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SpaceX’s historic private astronaut launch debut gets its own Netflix documentary
Netflix has announced plans for a documentary that will dive deep into SpaceX’s historic Inspiration4 private astronaut launch.
Headed by billionaire and Shift4 CEO and founder Jared Isaacman, Inspiration4 was first announced in February 2021 as SpaceX’s first private Crew Dragon mission. More importantly, the mission – if successful – will make history as the first fully private astronaut launch in the history of spaceflight when it sends four private citizens into orbit later this year.
Set to launch as early as September 15th, perhaps just two months after Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin’s (in)famous dueling crewed suborbital debuts, SpaceX will hopefully show the world what space tourism really is. Unlike Blue and Virgin, which have been working for a decade to develop suborbital tourist vehicles that will never stray more than ~20% of the way to useful spaceflight, SpaceX’s Crew Dragon is an orbital spacecraft and will spend a minimum of several days orbiting the Earth with its Inspiration4 astronauts.
In the process of preparing for their roles on the world’s first privately-crewed orbital spacecraft, all four Inspiration4 crewmembers have been training for months to ensure that they’re reasonably knowledgeable and comfortable with true spaceflight. That includes operating and living in Crew Dragon – a nominally autonomous spacecraft that nevertheless could require manual intervention in the event of an emergency.
Though Virgin Galactic or Blue Origin tourists are undoubtedly faced with significant danger on their suborbital jaunts, as evidenced by a fatal SpaceShipTwo test flight in 2014, they’re generally just a few minutes away from help throughout. Virgin’s SpaceShipTwo vehicle is carried to its launch point on an aircraft and is technically a glider itself, while Blue Origin’s New Shepard capsule can abort at any point during the rocket’s relatively relaxed trip to ~100 km (~62 mi) and Mach 4 (~3000 mph). Save for the pilots flying SpaceShipTwo, none of the passengers are in any position to influence the outcome of a flight in the event that something goes wrong.
In orbit, however, the sheer altitude and velocity at which astronauts and their spacecraft are traveling means that “help” is either hours away, limited to a remote “mission control,” or – in worst-case scenarios – contained exclusively inside the vehicle itself. Put simply, an orbital spacecraft with minimally trained tourists as “crew” will always raise the risk of a scenario where something goes wrong and something could have been done on-orbit to avert catastrophe but those aboard have too little training to save themselves.
As such, even though Crew Dragon is designed to fly with zero human intervention, the spacecraft has only completed three crewed launches and two crewed reentries – not exactly the kind of sample size one might gamble their life on. Of course, Falcon 9 is an extraordinarily reliable rocket and Crew Dragon has proven itself well over its two-year career. The spacecraft also has a built-in abort system that can feasibly whisk its crew to safety at any point from the launch pad to orbit.
But given the low price of a few months of hard work and inconvenience for a shot at saving one’s own life in an admittedly unlikely emergency, it’s likely that private astronauts (orbital space tourists) will go through significant training for years to come.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
