Investor's Corner
Tesla China’s Model Y deliveries bump stock price and outlook from analysts
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is seeing some bumps in stock price and in outlook from Wall Street analysts after China’s initial deliveries of the Model Y.
The company’s stock has remained relatively stagnant over the past week, hovering between the $820 and $860 mark in a seven-day period. Tesla’s initial deliveries of the Model Y in China, however, have added some momentum to the automaker’s stock, as it sits with a 1.3% boost so far during Tuesday’s trading session. At the time of writing, Tesla stock was trading around $837 after starting the day just above $826.00.
The stock is also receiving boosted outlooks from Wall Street analysts, like Phillipe Houchois of Jefferies, who boosted his price target from $650.00 to $775.00. Houchois, who holds a “Hold” position on Tesla stock, has a 62% success rate and an average return of 30.2%, TipRanks.com shows.
* Jefferies raises Tesla estimates and PT$TSLA pic.twitter.com/AVg977Xv1o
— David Tayar (@davidtayar5) January 19, 2021
Houchois revised his price target based on the expectation of positive results from Q4 2020, and Tesla sits in a prime position to dominate the Chinese EV market, even though competitors are making significant strides moving forward. “Tesla looks set to remain a benchmark by challenging the auto industry business model at multiple levels (from EVs to battery tech/capacity, autonomy, design to manufacture and direct selling),” Houchois wrote.
Tesla launched its second vehicle in China last week with the Model Y, joining the Model 3. Reports indicate that the Model Y crossover is contributing to overwhelming demand in China as showrooms were full of potential buyers on launch day. Now, Tesla is booked up until Q2 in China as far as Model Y reservations are concerned. The company’s China website states that the next round of deliveries is expected to take place during “the second quarter of 2021.”
For Houchois, Tesla has a sustained environment of success in China based on the evident denial of EVs by legacy automakers and OEMs. “Throughout 2020, the re-rating of Tesla…effectively created the positive long-term or terminal value that traditional OEMs have been denied for years. We continue to think it is up to traditional OEMs to address and shrink their legacy issues or risk being marginalized,” the analyst wrote. “While the transition to electrification is by and large a zero-sum-game of substitution, it could become a negative-sum-game for traditional OEMs if they let too many new entrants…gain viable share.”
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Tesla configurator hints at China-Made Model 3 exports coming to Australia
While Tesla faces other competition in China with brands like Nio, Li Auto, and Xpeng, it still has an undeniable lead in the country. In November, the Model 3 was, by far, the highest-selling EV in the country with over 113,000 units sold, according to the EV Sales Blog. Model Y demand, along with sustained Model 3 demand, should keep Tesla as the leader in China, especially as it looks to widen its product line in the world’s largest automotive market moving forward.
Disclaimer: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’
Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.
In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.
In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:
“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”
This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.
The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.
The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building
Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.
The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.
This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull
Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.
“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”
Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12
Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.
It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”
Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.
There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:
“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”
SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.
Elon Musk
Tesla Phone? Not quite, but close: analyst
For years, there have been images and videos across social media platforms that have reminded me of when I was a 15-year-old kid teased by “Xbox 720” videos on YouTube. These videos are of the supposed “Tesla Phone” that Elon Musk was secretly developing in between leading Tesla with its electric cars and SpaceX with its reusable rockets.
Would you buy a Tesla phone ? pic.twitter.com/aaTwvvIJit
— Tesla Owners Silicon Valley (@teslaownersSV) October 6, 2023
Although Musk has put those rumors to bed several times, it was never completely out of the realm that he could get involved in cell phones in some capacity. Think outside the box and more macro-level, though. Instead of reinventing the computer, Musk reinvented connectivity by developing Starlink with SpaceX.
It could be something similar, TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams said in a note last week, where he hinted SpaceX could be gathering some steam to acquire T-Mobile.
Williams said it would be the “clear choice” for SpaceX if it decided to go through with a network acquisition. He also suggested AT&T.
The move would be possible through selling more of its own stock, which would help SpaceX raise the money to purchase T-Mobile, which would cost roughly $300 billion. It could be one of the moves SpaceX makes post-IPO in terms of an acquisition: it already acquired Cursor AI for $60 billion.
Other analysts, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, believe SpaceX and Tesla will eventually merge into one anyway, and that conglomeration could come as soon as this year, some have said.
The implications of SpaceX purchasing T-Mobile are massive. A combined entity would create a truly ubiquitous network: T-Mobile’s terrestrial 5G towers and Starlink’s growing constellation of Direct-to-Cell satellites. This would essentially eliminate dead zones across the U.S. and potentially globally.
SpaceX would instantly become a full-scale facilities-based carrier with satellite differentiation; a huge advantage. This would pressure AT&T and Verizon heavily.
There are also concerns like a potential reduction in long-term competition, and of course, a deal of that size would face intense scrutiny from government agencies.
The strategic fit is compelling due to the existing Starlink–T-Mobile partnership and complementary technologies (space + terrestrial). It could create a dominant integrated communications player. However, the regulatory, financial, and execution hurdles are enormous — this remains highly speculative with no indication SpaceX is actively pursuing it right now.