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NIO sets its sights on overtaking Tesla in China

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One of the latest electric car companies looking to challenge Tesla’s dominance has made known its intentions of overtaking the Silicon Valley car manufacturer in China’s luxury auto market. In a recent 60 Minutes interview, founder and CEO William Li described plans for NIO, his Chinese EV startup company to capture Tesla’s upper-middle class audience in the country, ultimately moving on to position its products as highly desired status symbols. With potentially 50% of the worldwide electric car market soon to be located in China, NIO’s ambitions are certainly poised in a promising direction, and their native knowledge of their customer market just may help give them the edge they’re seeking.

NIO’s strategy to appeal to the EV customer market is similar to Tesla’s in several ways and has earned it the nickname “Tesla of China.” The Chinese auto maker currently sells two high-performance SUVs, the ES6 and the ES8, both of which have an advanced autonomous driving system (not yet in operation) and an on-board pilot system. These, of course, are all features enjoyed by current Tesla drivers in Tesla’s own flavor, and with one look at NIO’s vehicles’ large center console control screen, it’s clear which auto maker’s customer base NIO is targeting. A phone app is incorporated into the NIO ownership experience, providing basic car services like roadside assistance and maintenance scheduling (as well as several other features). Customers can also purchase NIO vehicles via the app, similar to Tesla’s sales model. While significant commonalities exist between the two car makers, NIO has significant unique offerings as well.

Owning a Tesla certainly comes with an incorporated sense of community, but NIO seeks to expand on that concept, eventually transforming its brand into a symbol of social standing by connecting customers with one another. The car maker presents itself as a lifestyle company, offering membership in exclusive NIO-owner-only clubs called NIO Houses with regular social activities and perks one might see at, say, a country or yacht club in the US – classes, meeting rooms, etc. The customer app also connects users to an entire social network of other owners – a bit beyond basic Internet forums.

NIO has further padded its ‘lifestyle’ perception with first-of-its-kind battery swapping technology, allowing customers to switch out their drained car batteries for fully charged ones via an automated system that’s faster than refueling at a gas station, saving time. Also, a mobile charging subscription service is an owner option, wherein NIO company vehicles travel to the vehicle’s location to supply it with power on request. Along with customer-oriented charging services and community perks, subscription packages offering free repairs and maintenance (with valet pickup/delivery options), cellular data boosts, car washing, airport parking, and several others all foster a lifestyle for NIO customers that’s only available via vehicle ownership.

For about $60,000 (before tax breaks and subsidies), a customer in China can own one of NIO’s two all-electric SUVs. The company’s flagship SUV, the ES8, is all-wheel drive, uses two 240 kW motors, and has a swappable 70 kWh/84 kWh battery. Impressively, it also has a 0-100 km/h (0-62 mph) time of 4.4 seconds. The newly released ES6 uses dual 160 kW high efficiency or 240 kW high performance motors with a swappable 70 kWh/84 kWh battery. The 0-100 km/h time is 4.7 seconds.

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One of the major factors in NIO’s favor (as well as any electric car maker in the country) is the Chinese government’s major push to bring electric vehicles to the country’s roads. With air pollution a problem literally looming over the heads of major city populations, China’s leadership has maneuvered its tax system to provide major incentives for EV purchases to address the dirty air situation via clean energy. In Shanghai, for example, the $12,000+ license fee required to purchase a car in the city is waived if it’s electric. Additionally, several Chinese cities offer thousands of dollars in rebates for EV purchases.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has experienced this motivated government favoritism first hand with a sped up permit and construction process for Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai. As an established EV maker and leader in the EV revolution, paving the way for Tesla to have a major presence in China is in line with the leadership’s desires for market transformation. As described in the 60 Minutes segment, hundreds of native electric vehicle companies have also popped up as a result of incentive efforts, all hoping to achieve major success with government backing. NIO hopes to cut through the competition with its lifestyle branding.

While Tesla may have entertainment features like TeslAtari and Easter eggs, NIO boasts its own unique fun feature: an artificial intelligence personal assistant named NOMI, touted by the company as the world’s first such in-car device. On the dashboard, a little sphere with digital eyes chats with vehicle passengers and interacts to provide music playlists, adjust cabin temperature, and even take selfies. NOMI seems to be inspired by other existing AI robot personal assistants like the personality-filled Vector Robot by Anki.

If you’re a fan of Amazon’s (hit) car show, The Grand Tour, you may have seen NIO’s EP9 supercar racer on display in the “Chinese Food for Thought” episode, driven by the crash-tested Richard Hammond demonstrating the car’s 1,341 brake horsepower. While not road legal, for the price of around $1.5 million dollars, owners of this insanely fast vehicle can enjoy a 0-125 mph acceleration of about 7 seconds and an octopus-like grip around track corners thanks to 5,395 pounds of downforce (2X the amount of Formula 1 cars). When it’s time to recharge the batteries, a full charge takes only 45 minutes; however, that’s where usability complications set in. The battery must be completely removed by a specialty team in order to recharge, something that just might be on hand to begin with since the vehicle is a track-only hobby car.

Last year, NIO achieved its goal of delivering 10,000 vehicles, all made-to-order. CEO Li expects to be able to ramp up production quickly in the coming years thanks to the Chinese manufacturing capabilities, and he eventually hopes to have NIO vehicles on the road in the United States. The company already has a presence in San Jose, California where its global software development center employs over 700 people.

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In a final nod to Tesla similarities, NIO’s mission as an EV company is environmentally-involved. The Chinese name for the company is Weilai, meaning “Blue Sky Coming”, and it represents their guiding philosophy based on building a sustainable future with clean energy. Per their website, “When the ownership experience exceeds expectations, electric vehicles will simply become the natural choice for everyone, leading to a more sustainable tomorrow. With that, our vision of a blue sky will come true.”

Accidental computer geek, fascinated by most history and the multiplanetary future on its way. Quite keen on the democratization of space. | It's pronounced day-sha, but I answer to almost any variation thereof.

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Elon Musk

SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly

The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

SpaceX’s initial comment

As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.

“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X. 

Incident and aftermath

Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.

Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers. 

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

Analysts highlight autonomy progress

During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.

The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report. 

Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”

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Street targets diverge on TSLA

While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.

Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements. 

Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs. 

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Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing

Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory. 

Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired. 

Booster test failure

SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.

Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.

Tight deadlines

SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.

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While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.

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