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Will the 200 mi, $30k Chevy Bolt challenge Tesla’s Model 3?
The Chevy Bolt and Tesla Model 3 will be priced nearly the same and will have about the same range. Is there room enough in the market for both or will one dominate the other in sales?
Chevrolet unveiled its production all electric Bolt at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) this week. Promising a range of 200 miles on a single charge, and at a price point in the $30,000 range, the Chevy Bolt has many wondering how this will stack up against Tesla’s upcoming mass market Model 3, to be unveiled in March.
Price and Range
Both cars will be similarly priced. Tesla says the Model 3 will start at $35,000. Mary Barra, GM’s CEO said at CES on Wednesday the Bolt will start at $37,500 before incentives and rebates. Though she didn’t give any details about trim levels and options, we know that a fully equipped Chevy Volt costs about $8,000 more than the base model. Add the same amount to the Bolt and you have a retail price just north of $45,000.
In all likelihood, Tesla will offer a number of options on the Model 3 including a choice of battery sizes, single or dual motors, and possibly falcon wing doors as hinted by Elon Musk. It wouldn’t take much to get the price of a Model 3 above $45,000. We wouldn’t be surprised if a fully loaded Model 3 nudges the $60,000 mark.
Styling
Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, which couldn’t hold more true when it comes to the looks of the Chevy Bolt. Some have said it resembles a BMW i3 in the front and a Honda Fit in the rear. Despite the compact look of the Bolt, it’s quite roomy inside. The front seats are a monopost design similar to what Tesla uses for the second row seats in the Model X. The center console floats between the seat, leaving lots of foot room for rear seat passengers. The Bolt’s flat floor means it’s easy to slide in and out. It also has slightly more cargo room than the Honda Fit.
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- Roomy Chevy Bolt storage capacity
No one knows yet what the Model 3 will look like, but Tesla has done an excellent job designing its cars so far. The Model S still looks modern even though it has been on the road for 4 years. We hear reports that Elon is pushing his engineers to get the coefficient of drag on the Model 3 below .20, which may require some extreme exterior designs. From what we know, the Model 3 will be larger than the Bolt, but is expected to be a sedan, at least initially. The Bolt is more of a crossover utility vehicle.
Connectivity and Autonomous Driving
Tesla has an enormous lead over other manufacturer thanks to its Autopilot software that shares what it knows with other Teslas via the cloud. It also has one of the user interfaces in the business. The touchscreen in the Bolt is adequate but not groundbreaking. The area where the Bolt and the Model 3 may be direct competitors is in the market for on-demand car sharing.
Ms. Barra announced the Bolt will have app based software that will make it suitable for car sharing. The corollary is that General Motors just invested a half billion dollars in Lyft. It clearly is positioning itself for the new transportation paradigm in which people don’t own cars anymore. They simple request the kind of car they need when they need it and pay the appropriate fee. Particularly for people in crowded urban areas, that model makes perfect economic sense.
But Tesla has its eye on that market as well. Who can forget Elon’s awkward moment during a recent conference call when analyst Adam Jonas asked him if Tesla was interested in pursing on-demand car sharing? Musk’s demeanor made it clear that Jonas’ question had hit a nerve. That’s where the collision between the Chevy Bolt and the Tesla Model 3 may occur, as both attempt to exploit new market opportunities.
Timing
Mary Barra confirmed Wednesday that Chevy Bolt production will begin late in 2016. That should give it about a one year head start in the market on the Tesla Model 3 — assuming Tesla keeps to its stated timeline. If it does, it will be the first time in company history. If it is delayed, it may spot the Bolt such a massive lead that it will never be able to catch up.
Elon Musk has challenged other automakers to make more and better electric cars. The Chevy Bolt is GM’s first attempt to rise to the challenge. Whether it is a Tesla killer or just a pretender won’t be known until at least a year from now.
Tesla has officially launched public Robotaxi rides in Austin, Texas, without a Safety Monitor in the vehicle, marking the first time the company has removed anyone from the vehicle other than the rider.
The Safety Monitor has been present in Tesla Robotaxis in Austin since its launch last June, maintaining safety for passengers and other vehicles, and was placed in the passenger’s seat.
Tesla planned to remove the Safety Monitor at the end of 2025, but it was not quite ready to do so. Now, in January, riders are officially reporting that they are able to hail a ride from a Model Y Robotaxi without anyone in the vehicle:
I am in a robotaxi without safety monitor pic.twitter.com/fzHu385oIb
— TSLA99T (@Tsla99T) January 22, 2026
Tesla started testing this internally late last year and had several employees show that they were riding in the vehicle without anyone else there to intervene in case of an emergency.
Tesla has now expanded that program to the public. It is not active in the entire fleet, but there are a “few unsupervised vehicles mixed in with the broader robotaxi fleet with safety monitors,” Ashok Elluswamy said:
Robotaxi rides without any safety monitors are now publicly available in Austin.
Starting with a few unsupervised vehicles mixed in with the broader robotaxi fleet with safety monitors, and the ratio will increase over time. https://t.co/ShMpZjefwB
— Ashok Elluswamy (@aelluswamy) January 22, 2026
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
The Robotaxi program also operates in the California Bay Area, where the fleet is much larger, but Safety Monitors are placed in the driver’s seat and utilize Full Self-Driving, so it is essentially the same as an Uber driver using a Tesla with FSD.
In Austin, the removal of Safety Monitors marks a substantial achievement for Tesla moving forward. Now that it has enough confidence to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis altogether, there are nearly unlimited options for the company in terms of expansion.
While it is hoping to launch the ride-hailing service in more cities across the U.S. this year, this is a much larger development than expansion, at least for now, as it is the first time it is performing driverless rides in Robotaxi anywhere in the world for the public to enjoy.
Tesla has scheduled its Earnings Call for Q4 and Full Year 2025 for next Wednesday, January 28, at 5:30 p.m. EST, and investors are already preparing to get some answers from executives regarding a wide variety of topics.
The company accepts several questions from retail investors through the platform Say, which then allows shareholders to vote on the best questions.
Tesla does not answer anything regarding future product releases, but they are willing to shed light on current timelines, progress of certain projects, and other plans.
There are five questions that range over a variety of topics, including SpaceX, Full Self-Driving, Robotaxi, and Optimus, which are currently in the lead to be asked and potentially answered by Elon Musk and other Tesla executives:
- You once said: Loyalty deserves loyalty. Will long-term Tesla shareholders still be prioritized if SpaceX does an IPO?
- Our Take – With a lot of speculation regarding an incoming SpaceX IPO, Tesla investors, especially long-term ones, should be able to benefit from an early opportunity to purchase shares. This has been discussed endlessly over the past year, and we must be getting close to it.
- When is FSD going to be 100% unsupervised?
- Our Take – Musk said today that this is essentially a solved problem, and it could be available in the U.S. by the end of this year.
- What is the current bottleneck to increase Robotaxi deployment & personal use unsupervised FSD? The safety/performance of the most recent models or people to monitor robots, robotaxis, in-car, or remotely? Or something else?
- Our Take – The bottleneck seems to be based on data, which Musk said Tesla needs 10 billion miles of data to achieve unsupervised FSD. Once that happens, regulatory issues will be what hold things up from moving forward.
- Regarding Optimus, could you share the current number of units deployed in Tesla factories and actively performing production tasks? What specific roles or operations are they handling, and how has their integration impacted factory efficiency or output?
- Our Take – Optimus is going to have a larger role in factories moving forward, and later this year, they will have larger responsibilities.
- Can you please tie purchased FSD to our owner accounts vs. locked to the car? This will help us enjoy it in any Tesla we drive/buy and reward us for hanging in so long, some of us since 2017.
- Our Take – This is a good one and should get us some additional information on the FSD transfer plans and Subscription-only model that Tesla will adopt soon.
Tesla will have its Earnings Call on Wednesday, January 28.
Elon Musk shared an incredible detail about Tesla Cybercab’s potential efficiency, as the company has hinted in the past that it could be one of the most affordable vehicles to operate from a per-mile basis.
ARK Invest released a report recently that shed some light on the potential incremental cost per mile of various Robotaxis that will be available on the market in the coming years.
The Cybercab, which is detailed for the year 2030, has an exceptionally low cost of operation, which is something Tesla revealed when it unveiled the vehicle a year and a half ago at the “We, Robot” event in Los Angeles.
Musk said on numerous occasions that Tesla plans to hit the $0.20 cents per mile mark with the Cybercab, describing a “clear path” to achieving that figure and emphasizing it is the “full considered” cost, which would include energy, maintenance, cleaning, depreciation, and insurance.
Probably true
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 22, 2026
ARK’s report showed that the Cybercab would be roughly half the cost of the Waymo 6th Gen Robotaxi in 2030, as that would come in at around $0.40 per mile all in. Cybercab, at scale, would be at $0.20.
Credit: ARK Invest
This would be a dramatic decrease in the cost of operation for Tesla, and the savings would then be passed on to customers who choose to utilize the ride-sharing service for their own transportation needs.
The U.S. average cost of new vehicle ownership is about $0.77 per mile, according to AAA. Meanwhile, Uber and Lyft rideshares often cost between $1 and $4 per mile, while Waymo can cost between $0.60 and $1 or more per mile, according to some estimates.
Tesla’s engineering has been the true driver of these cost efficiencies, and its focus on creating a vehicle that is as cost-effective to operate as possible is truly going to pay off as the vehicle begins to scale. Tesla wants to get the Cybercab to about 5.5-6 miles per kWh, which has been discussed with prototypes.
Additionally, fewer parts due to the umboxed manufacturing process, a lower initial cost, and eliminating the need to pay humans for their labor would also contribute to a cheaper operational cost overall. While aspirational, all of the ingredients for this to be a real goal are there.
It may take some time as Tesla needs to hammer the manufacturing processes, and Musk has said there will be growing pains early. This week, he said regarding the early production efforts:
“…initial production is always very slow and follows an S-curve. The speed of production ramp is inversely proportionate to how many new parts and steps there are. For Cybercab and Optimus, almost everything is new, so the early production rate will be agonizingly slow, but eventually end up being insanely fast.”
BREAKING: Tesla launches public Robotaxi rides in Austin with no Safety Monitor
Tesla Earnings Call: Top 5 questions investors are asking
