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Tesla Q4 and FY 2022 results: TSLA beats on revenue and EPS, slight miss on auto margins

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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) posted its Q4 and FY 2022 earnings report after markets closed today. The results, which were discussed in the Q4 and FY 2022 Update Letter, were released after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 25, 2023.

The last year was challenging for Tesla, but it was a year that saw the electric vehicle maker reach new heights. Overall, Tesla produced over 439,000 vehicles and delivered over 405,000 in the fourth quarter. Vehicle deliveries grew 40% year-over-year to 1.31 million units, while production grew 47% year-over-year to 1.37 million cars. These were both records for the EV  maker.

The following is a quick overview of Tesla’s Q4 and FY 2022 results.

REVENUE

Tesla posted total revenues of $24.318 billion, a 37% YoY growth, with a gross profit of $5.777 billion in the fourth quarter. This represents the highest quarterly revenue for the company to date. In comparison, analysts expected Tesla to post revenue of about $23.6 billion in Q4 2022.

PROFITABILITY

Tesla’s operating income improved year-over-year to $3.9 billion in the fourth quarter. This resulted in a 16% operating margin year-over-year. 

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EARNINGS PER SHARE

Tesla posted non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.19 per share in Q4 2022. In comparison, analysts were expecting Tesla to post earnings per share of $1.13 per share during the fourth quarter.

MARGINS

Automotive gross margins were at 25.9%, which is still impressive but slightly lower than expectations, which were at 26.4%.

CASH

Tesla’s quarter-end cash, cash equivalents, and investments reached $22.2 billion in the fourth quarter. As per the company’s Q4 and FY Update Letter, this was driven mainly by free cash flow of $1.4 billion and offset by debt repayments of $497 million.

FY 2022 RESULTS

For 2022, Tesla’s total automotive revenues were at $71.462 billion, of which $1.776 billion were regulatory credits. Automotive gross profit is at $20.354 billion, and automotive gross margins are at an impressive $28.5%. 

Total revenues are at $80.462 billion, with total gross profit for 2022 at $20.853 billion. Total GAAP gross margin for 2022 is at 25.6%. 

OUTLOOK

Tesla is still aiming high for 2023, with the company stating that it expects to remain ahead of the long-term 50% CAGR with about 1.8 million cars for the year. The company also highlighted that it has enough liquidity to fund its future product roadmap, long-term capacity expansion plans, and other expenses. 

Tesla also noted that it expects its hardware-related profits to be accompanied with an acceleration of software-related profits. The company noted that it believes it can still have the highest operating margin among volume OEMs. 

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As for future projects, the Tesla Cybertruck is still on track to start production this year at Gigafactory Texas, and details of the next-gen vehicle platform being shared on Investor Day this coming March 1, 2023.

Tesla’s Q4 and FY 2022 Update Letter can be viewed below.

Don’t hesitate to contact us with news tips. Just send a message to simon@teslarati.com to give us a heads up.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla stock closes at all-time high on heels of Robotaxi progress

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.

The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.

Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.

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This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.

Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing

It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.

Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.

The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.

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However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.

Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.

Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.

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Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says

“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”

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Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.

Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.

However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.

The analyst said:

“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”

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Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.

There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.

This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.

Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing

CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.

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Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.

Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm

Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.

Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.

Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.

Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale

By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.

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He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:

  1. Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
  2. Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
  3. Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.

Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.

Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.

So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.

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