At the same time as SpaceX is assembling hardware and manufacturing dozens of Raptor engines for Starship’s inaugural orbital test flight, it’s also preparing for what will follow.
Last week, a local photographer captured photos of one of the many dozens of deliveries that arrive at SpaceX’s Boca Chica Starship factory every month – notable this time around because of package labels that reference a “heat shield” and “mini bakery.” In any other case, it would’ve been just another nondescript delivery – likely carrying the latest batch of the ceramic Starship heat shield tiles SpaceX currently manufactures in Cocoa Beach and Cape Canaveral, Florida.
However, as the photographer (@StarshipGazer) that captured the images noted, that Florida Starship heat shield factory just so happens to be colloquially known as “The Bakery” by the SpaceX team that runs it.
As the nickname would suggest, The Bakery is one of two main Florida-based facilities tasked with turning raw materials into the black, hexagonal heat shield tiles that have begun to spread across the exterior of Starship prototypes. The June 7th delivery of a “mini bakery” strongly implies that SpaceX has now begun to build out some limited capacity for heat shield tile production at Boca Chica itself – under the main Starship factory roof, in other words.
While the number of tiles present has only really begun to grow in the last six or so months, SpaceX has been building, testing, and refining Starship’s heat shield technology for more than two years. SpaceX’s custom-built ceramic tiles made their first public appearances in July and August 2019, first launching into orbit on a Cargo Dragon spacecraft and later tagging along on Starhopper’s spectacular 150m (~500 ft) hop a few weeks later. Dragon went on to reenter and splash down in the Pacific Ocean without issue about a month later, effectively marking the first successful orbital reentry of (part of) a Starship heat shield.
With Starship SN8 heralding the arrival of full-size prototype flight tests in the last few months of 2020, SpaceX began to substantially increase the number of tiles installed on Starships, jumping from a handful to hundreds within a few months. Although Starship SN15’s successful May 5th, 2021 launch and landing likely means it will never fly, Starship SN16 was outfitted with more than a thousand tiles (and SN15 flew with almost as many). While those tiles have essentially zero experience acting as a heat shield on Starship prototypes, launching them on suborbital test flights still subjects those heat shield installations to major thermal and mechanical stresses similar to (or worse than) what Starship will need to withstand during launch and after reentry.
Given that at least a few of the ceramic tiles installed on each prototype have invariably shattered at some point during testing, it’s unclear exactly how successful those coupon tests have been. Unlike the Space Shuttle, which also relied almost exclusively on catastrophically fragile ceramic heat shield tiles, Starship’s tiles are mounted directly to its hull and that hull is made out of steel instead of an aluminum frame. In theory, Starship’s structure can thus withstand – and remain functional – at temperatures approaching 800°C (1500°F), whereas the Shuttle’s heat shield had to keep the vehicle’s aluminum structure below ~180°C (360°F).
Of course, Starship has yet to even attempt to survive an orbital-velocity reentry with some 10,000 ceramic heat shield tiles mounted directly to its steel skin. If successful, SpaceX’s ultra-simple design could give Starship massive advantages over the Shuttle, which ultimately proved to be more dangerous than traditional crew capsules and about as expensive as a similarly capable expendable rocket. But Starship’s heat shield has its work cut out for it to prove that the vast spacecraft is truly up to the challenge of orbital reentry and safe, reliable reuse.
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Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.
The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.
Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”
People on Mars in roughly 5 to 7 years.
Mars lander a few years sooner.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”
Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.
Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.
In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.
The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.
Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.
SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.
It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.
The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.
Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has responded to reports that Volvo is officially discontinuing the LiDAR sensor on two of its cars.
Volvo announced that it would officially scrap LiDAR systems on its EX90 and ES90 vehicles in various markets. In Norway, owners will get a €1,800 compensation for features that will never arrive due to this decision. There will be no option to remove the unit from vehicles, either.
The issue stems from Volvo’s supplier, Luminar, and its bankruptcy filing. Luminar will no longer be able to supply LiDAR units to Volvo for the EX90 and ES90, effectively axing any use the unit has on vehicles. Volvo will phase out the data collection processes via the LiDAR system, and it will not be utilized whatsoever.
Musk saw the story on X and responded, stating:
“I did try to warn them. Humans drive using neural nets and optical sensors. Same is true for robot cars.”
I did try to warn them.
Humans drive using neural nets and optical sensors. Same is true for robot cars.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
Musk has been publicly vocal about his disdain for LiDAR systems, once calling them “a fool’s errand,” as he has consistently kept the outlook that they are not needed for effective self-driving.
The typical example used as evidence for this by Musk is humans themselves: made with only eyes and memories, humans are capable of navigating a car by using what they can see and what they’ve personally experienced on the road.
Elon Musk argues lidar and radar make self driving cars more dangerous
“Same is true for robot cars,” Musk says, as Teslas have eight exterior cameras that help see everything surrounding the vehicle, and a neural network that analyzes behavior and tendencies with every mile driven.
Tesla is a vision-only self-driving company that ditched sensors and radar several years ago in favor of cameras. Behind this effort, the company has established a reputation for having one of the most robust self-driving platforms in the world.
Musk’s big bet with Tesla on its self-driving program’s strategy has widely paid off. Other companies continue to utilize things like LiDAR, radar, and sensors for effective self-driving, but Tesla has shown that there is more than one way to give consumers a strong and accurate driver assistance suite.
The real question is: who will be the first company to take Musk’s advice and attempt a self-driving platform based on cameras only, or even license FSD for themselves?
Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars
SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO
