Investor's Corner
Tesla is “absorbing” part of import tariffs to lower Model S and X prices in China
In an effort to make its electric cars more affordable to customers in China, Tesla has announced that it is cutting the prices of the Model S and Model X by 12 to 26% despite the ongoing trade war between the United States and the Asian economic powerhouse. Apart from lowering the prices of its two flagship vehicles, Tesla also opted to adjust the price of the Model 3, which is currently open for orders in the country.
China is the world’s largest electric car market, and the segment is only bound to get more prominent in the coming years due to the country’s aggressive push towards renewable transportation. That said, China has opted to place steep import taxes for vehicles entering the country, resulting in Tesla’s electric cars, which are produced in the United States, being weighed down with a 40% tariff.
When the additional duties took effect last July, Tesla had no choice but to raise the prices of the Model S and X by 150,000 yuan ($22,647) to 250,000 yuan ($37,744), resulting in a fully loaded Model S P100D costing as much as 1.47 million yuan ($221,937) in China — significantly higher than the $147,000 price of the electric car in the United States.
2/ Tesla Zhejiang (China 🇨🇳) Members Club meeting photos$TSLA #Tesla #China #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/iIn82BMw76
— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 19, 2018
In a statement to Reuters, Tesla noted that the company would be lowering the prices of its vehicles in the country by “absorbing” part of the 40% import tariffs placed on its electric cars.
“We are absorbing a significant part of the tariff to help make our cars more affordable for customers in China,” Tesla stated.
Tesla further remarked that the Model 3, which is currently open for orders for Chinese reservation holders, is being given a price adjustment. When Tesla initially opened pre-orders for the vehicle, the Long Range Model 3 AWD started at 580,000 RMB (~$84,000) and the Model 3 Performance was listed with a starting price of 690,000 RMB (~$100,000). In the United States, the Long Range Model 3 AWD currently starts at $53,000 while the Model 3 Performance stars at $64,000.
With its recent price adjustments in place, Tesla noted to the publication that the Long Range Model 3 AWD would now start at 540,000 RMB (~$78,000), while the Model 3 Performance would start at 595,000 RMB (~$86,000). These prices, while still notably higher than the vehicle’s cost in the United States, offers a significant reduction from the Model 3’s initial price in China nonetheless.
Tesla Model 3 Performance ( China 🇨🇳 ) option pricing breakdown.
MP3: 689,000 RMB ($100K)
Red exterior (China addition):
26,900 RMB ($3.9K)White interior: 10,800 RMB ($1.5K)
19inch Wheel: Free
Advanced autopilot: 54,000 RMB
($7.8k)@TeslaPodcast $TSLA #Tesla #Model3 #China pic.twitter.com/XcKLjTTgvf— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 16, 2018
Such adjustments could bode well for Tesla’s business in the country. Before the US and China’s trade war resulted in a 40% tariff for Tesla’s vehicles, after all, China’s Customs Tariff Commission under China’s cabinet announced that it would reduce car import duties from 20-25% to just 15%. The announcement was met with much enthusiasm by electric car buyers in the country, resulting in a Tesla gallery in Shanghai clearing out its entire Model X 75D inventory in 24 hours.
Tesla’s lowered prices for its vehicles in China is but the tip of the iceberg in the company’s plans for the country’s growing electric car market. Last month, reports emerged from local Chinese media that Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai — which would allow the company to produce vehicles locally, thereby avoiding import taxes — is getting funding from local banks. Tesla has also announced in its third quarter vehicle and production delivery report that it is accelerating the construction of Gigafactory 3, which is expected to produce both batteries as well as the Model 3 and Model Y.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
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