the autos and energy businesses.”
Currently, Tesla shares are trading at around $441.
Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation
For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
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