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How will Tesla perform in Mr. Trump’s America?

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To say the results of the 2016 election were surprising is a gross understatement. That’s like saying the the national debt is rather a lot of money. What will a Trump presidency mean to Elon Musk and Tesla Motors? The answer is, it’s too early to tell. But we can make some (hopefully) educated guesses.

First and foremost, Trump is a champion of American companies providing jobs for Americans. Tesla has taken an abandoned factory in Fremont, California and turned it into one of the premier automobile manufacturing facilities in the world. And that’s just for openers.

Tesla has just announced it has acquired Grohmann Engineering, a highly respected German engineering firm located in in the city of Prüm near the border with Belgium and Luxembourg. With help from Grohmann, Musk wants to show the world how to increase production by a factor of ten by ‘building the machine that builds the machine’. That translates into higher productivity, something any businessman can understand.

Musk is committed to building a sustainable future while President-elect Trump is committed to a “Drill, baby, drill” mentality. Green Tech Media weighs in with the opinion that Trump will simply ignore the Paris climate accord and dismantle Obama’s Clean Power Plan. He undoubtedly will rein in the power of the EPA. What effect will that have on CAFE rules? We simply don’t know but no one should be surprised if vehicle efficiency targets for car companies become considerably watered down over the next few years.

Musk has always challenged the other car companies to build “compelling electric cars” but few have accepted the challenge. Most give the appearance of being dragged kicking and screaming into the zero emissions future while they continue to build every large truck and SUV they can weld, bolt, and screw together. One thing seems clear. Incentives for electric vehicles and for building a national EV charging infrastructure will likely be reduced in a Trump administration or eliminated all together.

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That would not seem to be a major issue for Tesla Motors, whose current customers are mostly able to afford the products Tesla makes with or without incentives. But it could be an issue for at least some of the 373,000 Model 3 reservation holders. It is more likely that SolarCity’s rooftop solar business will be negatively impacted by a Trump administration. The President-elect has said publicly he doesn’t believe government should pick winners and losers in the commercial world. Utility companies may find it easier to resist encroachment on their business model from rooftop solar with Trump at the helm.

Elon told CNBC News on November 4 that he had hoped Donald Trump would not get the nomination and that Hillary Clinton’s climate policies were more in tune with his own preferences. He went on to say he now felt a bit stronger that Trump was “not the right guy, he just doesn’t seem to have the sort of character that reflects well on the United States.”

Will Musk and Trump be able to do business? Trump has to be a big supporter of American business but for Musk, the idea of his zero emissions cars with electricity derived from burning more coal and more natural gas extracted from our national parks and public lands has to be a bitter pill to swallow.

For the moment, America has said it doesn’t give a damn about sustainability, even though 60% of people tell the pollsters that building a green economy is high on their wish list. For now, “cognitive dissonance” is the order of the day. The people have spoken and their message is they want good jobs and lots of them sooner rather than later. A lot of people have taken Donald Trump at his word that he can provide them.

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It is doubtful that Trumps’ victory will impact the fate of Tesla Motors or SolarCity negatively. Tesla has too much momentum built up and solar power is poised to supplant fossil fuels and nuclear simply because it costs less. Solar won’t need incentives if it is cheaper than the alternatives. Now electric cars will need to get less expensive to appeal to mainstream buyers.

Elon Musk

UPDATE: Tesla investors push Charles Schwab for Musk comp plan clarification

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tesla cybertruck elon musk
Tesla CEO Elon Musk unveils futuristic Cybertruck in Los Angeles, Nov. 21, 2019 (Photo: Teslarati)

Update: 4:00 p.m. EDT – Charles Schwab has reached out to TESLARATI with the following statement, clarifying that it plans to vote FOR Musk’s compensation package:

“Schwab Asset Management’s approach to voting on proxy matters is thorough and deliberate. We utilize a structured process that focuses on protecting and promoting shareholder value. We apply our own internal guidelines and do not rely on recommendations from Glass Lewis or ISS. In accordance with this process, Schwab Asset Management intends to vote in favor of the 2025 CEO performance award proposal. We firmly believe that supporting this proposal aligns both management and shareholder interests, ensuring the best outcome for all parties involved.”

There have also been updates to the headline and various paragraphs to reflect this as well as accuracy.

Tesla investors are pushing Charles Schwab for clarification after it was expected to vote against CEO Elon Musk’s pay package.

Several high-profile Tesla influencers are speaking out against Charles Schwab, saying its decision to vote against the plan that would retain Musk as CEO and give him potentially more voting power if he can achieve the tranches set by the company’s Board of Directors.

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The Tesla community appeared to see that Schwab is one firm that tends to vote against Musk’s compensation plans, as they also voted against the CEO’s 2018 pay package, which was passed by shareholders but then denied by a Delaware Chancery Court.

Schwab’s move was recognized by investors within the Tesla community and now they are speaking out about it:

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At least six of Charles Schwab’s ETFs were expected to vote against Tesla’s Board recommendation to support the compensation plan for Musk. The six ETFs represent around 7 million Tesla $TSLA shares.

Jason DeBolt, an all-in Tesla shareholder, summarized the firm’s decision really well:

As a custodian of ETF shares, your fiduciary duty is to vote in shareholders’ best interests. For a board that has delivered extraordinary returns, voting against their recommendations doesn’t align with retail investors, Tesla employees, or the leadership we invested to support. If Schwab’s proxy voting policies don’t reflect shareholder interests, my followers and I will move our collective tens of millions in $TSLA shares (or possibly hundreds of millions) to a broker that does, via account transfer as soon as this week.”

Tesla shareholders will vote on Musk’s pay package on Thursday at the Annual Shareholders Meeting in Austin, Texas.

It seems more likely than not that it will pass, but investors have made it clear they want a decisive victory, as it could clear the path for any issues with shareholder lawsuits in the future, as it did with Musk’s past pay package.

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Elon Musk

Norway’s $2 trillion sovereign wealth fund votes against Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award

The fund is managed by Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), and it holds a 1.14% stake in Tesla valued at about $11.6 billion.

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MINISTÉRIO DAS COMUNICAÇÕES, CC BY 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Norway’s $2 trillion sovereign wealth fund has voted against Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award, which will be ultimately decided at Tesla’s upcoming annual shareholder meeting. 

The fund is managed by Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), and it holds a 1.14% stake in Tesla valued at about $11.6 billion.

NBIM’s opposition

NBIM confirmed it had already cast its vote against Musk’s pay package, citing concerns over its total size, dilution, and lack of mitigation of key person risk, as noted in a CNBC report. The fund acknowledged Musk’s leadership of the EV maker, and it stated that it will continue to seek dialogue with Tesla about its concerns. 

“While we appreciate the significant value created under Mr. Musk’s visionary role, we are concerned about the total size of the award, dilution, and lack of mitigation of key person risk- consistent with our views on executive compensation. We will continue to seek constructive dialogue with Tesla on this and other topics,” NBIM noted.

The upcoming Tesla annual shareholder meeting will decide whether Musk should receive his proposed 2025 performance award, which would grant him large stock options over the next decade if Tesla hits several ambitious milestones, such as a market cap of $8.5 trillion. The 2025 performance award will also increase Musk’s stake in Tesla to 25%.

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Elon Musk and NBIM

Elon Musk’s proposed 2025 CEO performance award has proven polarizing, with large investors split on whether the executive should be given a pay package that, if fully completed, would make him a trillionaire. 

Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass Lewis have recommended that shareholders vote against the deal, and initiatives such as the “Take Back Tesla” campaign have rallied investors to oppose the proposed performance award. On the other hand, other large investors such as ARK Invest and the State Board of Administration of Florida (SBA) have urged shareholders to approve the compensation plan. 

Interestingly enough, this is not the first time that Musk and NBIM have found themselves on opposing sides. Last year, NBIM voted against reinstating Musk’s 2018 performance award, which had already been fully accomplished but was rescinded by a Delaware judge.

Later reports shared text messages between Musk and NBIM Chief Executive Nicolai Tangen, who was inviting the CEO to a dinner in Oslo. Musk declined the invitation, writing, “When I ask you for a favor, which I very rarely do, and you decline, then you should not ask me for one until you’ve done something to make amends. Friends are as friends do.”

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Investor's Corner

Michael Dell points out practical advantage of Elon Musk’s proposed pay package

As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders

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Michael Dell points out practical advantage of Elon Musk’s proposed pay package

Michael Dell has weighed in on Elon Musk’s controversial 2025 CEO Performance Award, offering a grounded perspective amidst the noise surrounding the pay package today.

As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders. Musk would quite literally receive no compensation if he fails to achieve his targets.

Dell emphasizes results over rhetoric

Dell shared his thoughts about Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award in a post on X.“Vote FOR Elon Musk. The award is only achieved IF he hits exceptionally ambitious market-cap and operational milestones—if he falls short, he gets nothing,” Dell wrote in his post. 

“If he succeeds, shareholders will win big through unprecedented value creation, and he will earn added voting rights to continue driving Tesla’s long-term vision.”

Musk replied with a short “Thanks Michael,” acknowledging Dell’s support. Dell’s framing cuts through the debate surrounding Musk’s compensation, as he simply focused on the incentive structure’s risk-reward balance.

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Musk’s ambitious pay package

Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award requires Tesla’s market capitalization to rise from roughly $1.1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion within a decade. This would make Tesla more valuable than any company in history.

Apart from this, Tesla’s operating profit must also grow from $17 billion to $400 billion annually. Musk must also lead the company to several product-related milestones, such as 20 million cumulative vehicle deliveries, 10 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions, 1 million Tesla Bots, and 1 million operating Robotaxis.

So far, proxy advisors Glass Lewis and ISS have urged shareholders to vote against the plan. Some prominent investors, including ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood, however, have voiced strong support for the plan. Wood called Musk “the most productive human being on earth,” arguing that his vision and ability to attract talent are central to Tesla’s success.

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