News
How the Key Bridge Collapse impacts Tesla and other automakers from the Port of Baltimore
The Port of Baltimore and its logistics processes are under major exposure this morning following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge just outside of the City, and it could impact nearly every car company.
In the early morning hours of March 26, a large container ship known as the Dali lost power on two occasions as it approached the Key Bridge, which connects the East portions of Baltimore to Anne Arundel County.
The water under the bridge is the Patapsco River, which connects the Inner Harbor and the Port of Baltimore to the Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean. The Port of Baltimore is the ninth-largest port in the United States but is the top location for vehicle handling in the country.
A major bridge in Baltimore, part of I-695, collapsed after being struck by a cargo ship early Tuesday, sending vehicles plunging into the water and setting off an emergency response.
Here’s the latest: https://t.co/JhDNWyOiZE pic.twitter.com/y1JGrWJoCG
— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 26, 2024
In my time at Teslarati, I have been fortunate enough to break some stories due to the Port of Baltimore’s position as a major handler of automotive imports and exports. The first Model S and Model X Plaid vehicles to be exported to Europe for deliveries were due to my sources at the Port.
Tesla ships more Model S, X Plaid to Europe en route to first 1M delivery year
Port of Baltimore’s Importance in Automotive Handling
The Port of Baltimore has a major position in the U.S. automotive sector. In 2022, it was the largest handler of U.S. automotive imports and exports. Data for 2023 has not yet been released.
However, the Port is widely responsible for hundreds of thousands of cars coming in and out of the country every year, and the potential issues this collapse could cause are wide-ranging.
How the collapse will affect Tesla and other automakers
Tesla is no different than any other car company in this instance, and it will feel the effects of the Key Bridge collapse. Maryland Senator Chris Van Hollen said the “thriving” Port of Baltimore will be impacted until the debris from the bridge is cleared from the river, and ships will not be able to enter the Port until then.
Sources inside the Port have also told Teslarati that the Port could be closed for up to three months. This means that any vehicles being shipped from Europe to the United States, or vice versa, will have to enter through alternative ports, including Miami, Savannah, Newark, or others.
The Port of Baltimore has handled the majority of light-duty cars and trucks, according to Bloomberg.
How will the crisis be averted?
Shifting goods to alternative ports is the primary strategy currently. Luckily for Tesla, it did not just launch delivery of a fresh vehicle to Europe, as Gigafactory Shanghai builds the Model 3 and can export units as it has for years. Tesla could also ship vehicles from the West Coast to China and then have units shipped to Europe from China as a result.
Sources have speculated that the Port could shift automotive deliveries to the Port of Philadelphia or Wilmington as a result of the Key Bridge collapse.
No official word or strategy has been released by the Port or its governing bodies.
I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
