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(Update: nope) SpaceX looks to double its valuation on Starlink, Starship promise

On the promise of Starlink and Starship, SpaceX wants to double its valuation at an almost unprecedented scale. (Richard Angle/NASASpaceflight - bocachicagal)

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SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has responded, stating that it is “incorrect” to say that the company is seeking to double its valuation with a new round of funding.

Broken by Business Insider, SpaceX was said to be working with investors to close another round of funding sometime in early 2021 with the intention of growing its valuation from around $46 billion to $92 billion or more. Bloomberg reiterated BI’s reporting not long after. According to Musk, however, that’s incorrect. The CEO didn’t specify the error, meaning that SpaceX is probably pursuing more funding – a never-ending process – but isn’t trying to double its valuation and share price in a single round.

Business Insider reports that SpaceX is hard at work securing another massive round of funding on the promise of Starlink and Starship just months after raising almost $2 billion.

Aside from raising a truly massive amount of capital, SpaceX’s primary goal, according to BI, is to double its valuation from some $46 billion to $92 billion.

In the history of “unicorn” startups, generally referring to primarily venture capital-funded private technology companies worth more than $1 billion, doubling valuation with a single funding round is rare – particularly in the few private startups worth more than $10 billion. Typically, in large unicorns, nothing short of a highly successful stock market IPO is capable of doubling a company’s valuation.

In SpaceX’s own prolific fundraising history, the company has occasionally pulled off similar feats. In a 2015 funding round led by Google and Fidelity, SpaceX’s valuation exploded tenfold from ~$1 billion to more than $10 billion. Closed in 2017, the company’s next funding round again pulled off a valuation multiplication, leaping from $10.1 billion to $21.3 billion. However, of the seven additional rounds completed since then, ranging from $214 million to $1.9 billion, SpaceX’s valuation has never jumped by more than ~28%.

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In the wild and wacky world of private startup valuation, SpaceX could technically sell a single share for ~$500 – twice the current price of ~$250 – and retroactively raise the price of all outstanding shares. Doubling an already massive valuation on a low-volume equity sale would not exactly inspire confidence, however, and SpaceX has no obvious reason not to shoot for the stars given the company’s massive $1.9 billion Series N windfall just four months ago.

As has been the case for several years, now, SpaceX is most likely pitching investors on the potentially extraordinary promise of its Starlink and Starship programs, both of which could easily grow the company’s annual revenue by one or several magnitudes. In just 13 months, SpaceX has launched some 875 operational Starlink satellites, built and tested a dozen full-scale Starship prototypes, hopped two of those rockets to 150m (~500 ft), and flown one to 12.5 km (~7.8 mi). The company is also on track to launch an unprecedented 26 times in 2020 alone, 14 of which were Starlink missions.

12 of those 14 2020 Starlink launches. (SpaceX/Richard Angle)

As such, while a twofold, $46-billion leap in valuation is extraordinarily outlandish, SpaceX is perhaps the one private company in the world that can actually point to a track record of success and potential sources of growth that might warrant it. Stay tuned for details as they begin to trickle out.

Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Tesla Cybercab is changing the look of Austin’s roads, and it’s not even in production yet

Videos and photos showed the sleek, two-seat autonomous vehicles navigating traffic.

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Credit: @niccruzpatane/X

Even before entering production, Tesla’s Cybercab is already transforming the appearance of Austin’s streets, with multiple prototypes spotted testing in downtown areas recently. 

Videos and photos showed the sleek, two-seat autonomous vehicles navigating traffic. Interestingly enough, the vehicles were equipped with temporary steering wheels and human safety drivers.

Recent Cybercab sightings

Over the weekend, enthusiasts captured footage of two Cybercabs driving together in central Austin, their futuristic silhouettes standing out amid regular traffic. While the vehicles featured temporary steering wheels and side mirrors for now, they retained their futuristic, production-intent exterior design.

Industry watcher Sawyer Merritt shared one of the vehicles’ videos, noting the increasing frequency of the autonomous two-seater’s sightings.

Previewing the autonomous future

Sightings of the Cybercab have been ramping in several key areas across the United States in recent weeks. Sightings include units at Apple’s Visitor Center in California, the Fremont factory test track, and in Austin’s streets.

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The increased activity suggests that Tesla is in overdrive, validating the autonomous two-seater ahead of its planned volume production. Elon Musk confirmed at the 2025 Shareholder Meeting that manufacturing begins around April 2026 with ambitious targets, and during an All-Hands meeting earlier this year, Musk hinted that ultimately, Tesla’s factories should be able to produce one Cybercab every 10 seconds. 

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Tesla celebrates 9 million vehicles produced globally

The achievement, announced by Tesla Asia on X, celebrated not just the Shanghai team’s output but the company’s cumulative production across all its factories worldwide.

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Tesla has achieved a new milestone, rolling out its nine millionth vehicle worldwide from Giga Shanghai. 

The achievement, announced by Tesla Asia on X, celebrated not just the Shanghai team’s output but the company’s cumulative production across all its factories worldwide. The milestone came as 2025 drew to a close, and it inspired praise from some of the company’s key executives.

Tesla’s 9 million vehicle milestone

The commemorative photo from Tesla Asia featured the Giga Shanghai team assembled on the factory floor, surrounding the milestone Model Y unit, which looked pristine in white. The image was captioned: “Our 9 millionth vehicle globally has just rolled off the production line at Giga Shanghai. Thanks to our owners and supporters around the world.” 

Senior Vice President of Automotive Tom Zhu praised Tesla’s factory teams for the remarkable milestone. He also shared his gratitude to Tesla owners for their support. “Congrats to all Tesla factories for this amazing milestone! Thanks to our owners for your continued support!” Zhu wrote in a post on X.

Giga Shanghai’s legacy

Tesla’s nine million vehicle milestone is especially impressive considering that just 207 days ago, the company announced that it had built its eight millionth car globally. The eight millionth Tesla, a red Model Y, was built in Giga Berlin. The fact that Tesla was able to build a million cars in less than seven months is quite an accomplishment. 

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Giga Shanghai, Tesla’s largest factory by volume, has been instrumental to the company’s overall operations, having reached four million cumulative vehicles earlier in 2025. The plant produces Model 3 and Model Y for both domestic Chinese and export markets, making it the company’s primary vehicle export hub. 

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Tesla officially publishes Q4 2025 vehicle delivery consensus

By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has taken the rather unusual step of officially publishing its company-compiled Q4 2025 delivery consensus on the Investor Relations site. As per analyst estimates, Tesla is expected to deliver 422,850 vehicles and deploy 13.4 GWh of battery storage systems this Q4 2025. 

By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results, making it harder for narratives to claim a “miss” based on outlier estimates.

Official consensus sets the record straight

Tesla’s IR press release detailed the consensus from 20 analysts for vehicle deliveries and 16 analysts for energy deployments. As per the release, full-year 2025 consensus delivery estimates come in at 1,640,752 vehicles, an 8.3% decline from 2025’s FY deliveries of 1,789,226 cars. 

Tesla noted that while it “does not endorse any information, recommendations or conclusions made by the analysts,” its press release does provide a notable reference point. Analysts contributing to the company compiled consensus include Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, Oppenheimer, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, Goldman Sachs, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham, HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.

Credit: Tesla Investor Relations

Tesla’s busy Q4 2025

Tesla seems to be pushing hard to deliver as many vehicles as possible before the end of 2025, despite the company’s future seemingly being determined not by vehicle deliveries, but FSD and Optimus’ rollout and ramp. Still, reports from countries such as China are optimistic, with posts on social media hinting that Tesla’s delivery centers in the country are appearing packed as the final weeks of 2025 unfold.

The Tesla Model Y and Model 3 are also still performing well in China’s premium EV segment. Based on data from January to November, the Model Y took China’s number one spot in the RMB 200,000-RMB 300,000 segment for electric vehicles, selling 359,463 units. The Model 3 sedan took third place, selling 172,392. This is quite impressive considering that both the Model Y and Model 3 command a premium compared to their domestic rivals. 

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