News
How the Key Bridge Collapse impacts Tesla and other automakers from the Port of Baltimore
The Port of Baltimore and its logistics processes are under major exposure this morning following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge just outside of the City, and it could impact nearly every car company.
In the early morning hours of March 26, a large container ship known as the Dali lost power on two occasions as it approached the Key Bridge, which connects the East portions of Baltimore to Anne Arundel County.
The water under the bridge is the Patapsco River, which connects the Inner Harbor and the Port of Baltimore to the Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean. The Port of Baltimore is the ninth-largest port in the United States but is the top location for vehicle handling in the country.
A major bridge in Baltimore, part of I-695, collapsed after being struck by a cargo ship early Tuesday, sending vehicles plunging into the water and setting off an emergency response.
Here’s the latest: https://t.co/JhDNWyOiZE pic.twitter.com/y1JGrWJoCG
— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 26, 2024
In my time at Teslarati, I have been fortunate enough to break some stories due to the Port of Baltimore’s position as a major handler of automotive imports and exports. The first Model S and Model X Plaid vehicles to be exported to Europe for deliveries were due to my sources at the Port.
Tesla ships more Model S, X Plaid to Europe en route to first 1M delivery year
Port of Baltimore’s Importance in Automotive Handling
The Port of Baltimore has a major position in the U.S. automotive sector. In 2022, it was the largest handler of U.S. automotive imports and exports. Data for 2023 has not yet been released.
However, the Port is widely responsible for hundreds of thousands of cars coming in and out of the country every year, and the potential issues this collapse could cause are wide-ranging.
How the collapse will affect Tesla and other automakers
Tesla is no different than any other car company in this instance, and it will feel the effects of the Key Bridge collapse. Maryland Senator Chris Van Hollen said the “thriving” Port of Baltimore will be impacted until the debris from the bridge is cleared from the river, and ships will not be able to enter the Port until then.
Sources inside the Port have also told Teslarati that the Port could be closed for up to three months. This means that any vehicles being shipped from Europe to the United States, or vice versa, will have to enter through alternative ports, including Miami, Savannah, Newark, or others.
The Port of Baltimore has handled the majority of light-duty cars and trucks, according to Bloomberg.
How will the crisis be averted?
Shifting goods to alternative ports is the primary strategy currently. Luckily for Tesla, it did not just launch delivery of a fresh vehicle to Europe, as Gigafactory Shanghai builds the Model 3 and can export units as it has for years. Tesla could also ship vehicles from the West Coast to China and then have units shipped to Europe from China as a result.
Sources have speculated that the Port could shift automotive deliveries to the Port of Philadelphia or Wilmington as a result of the Key Bridge collapse.
No official word or strategy has been released by the Port or its governing bodies.
I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
News
Tesla’s Elon Musk posts updated Robotaxi fleet ramp for Austin, TX
Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
Elon Musk says Tesla will “roughly double” its supervised Robotaxi fleet in Austin next month as riders report long wait times and limited availability across the pilot program in the Texas city. Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
The move comes as Waymo accelerates its U.S. expansion with its fully driverless freeway service, intensifying competition in autonomous mobility.
Tesla to increase Austin Robotaxi fleet size
Tesla’s Robotaxi service in Austin continues to operate under supervised conditions, requiring a safety monitor in the front seat even as the company seeks regulatory approval to begin testing without human oversight. The current fleet is estimated at about 30 vehicles, StockTwists noted, and Musk’s commitment to doubling that figure follows widespread rider complaints about limited access and “High Service Demand” notifications.
Influencers and early users of the Robotaxi service have observed repeated failures to secure a ride during peak times, highlighting a supply bottleneck in one of Tesla’s most visible autonomy pilots. The expansion aims to provide more consistent availability as the company scales and gathers more real-world driving data, an advantage analysts often cite as a differentiator versus rivals.
Broader rollout plans
Tesla’s Robotaxi service has so far only been rolled out to Austin and the Bay Area, though reports have indicated that the electric vehicle maker is putting in a lot of effort to expand the service to other cities across the United States. Waymo, the Robotaxi service’s biggest competitor, has ramped its service to areas like the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and Phoenix.
Analysts continue to highlight Tesla’s long-term autonomy potential due to its global fleet size, vertically integrated design, and immense real-world data. ARK Invest has maintained that Tesla Robotaxis could represent up to 90% of the company’s enterprise value by 2029. BTIG analysts, on the other hand, added that upcoming Full Self-Driving upgrades will enhance reasoning, particularly parking decisions, while Tesla pushes toward expansions in Austin, the Bay Area, and potentially 8 to 10 metro regions by the end of 2025.
Tesla has finished construction at its biggest Supercharger ever in Lost Hills, California, and all 168 stalls are officially open as of today.
After several years of development, the company has officially announced that the Lost Hills Supercharger, known as Project Oasis, is officially open with 168 stalls active and available to drivers.
Tesla announced the completion of the Lost Hills Supercharger on Tuesday, showing off the site, which is powered by 10 Megapack batteries for storage and is completely independent of the grid, as it has 11 MW of solar panels bringing energy to the massive Battery Energy Storage System (BESS).
All 168 Stalls at the Tesla Supercharger in Lost Hills, California are officially open! pic.twitter.com/eo9xmZyUNB
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) November 25, 2025
This is the largest Supercharger in the world and opens just in time for the Thanksgiving holiday, which is the most-traveled weekend of the year in the United States.
Spanning across 30 acres, it was partially opened back in July 2025 as Tesla opened just 84 of the 168 stalls at the site. However, Tesla finished certifying the site recently, which enabled the Supercharger to open up completely.
The site generates roughly 20 GWh of energy annually, which is enough to power roughly 1,700 homes. The launch of this site specifically is massive for the company as it plans to launch more Superchargers in more rural areas, making charging more available for cross-country rides that require stops in more remote regions of the United States.
This is perhaps the only weak point of Tesla’s massive charging infrastructure.
It has some features that are also extremely welcome for some owners, including things like pull-through stalls for those who tow, an idea that was extremely popular following the launch of the Cybertruck.
Tesla has over 70,000 active Superchargers across the world. The company has also made efforts to create unique experiences at some of the stops, most notably with its Tesla Diner, located on Santa Monica Boulevard in Los Angeles.
That Supercharger has two massive drive-in movie theaters and will soon transition to a full-service restaurant following the departure of its executive chef, Eric Greenspan.
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
Tesla’s Elon Musk posts updated Robotaxi fleet ramp for Austin, TX
