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Musk says SpaceX’s fifth Starship launch is scheduled next week, sets static fire date

Elon Musk says SpaceX is "aiming to launch [Starship SN15] next week." (NASASpaceflight - bocachicagal)

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Update: As expected, SpaceX has scheduled a road closure on Monday, April 19th – most likely for Starship SN15’s first static fire attempt. The installation of three Raptors could begin at any point over the next three days and generally takes a matter of hours.

CEO Elon Musk says that SpaceX is “aiming to launch” its fifth high-altitude Starship test flight as early as next week, continuing a more or less monthly cadence.

Building off of the successes and learning from the unique failures of Starship prototypes SN8, SN9, SN10, and SN11, SpaceX’s next test flight arguably has the best chance of success yet. That’s thanks in large part to the introduction of “hundreds of improvements” on Starship SN15 – many of which will hopefully address the shortcomings that ultimately destroyed all four of its predecessors.

As of April 15th, SpaceX has canceled road closures on Thursday and Friday, leaving no closures (i.e. testing windows) active – an exceedingly rare occurrence in Boca Chica, Texas. Earlier this week, Starship SN15 appeared to complete cryogenic proof and thrust puck stress tests on Monday, standing up to the thermal stresses of (simulated) cryogenic propellant, the tank pressures required for flight (>6 bar or 90 psi), and the thrust of three Raptor engines.

On Wednesday, SpaceX removed a steel structure fitted with hydraulic rams – used to simulate Raptor thrust – and performed a similar cryogenic proof test later that evening. Instead of testing SN15’s main tanks, though, the second round focused on Starship’s secondary header tanks – meant to store propellant specifically for landing. The results of both tests are unclear but the removal of the ram structure does suggest that the main cryo proof was successful enough that it doesn’t need to be repeated.

With those tests seemingly out of the way, Starship SN15 has just one or two major hurdles standing between it and a launch attempt next week. Notably, because it was the first prototype since SN8 to incorporate hydraulic ram thrust puck testing into its cryo proof, SN15 didn’t roll to the launch pad with Raptor engines already installed. Assuming SpaceX wants to continue testing as soon as possible (i.e. Monday), the company now has around three and a half days to install three Raptor engines.

That should be no problem whatsoever, though Musk has said that SN15 will be the first Starship prototype to fly with upgraded Raptor engines. Depending on how significant those upgrades are, SN15’s Raptor installation process could be longer than usual as engine technicians and engineers install them on a Starship prototype for the first time.

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If SpaceX manages that feat by Sunday, Starship SN15 will likely be able to attempt a static fire test on Monday, April 19th. Historically, SpaceX has never flown a Starship less than six days after a three-engine static fire, meaning that a successful Monday test is far from a guarantee that Starship SN15, SpaceX, or the FAA will be ready for a launch attempt next week. Still, Starship SN11 did fly four days after a one-Raptor static fire and SN9 attempted to launch three days after a three-engine test, so it’s far from impossible.

Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch

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Credit: SpaceX

Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.

SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.

The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.

Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean

Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.

This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.

Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims

Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.

A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.

It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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