News
Rivian’s R2 SUV is coming just in time for the next wave of new BEVs [Opinion]
Rivian CEO and Founder RJ Scaringe teased details about the Rivian R2 SUV, the smaller sibling of the company’s R1S vehicle. The Rivian R2 is expected to launch by 2024 when a new wave of battery-electric vehicles is expected to arrive.
Scaringe teased the Rivian R2 SUV during his Instagram Q&A session last weekend. The tease was brief but sufficient to reveal that Rivan is indeed developing a new vehicle. The company covered the R2 with a black cloth, so the audience could only see its silhouette.
Based on its brief appearance during Scaringe’s Q&A, the R2 SUV will be significantly smaller than the R1S but maintains its sibling’s general shape. Jeff Hammond, the Head of Rivian’s design team revealed that the vehicle under the black cover was a clay model of the R2 SUV.
Automakers traditionally use industrial plasticine modeling material or hobby clay when figuring out the design of a new vehicle. Clay allows designers and engineers to play with the layout of the new vehicle and quickly make changes. Clay car models are also helpful in wind tunnel tests and experiments where design changes might affect the aerodynamic efficiency of a new car.
Rivian R2 SUV & its Competition
RJ Scaringe also hinted at new colors, materials, and finishes Rivian might roll out with the R2 SUV. During the Q&A session, a question about other R2 details was asked, and Scaringe replied by introducing the Director of Rivian’s CMF (color, materials, and finishes) team.
The R2 SUV might have its own colors, interiors, and finishes separate from its R1 siblings. Differentiating the R2 SUV from the R1 lineup would be wise for Rivian. The R2’s interiors, colors, and finishes would affect the final price of the battery electric vehicle (BEV). Other components of the R2 SUV would also affect its cost and, therefore, its sales performance in the market.
Price and design will be critical factors in the R2 SUV’s success. The Rivian R2 SUV will launch at a time when a new wave of BEVs is set to hit the market. The new BEVs all have a few things in common. First, they are smaller, more compact. And second, they are more affordable.
For instance, Tesla’s long-anticipated $25,000 compact vehicle is expected to hit the market around the same time as the Rivian R2. Tesla’s compact car is already in development and the company has teased a launch event soon. Some sources have shared that Tesla is working on a smaller version of the Model Y and aims to reach an annual production capacity of 4 million units for the compact vehicle.
If rumors are true, the Rivian R2 SUV might directly compete with a compact Tesla Model Y. Rivian seems determined to give the R2 SUV the best shot on the market, too. Last year, Scaringe stated that Rivian’s R2 productions would use batteries manufactured domestically. If Rivian plays it right, the R2 SUV might be eligible for all of the Inflation Reduction Act’s $7,500 EV tax credits, giving it an edge in the BEV market—at least in the United States.
Watch RJ Scaringe’s Instagram Q&A below!
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News
Tesla takes a step towards removal of Robotaxi service’s safety drivers
Tesla watchers are speculating that the implementation of in-camera data sharing could be a step towards the removal of the Robotaxi service’s safety drivers.
Tesla appears to be preparing for the eventual removal of its Robotaxi service’s safety drivers.
This was hinted at in a recent de-compile of the Robotaxi App’s version 25.11.5, which was shared on social media platform X.
In-cabin analytics
As per Tesla software tracker @Tesla_App_iOS, the latest update to the Robotaxi app featured several improvements. These include Live Screen Sharing, as well as a feature that would allow Tesla to access video and audio inside the vehicle.
According to the software tracker, a new prompt has been added to the Robotaxi App that requests user consent for enhanced in-cabin data sharing, which comprise Cabin Camera Analytics and Sound Detection Analytics. Once accepted, Tesla would be able to retrieve video and audio data from the Robotaxi’s cabin.
Video and audio sharing
A screenshot posted by the software tracker on X showed that Cabin Camera Analytics is used to improve the intelligence of features like request support. Tesla has not explained exactly how the feature will be implemented, though this might mean that the in-cabin camera may be used to view and analyze the status of passengers when remote agents are contacted.
Sound Detection Analytics is expected to be used to improve the intelligence of features like siren recognition. This suggests that Robotaxis will always be actively listening for emergency vehicle sirens to improve how the system responds to them. Tesla, however, also maintained that data collected by Robotaxis will be anonymous. In-cabin data will not be linked to users unless they are needed for a safety event or a support request.
Tesla watchers are speculating that the implementation of in-camera data sharing could be a step towards the removal of the Robotaxi service’s safety drivers. With Tesla able to access video and audio feeds from Robotaxis, after all, users can get assistance even if they are alone in the driverless vehicle.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
News
Tesla’s Elon Musk posts updated Robotaxi fleet ramp for Austin, TX
Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
Elon Musk says Tesla will “roughly double” its supervised Robotaxi fleet in Austin next month as riders report long wait times and limited availability across the pilot program in the Texas city. Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
The move comes as Waymo accelerates its U.S. expansion with its fully driverless freeway service, intensifying competition in autonomous mobility.
Tesla to increase Austin Robotaxi fleet size
Tesla’s Robotaxi service in Austin continues to operate under supervised conditions, requiring a safety monitor in the front seat even as the company seeks regulatory approval to begin testing without human oversight. The current fleet is estimated at about 30 vehicles, StockTwists noted, and Musk’s commitment to doubling that figure follows widespread rider complaints about limited access and “High Service Demand” notifications.
Influencers and early users of the Robotaxi service have observed repeated failures to secure a ride during peak times, highlighting a supply bottleneck in one of Tesla’s most visible autonomy pilots. The expansion aims to provide more consistent availability as the company scales and gathers more real-world driving data, an advantage analysts often cite as a differentiator versus rivals.
Broader rollout plans
Tesla’s Robotaxi service has so far only been rolled out to Austin and the Bay Area, though reports have indicated that the electric vehicle maker is putting in a lot of effort to expand the service to other cities across the United States. Waymo, the Robotaxi service’s biggest competitor, has ramped its service to areas like the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and Phoenix.
Analysts continue to highlight Tesla’s long-term autonomy potential due to its global fleet size, vertically integrated design, and immense real-world data. ARK Invest has maintained that Tesla Robotaxis could represent up to 90% of the company’s enterprise value by 2029. BTIG analysts, on the other hand, added that upcoming Full Self-Driving upgrades will enhance reasoning, particularly parking decisions, while Tesla pushes toward expansions in Austin, the Bay Area, and potentially 8 to 10 metro regions by the end of 2025.
Tesla takes a step towards removal of Robotaxi service’s safety drivers
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
