News
SpaceX’s Falcon 9 Block 5 fleet preps for dual drone ship booster landings
SpaceX engineers and technicians have just completed the second on-pad static fire of a Falcon 9 Block 5 booster, and another test is scheduled on the opposite coast for a different upgraded booster in roughly two days.
Penciled in on July 22 and July 25, these imminent back to back launches will mark the effective beginning of the highly-reusable Block 5 era now that all older versions have flown for the last time. Crucially, the practice of intentionally expending reused boosters will almost certainly come to an end for the indefinite future, beginning with these next missions. Both new cores will land aboard drone ship pair Just Read The Instructions (JRTI; West Coast) and Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY; East Coast), and both autonomous vessels will be simultaneously stationed at sea for the second time ever.
Static fire test of Falcon 9 complete—targeting early morning launch on Sunday, July 22 of Telstar 19 VANTAGE from Pad 40 in Florida.
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) July 18, 2018
This rare dual drone ship deployment will likely become a regular occurrence for SpaceX Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy recoveries over the course of the rest of 2018 and 2019, as higher rates of launch from both East and West coast launch facilities and the unlikelihood of a Block 5 booster being expended will translate to a much greater need for the giant rocket recovery vessels.
In fact, the 7-10 days it takes drone ships to travel from their ports of call to booster landing points and back to port again will likely be the most insurmountable constraint on launch cadence, at least for the Falcon family – high energy missions could only be completed every ten or so days on the East Coast, at least until a third drone ship is brought online. To be named A Shortfall of Gravitas (ASoG), a third autonomous spaceport drone ship (ASDS) is in fact planned as an expansion of SpaceX’s fleet, although it’s unknown if the vessel is under construction now, nor when exactly it’s expected to enter service.
Falcon 9 B1045’s picture-perfect, gentle landing aboard drone ship OCISLY, April 2018. (SpaceX)
SpaceX’s next three missions from its Florida-based LC-40 pad all happen to feature Block 5 Falcon 9 boosters tasked with placing heavy communications satellites in high-energy orbits, and all three launches are currently paced roughly two weeks apart – July 22, August 2, and August 18. That consistent two-week cadence on SpaceX’s launch schedule is for the most part driven equally by launchpad readiness and drone ship availability, both of which require some amount of refurbishment or maintenance after launches/landings.
On the West Coast will be the launch of Iridium NEXT-7 on July 25, carrying ten Iridium NEXT satellites atop a Block 5 booster. That booster – as well as at least two of the three East coast boosters – will be fresh from the factory, conducting (hopefully) the first of many future missions apiece. Excitingly, the planned recovery attempt after Iridium-7 will bring to an end a nearly 10-month drought of rocket landings aboard drone ship JRTI. Further, it looks like chances are good that Iridium-7 will also see recovery vessel Mr Steven break in his massive new net and arms in with an attempted catch of a Falcon 9 fairing half.
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- A SpaceX technician works aboard the rain-soaked drone ship Just Read The Instructions, March 2018. (Pauline Acalin)
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- The drone ship Of Course I Still Love You spotted in Port Canaveral, FL last December. (Instagram /u/ johnabc123)
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- Mr Steven testing his new net in a series of sea trials, July 11
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Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
