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NIO sets its sights on overtaking Tesla in China

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7 years ago

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One of the latest electric car companies looking to challenge Tesla’s dominance has made known its intentions of overtaking the Silicon Valley car manufacturer in China’s luxury auto market. In a recent 60 Minutes interview, founder and CEO William Li described plans for NIO, his Chinese EV startup company to capture Tesla’s upper-middle class audience in the country, ultimately moving on to position its products as highly desired status symbols. With potentially 50% of the worldwide electric car market soon to be located in China, NIO’s ambitions are certainly poised in a promising direction, and their native knowledge of their customer market just may help give them the edge they’re seeking.

NIO’s strategy to appeal to the EV customer market is similar to Tesla’s in several ways and has earned it the nickname “Tesla of China.” The Chinese auto maker currently sells two high-performance SUVs, the ES6 and the ES8, both of which have an advanced autonomous driving system (not yet in operation) and an on-board pilot system. These, of course, are all features enjoyed by current Tesla drivers in Tesla’s own flavor, and with one look at NIO’s vehicles’ large center console control screen, it’s clear which auto maker’s customer base NIO is targeting. A phone app is incorporated into the NIO ownership experience, providing basic car services like roadside assistance and maintenance scheduling (as well as several other features). Customers can also purchase NIO vehicles via the app, similar to Tesla’s sales model. While significant commonalities exist between the two car makers, NIO has significant unique offerings as well.

Owning a Tesla certainly comes with an incorporated sense of community, but NIO seeks to expand on that concept, eventually transforming its brand into a symbol of social standing by connecting customers with one another. The car maker presents itself as a lifestyle company, offering membership in exclusive NIO-owner-only clubs called NIO Houses with regular social activities and perks one might see at, say, a country or yacht club in the US – classes, meeting rooms, etc. The customer app also connects users to an entire social network of other owners – a bit beyond basic Internet forums.

NIO has further padded its ‘lifestyle’ perception with first-of-its-kind battery swapping technology, allowing customers to switch out their drained car batteries for fully charged ones via an automated system that’s faster than refueling at a gas station, saving time. Also, a mobile charging subscription service is an owner option, wherein NIO company vehicles travel to the vehicle’s location to supply it with power on request. Along with customer-oriented charging services and community perks, subscription packages offering free repairs and maintenance (with valet pickup/delivery options), cellular data boosts, car washing, airport parking, and several others all foster a lifestyle for NIO customers that’s only available via vehicle ownership.

For about $60,000 (before tax breaks and subsidies), a customer in China can own one of NIO’s two all-electric SUVs. The company’s flagship SUV, the ES8, is all-wheel drive, uses two 240 kW motors, and has a swappable 70 kWh/84 kWh battery. Impressively, it also has a 0-100 km/h (0-62 mph) time of 4.4 seconds. The newly released ES6 uses dual 160 kW high efficiency or 240 kW high performance motors with a swappable 70 kWh/84 kWh battery. The 0-100 km/h time is 4.7 seconds.

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One of the major factors in NIO’s favor (as well as any electric car maker in the country) is the Chinese government’s major push to bring electric vehicles to the country’s roads. With air pollution a problem literally looming over the heads of major city populations, China’s leadership has maneuvered its tax system to provide major incentives for EV purchases to address the dirty air situation via clean energy. In Shanghai, for example, the $12,000+ license fee required to purchase a car in the city is waived if it’s electric. Additionally, several Chinese cities offer thousands of dollars in rebates for EV purchases.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has experienced this motivated government favoritism first hand with a sped up permit and construction process for Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai. As an established EV maker and leader in the EV revolution, paving the way for Tesla to have a major presence in China is in line with the leadership’s desires for market transformation. As described in the 60 Minutes segment, hundreds of native electric vehicle companies have also popped up as a result of incentive efforts, all hoping to achieve major success with government backing. NIO hopes to cut through the competition with its lifestyle branding.

While Tesla may have entertainment features like TeslAtari and Easter eggs, NIO boasts its own unique fun feature: an artificial intelligence personal assistant named NOMI, touted by the company as the world’s first such in-car device. On the dashboard, a little sphere with digital eyes chats with vehicle passengers and interacts to provide music playlists, adjust cabin temperature, and even take selfies. NOMI seems to be inspired by other existing AI robot personal assistants like the personality-filled Vector Robot by Anki.

If you’re a fan of Amazon’s (hit) car show, The Grand Tour, you may have seen NIO’s EP9 supercar racer on display in the “Chinese Food for Thought” episode, driven by the crash-tested Richard Hammond demonstrating the car’s 1,341 brake horsepower. While not road legal, for the price of around $1.5 million dollars, owners of this insanely fast vehicle can enjoy a 0-125 mph acceleration of about 7 seconds and an octopus-like grip around track corners thanks to 5,395 pounds of downforce (2X the amount of Formula 1 cars). When it’s time to recharge the batteries, a full charge takes only 45 minutes; however, that’s where usability complications set in. The battery must be completely removed by a specialty team in order to recharge, something that just might be on hand to begin with since the vehicle is a track-only hobby car.

Last year, NIO achieved its goal of delivering 10,000 vehicles, all made-to-order. CEO Li expects to be able to ramp up production quickly in the coming years thanks to the Chinese manufacturing capabilities, and he eventually hopes to have NIO vehicles on the road in the United States. The company already has a presence in San Jose, California where its global software development center employs over 700 people.

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In a final nod to Tesla similarities, NIO’s mission as an EV company is environmentally-involved. The Chinese name for the company is Weilai, meaning “Blue Sky Coming”, and it represents their guiding philosophy based on building a sustainable future with clean energy. Per their website, “When the ownership experience exceeds expectations, electric vehicles will simply become the natural choice for everyone, leading to a more sustainable tomorrow. With that, our vision of a blue sky will come true.”

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Accidental computer geek, fascinated by most history and the multiplanetary future on its way. Quite keen on the democratization of space. | It's pronounced day-sha, but I answer to almost any variation thereof.

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Elon Musk

Tesla CEO Elon Musk drops massive bomb about Cybercab

“And there is so much to this car that is not obvious on the surface,” Musk said.

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2 hours ago

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January 2, 2026

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla CEO Elon Musk dropped a massive bomb about the Cybercab, which is the company’s fully autonomous ride-hailing vehicle that will enter production later this year.

The Cybercab was unveiled back in October 2024 at the company’s “We, Robot” event in Los Angeles, and is among the major catalysts for the company’s growth in the coming years. It is expected to push Tesla into a major growth phase, especially as the automaker is transitioning into more of an AI and Robotics company than anything else.

The Cybercab will enable completely autonomous ride-hailing for Tesla, and although its other vehicles will also be capable of this technology, the Cybercab is slightly different. It will have no steering wheel or pedals, and will allow two occupants to travel from Point A to Point B with zero responsibilities within the car.

Tesla shares epic 2025 recap video, confirms start of Cybercab production

Details on the Cybercab are pretty face value at this point: we know Tesla is enabling 1-2 passengers to ride in it at a time, and this strategy was based on statistics that show most ride-hailing trips have no more than two occupants. It will also have in-vehicle entertainment options accessible from the center touchscreen.

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It will also have wireless charging capabilities, which were displayed at “We, Robot,” and there could be more features that will be highly beneficial to riders, offering a full-fledged autonomous experience.

Musk dropped a big hint that there is much more to the Cybercab than what we know, as a post on X said that “there is so much to this car that is not obvious on the surface.”

As the Cybercab is expected to enter production later this year, Tesla is surely going to include a handful of things they have not yet revealed to the public.

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Musk seems to be indicating that some of the features will make it even more groundbreaking, and the idea is to enable a truly autonomous experience from start to finish for riders. Everything from climate control to emergency systems, and more, should be included with the car.

It seems more likely than not that Tesla will make the Cybercab its smartest vehicle so far, as if its current lineup is not already extremely intelligent, user-friendly, and intuitive.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla Q4 delivery numbers are better than they initially look: analyst

The Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner shared his thoughts in a post on his website.

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4 hours ago

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January 2, 2026

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Longtime Tesla analyst and Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner Gene Munster has shared his insights on Tesla’s Q4 2025 deliveries. As per the analyst, Tesla’s numbers are actually better than they first appear. 

Munster shared his thoughts in a post on his website. 

Normalized December Deliveries

Munster noted that Tesla delivered 418k vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, slightly below Street expectations of 420k but above the whisper number of 415k. Tesla’s reported 16% year-over-year decline, compared to +7% in September, is largely distorted by the timing of the tax credit expiration, which pulled forward demand.

“Taking a step back, we believe September deliveries pulled forward approximately 55k units that would have otherwise occurred in December or March. For simplicity, we assume the entire pull-forward impacted the December quarter. Under this assumption, September growth would have been down ~5% absent the 55k pull-forward, a Deepwater estimate tied to the credit’s expiration.

“For December deliveries to have declined ~5% year over year would imply total deliveries of roughly 470k. Subtracting the 55k units pulled into September results in an implied December delivery figure of approximately 415k. The reported 418k suggests that, when normalizing for the tax credit timing, quarter-over-quarter growth has been consistently down ~5%. Importantly, this ~5% decline represents an improvement from the ~13% declines seen in both the March and June 2025 quarters.“

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Tesla’s United States market share

Munster also estimated that Q4 as a whole might very well show a notable improvement in Tesla’s market share in the United States. 

“Over the past couple of years, based on data from Cox Automotive, Tesla has been losing U.S. EV market share, declining to just under 50%. Based on data for October and November, Cox estimates that total U.S. EV sales were down approximately 35%, compared to Tesla’s just reported down 16% for the full quarter.  For the first two months of the quarter, Cox reported Tesla market share of roughly a 65% share, up from under 50% in the September quarter.

“While this data excludes December, the quarter as a whole is likely to show a material improvement in Tesla’s U.S. EV market share.“

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Elon Musk

Tesla analyst breaks down delivery report: ‘A step in the right direction’

“This will be viewed as better than feared deliveries and a step in the right direction for the Tesla story heading into 2026,” Ives wrote.

Published

4 hours ago

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January 2, 2026

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla analyst Dan Ives of Wedbush released a new note on Friday morning just after the company released production and delivery figures for Q4 and the full year of 2025, stating that the numbers, while slightly underwhelming, are “better than feared” and as “a step in the right direction.”

Tesla reported production of 434,358 and deliveries of 418,227 for the fourth quarter, while 1,654,667 vehicles were produced and 1,636,129 cars were delivered for the full year.

Tesla releases Q4 and FY 2025 vehicle delivery and production report

Interestingly, the company posted its own consensus figures that were compiled from various firms on its website a few days ago, where expectations were set at 1,640,752 cars for the year. Tesla fell about 4,000 units short of that. One of the areas where Tesla excelled was energy deployments, which totaled 46.7 GWh for the year.

In terms of vehicle deliveries, Ives writes that Tesla certainly has some things to work through if it wants to return to growth in that aspect, especially with the loss of the $7,500 tax credit in the U.S. and “continuous headwinds” for the company in Europe.

However, Ives also believes that, given the delivery numbers, which were on par with expectations, Tesla is positioned well for a strong 2026, especially with its AI focus, Robotaxi and Cybercab development, and energy:

“This will be viewed as better than feared deliveries and a step in the right direction for the Tesla story heading into 2026. We look forward to hearing more at the company’s 4Q25 call on January 28th. AI Valuation – The Focus Throughout 2026. We believe Tesla could reach a $2 trillion market cap over the coming year and, in a bull case scenario, $3 trillion by the end of 2026…as full-scale volume production begins with the autonomous and robotics roadmap…The company has started to test the all-important Cybercab in Austin over the past few weeks, which is an incremental step towards launching in 2026 with important volume production of Cybercabs starting in April/May, which remains the golden goose in unlocking TSLA’s AI valuation.”

It’s no secret that for the past several years, Tesla’s vehicle delivery numbers have been the main focus of investors and analysts have looked at them as an indicator of company health to a certain extent. The problem with that narrative in 2025 and 2026 is that Tesla is now focusing more on the deployment of Full Self-Driving, its Optimus project, AI development, and Cybercab.

While vehicle deliveries still hold importance, it is more crucial to note that Tesla’s overall environment as a business relies on much more than just how many cars are purchased. That metric, to a certain extent, is fading in importance in the grand scheme of things, but it will never totally disappear.

Ives and Wedbush maintained their $600 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating on the stock.

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