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SpaceX, ULA targeting back-to-back geostationary launches

(SpaceX/ULA)

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SpaceX and competitor United Launch Alliance (ULA) are on track to launch their Falcon 9 and Atlas V rockets less than 25 hours apart.

Slightly delayed from its initial target of June 27th or 28th, SpaceX confirmed on Tuesday that a Falcon 9 rocket is ready to launch the European-built SES-22 no earlier than (NET) 5:04 pm EDT (21:04 UTC) on Wednesday, June 29th. Just 1.5 miles (2.4 km) to the north of SpaceX’s Cape Canaveral Space Force Station (CCSFS) LC-40 pad, ULA says it’s also on track to launch an Atlas V 541 rocket carrying a batch of rideshare payloads for the US military as early as 6pm EDT (22:00 UTC), Thursday, June 30th.

Both Falcon 9 and Atlas V will be carrying satellites destined for geostationary orbit (GEO), a location roughly 36,000 kilometers (~22,250 mi) above Earth’s surface where spacecraft orbit at the exact same speed as Earth’s rotation. As a result, spacecraft in GEO effectively hover in one spot in the sky to a ground observer, which makes the orbit optimal for some kinds of Earth observation and communications missions. SES-22 is a relatively ordinary commercial GEO communications satellite. ULA’s USSF-12 mission will carry a Wide Field Of View (WFOV) missile launch detection satellite and a mysterious secondary payload called the “USSF-12 Ring,” which ULA says is “a classified mission to demonstrate future technology for the Department of Defense.”

ULA’s USSF-12 Atlas V booster. (ULA)

USSF-12’s Atlas V rocket will cost the military roughly $175 million and, like all other Atlas launch vehicles, is fully expendable. The Atlas V booster uses refined kerosene (RP-1) fuel and liquid oxygen oxidizer and is powered by a Russian-built RD-180 engine. The rocket’s Centaur upper stage uses liquid hydrogen (LH2) and LOx propellant and can be powered by one or two US-built RL-10 engines. ULA augments that basic Atlas V variant’s relatively poor performance by adding anywhere from 1-5 solid rocket boosters at its base, which can double the total payload a given Atlas V can launch to most Earth orbits.

Thanks in large part to the greater efficiency of Atlas V’s hydrolox Centaur upper stage, the high-end variants of the rocket with four or five SRBs are capable of launching a significant payload (~3.9 tons or ~8600 lb) directly to GEO, which is where USSF-12 will be heading. Falcon 9 will launch SES-22 to a less challenging geostationary transfer orbit (GTO), which leaves a small portion of the orbit-raising process to the payload.

SES-22 is pictured shortly before and soon after Falcon 9 fairing encapsulation. (SpaceX)

In return, SpaceX will be able to recover and reuse Falcon 9’s booster and payload fairing and SES will pay more like $50-70 million (and a few extra months) to get its satellite to GEO. It’s quite likely that Falcon 9 would be able to launch a few tons directly to GEO in a fully-expendable configuration, but SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy rocket is able to offer even better direct-to-GEO performance for a similar price by expending one of its three Falcon 9-derived boosters, so the company has never tried to sell that service for Falcon 9.

Tune in below around 4:50 pm EDT (20:50 UTC) to watch SpaceX’s 27th launch of 2022 live. ULA will begin streaming Atlas V’s USSF-12 launch around 24 hours later.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Tesla Cybercab is changing the look of Austin’s roads, and it’s not even in production yet

Videos and photos showed the sleek, two-seat autonomous vehicles navigating traffic.

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Credit: @niccruzpatane/X

Even before entering production, Tesla’s Cybercab is already transforming the appearance of Austin’s streets, with multiple prototypes spotted testing in downtown areas recently. 

Videos and photos showed the sleek, two-seat autonomous vehicles navigating traffic. Interestingly enough, the vehicles were equipped with temporary steering wheels and human safety drivers.

Recent Cybercab sightings

Over the weekend, enthusiasts captured footage of two Cybercabs driving together in central Austin, their futuristic silhouettes standing out amid regular traffic. While the vehicles featured temporary steering wheels and side mirrors for now, they retained their futuristic, production-intent exterior design.

Industry watcher Sawyer Merritt shared one of the vehicles’ videos, noting the increasing frequency of the autonomous two-seater’s sightings.

Previewing the autonomous future

Sightings of the Cybercab have been ramping in several key areas across the United States in recent weeks. Sightings include units at Apple’s Visitor Center in California, the Fremont factory test track, and in Austin’s streets.

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The increased activity suggests that Tesla is in overdrive, validating the autonomous two-seater ahead of its planned volume production. Elon Musk confirmed at the 2025 Shareholder Meeting that manufacturing begins around April 2026 with ambitious targets, and during an All-Hands meeting earlier this year, Musk hinted that ultimately, Tesla’s factories should be able to produce one Cybercab every 10 seconds. 

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Tesla celebrates 9 million vehicles produced globally

The achievement, announced by Tesla Asia on X, celebrated not just the Shanghai team’s output but the company’s cumulative production across all its factories worldwide.

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Tesla has achieved a new milestone, rolling out its nine millionth vehicle worldwide from Giga Shanghai. 

The achievement, announced by Tesla Asia on X, celebrated not just the Shanghai team’s output but the company’s cumulative production across all its factories worldwide. The milestone came as 2025 drew to a close, and it inspired praise from some of the company’s key executives.

Tesla’s 9 million vehicle milestone

The commemorative photo from Tesla Asia featured the Giga Shanghai team assembled on the factory floor, surrounding the milestone Model Y unit, which looked pristine in white. The image was captioned: “Our 9 millionth vehicle globally has just rolled off the production line at Giga Shanghai. Thanks to our owners and supporters around the world.” 

Senior Vice President of Automotive Tom Zhu praised Tesla’s factory teams for the remarkable milestone. He also shared his gratitude to Tesla owners for their support. “Congrats to all Tesla factories for this amazing milestone! Thanks to our owners for your continued support!” Zhu wrote in a post on X.

Giga Shanghai’s legacy

Tesla’s nine million vehicle milestone is especially impressive considering that just 207 days ago, the company announced that it had built its eight millionth car globally. The eight millionth Tesla, a red Model Y, was built in Giga Berlin. The fact that Tesla was able to build a million cars in less than seven months is quite an accomplishment. 

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Giga Shanghai, Tesla’s largest factory by volume, has been instrumental to the company’s overall operations, having reached four million cumulative vehicles earlier in 2025. The plant produces Model 3 and Model Y for both domestic Chinese and export markets, making it the company’s primary vehicle export hub. 

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Tesla officially publishes Q4 2025 vehicle delivery consensus

By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has taken the rather unusual step of officially publishing its company-compiled Q4 2025 delivery consensus on the Investor Relations site. As per analyst estimates, Tesla is expected to deliver 422,850 vehicles and deploy 13.4 GWh of battery storage systems this Q4 2025. 

By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results, making it harder for narratives to claim a “miss” based on outlier estimates.

Official consensus sets the record straight

Tesla’s IR press release detailed the consensus from 20 analysts for vehicle deliveries and 16 analysts for energy deployments. As per the release, full-year 2025 consensus delivery estimates come in at 1,640,752 vehicles, an 8.3% decline from 2025’s FY deliveries of 1,789,226 cars. 

Tesla noted that while it “does not endorse any information, recommendations or conclusions made by the analysts,” its press release does provide a notable reference point. Analysts contributing to the company compiled consensus include Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, Oppenheimer, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, Goldman Sachs, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham, HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.

Credit: Tesla Investor Relations

Tesla’s busy Q4 2025

Tesla seems to be pushing hard to deliver as many vehicles as possible before the end of 2025, despite the company’s future seemingly being determined not by vehicle deliveries, but FSD and Optimus’ rollout and ramp. Still, reports from countries such as China are optimistic, with posts on social media hinting that Tesla’s delivery centers in the country are appearing packed as the final weeks of 2025 unfold.

The Tesla Model Y and Model 3 are also still performing well in China’s premium EV segment. Based on data from January to November, the Model Y took China’s number one spot in the RMB 200,000-RMB 300,000 segment for electric vehicles, selling 359,463 units. The Model 3 sedan took third place, selling 172,392. This is quite impressive considering that both the Model Y and Model 3 command a premium compared to their domestic rivals. 

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