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Tesla soars past $700 with help from optimism after strong EV sales in China

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Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) soared past the $700 threshold earlier today after strong electric vehicle sales figures in China from rival companies promoted optimism regarding Tesla’s potential July delivery figures. Fueled by a recent price reduction of the Model 3 Standard Range+ variant in July, forward-looking projections could hint toward a strong July for Tesla, building upon the robust Q2 figures the company established in China.

Tesla has not surpassed the $700 level since late April 2021 and has experienced a tumultuous 2021 due to supply chain shortages and unexpected bottlenecks in production due to excessive demand. Tesla has continued to build upon a streak of quarters that have resulted in increases in production and delivery rates, along with eight straight marks of profitability following last week’s Q2 2021 Earnings Call.

But, news that helps Tesla stock is not always directly related to Tesla’s performance as an individual automaker. Reports out of China this morning were bullish for the EV sector as a whole, as domestic automakers Nio, Li Auto, and Xpeng reported strong delivery figures for July. Nio accumulated 7,931 deliveries, bringing its 2021 total to 49,887, a number that eclipses its 2020 delivery figures for the entire year. It was not a record month for Nio, as June had 152 more vehicle deliveries, but the overall outlook is increasing due to Year-to-Date figures thus far. Nio stock rose 3% on news of its growth story. Li Auto was up 3.2% on news that it delivered 8,589 vehicles in July, a record for the company. Xpeng also traded at a gain of 7.3% and established a new monthly record with 8,040 vehicle deliveries.

This brings in the potential momentum builder for Tesla. The company has regularly been atop the vehicle sales leaderboard in China with the Model 3 and Model Y, dominating much of the competition and only being eclipsed by the Wuling HongGuang Mini EV, which is priced significantly lower due to less standard features. As domestic EV companies in China continue to build upon their growing sales figures monthly, Tesla, with its strong consumer base, favorable vehicle quality, and wide range of options, is looking to set another month aside with delivery figures that could rival its own records.

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In June, Tesla delivered 33,155 vehicles, just a few hundred units off of its strong May, which yielded 33,463 cars making their way to customers. The small slide in delivery figures is not a concern, however. The CPCA recently stated that the EV market is expected to more than double to 2.4 million units this year, setting Tesla up for a continuing growth trend as the second half of 2021 kicks off. Unlike other automakers, Tesla does not report its delivery figures. They are instead compiled by the CPCA and will be published later this month. Expectations are that Tesla could deliver strong figures after reducing the price of its SR+ Model 3 in July.

Tesla Model 3 Standard Range Plus becomes even more competitive in China

The bullish trend of the EV market in China continues to work in favor of Tesla, which has established itself as the main player in the electric vehicle market in the country.

At the time of writing, Tesla stock was trading at $716.27, up 4.23%.

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Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments below, or be sure to email me at joey@teslarati.com or on Twitter @KlenderJoey.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Investor's Corner

Tesla crushes Wall Street expectations, beats delivery estimates by over 15 percent

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Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) beat Wall Street expectations of 406,000 vehicles delivered in Q2 by reporting 480,126 deliveries for the three months ending in June.

Tesla reported it delivered 467,762  Model 3 and Model Y units, while 12,364 Model S, Model X, and Cybertrucks switched hands during the quarter. The Model S and Model X were officially sunset this past quarter and will no longer be part of the company’s Production & Delivery reports moving forward.

The quarter is a pleasant surprise and a good rebound from Q1, when Tesla slightly missed the Wall Street consensus of 365,645 cars by reporting 358,023 deliveries for the first three motnhs of the year.

Energy storage deployments also provided some strength in Tesla’s delivery report, hitting 13.5 GWh for Q2. This is a particular division of Tesla’s business that has been overwhelmingly robust over the past few years, truly being a strong point of the company’s overall model.

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For the year, Tesla analysts still predict deliveries to trend in the 1.69 million unit region, a modest 3 to 5 percent increase from the 1.64 million cars the company delivered last year. Tesla will likely return to more sequential and noticeable year-over-year growth as the Cybercab project starts to ramp up considerably in the next few years.

Tesla has some other potential catalysts to spur vehicle deliveries, too. Not only is it expecting Cybercab to truly start making a change in the next few years, but other vehicles could be entering the company’s lineup.

Tesla sends production Cybercab with no steering wheel, pedals to on-road testing

The slightly longer Model Y L has been a highly speculated release candidate in the U.S. It has already done incredibly well in China, and U.S. buyers have been wanting slightly more interior space than the Model Y. Now that the Model X is gone, it is more needed than ever.

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Q2 highlights a pretty stable automotive division within Tesla, and no true concerns arise from these figures, especially considering it managed to beat expectations convincingly.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’

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Credit: MarcoRP | X

Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.

In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:

“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”

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This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.

The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.

The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building

Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.

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The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.

This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull

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SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12
SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12 (Credit: SpaceX)

Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.

“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”

Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12

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Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.

It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”

Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.

There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:

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“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”

SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.

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