News
Tesla Cybertruck dodges competition from an electric Ford F-150 due to pandemic
There was a time when the Tesla Cybertruck seemed to be headed for a head-on collision with Ford’s electric F-150 when the vehicles enter the market. But if recent reports from Ford are any indication, it appears that the Cybertruck may end up losing one of its potential rivals when it begins production late next year.
With the electric pickup truck segment emerging, vehicles like the Tesla Cybertruck, Rivian R1T, Ford F-150 Electric, and the GMC Hummer EV appeared to be set for a rivalry. The market for electric pickups is immense, considering how popular trucks are in the United States. Few electric trucks have been unveiled by automakers so far as well, leaving the segment free for the taking.
While electric pickups like the Tesla Cybertruck and Rivian R1T were created by companies that are electric from their roots, other vehicles like the Ford F-150 electric and Hummer EV are the products of legacy automakers aiming to break into the electric sphere. Ford, for its part, has taken a significant stake in Rivian, and it has announced its intentions to utilize the EV truckmaker’s tech for its upcoming vehicles.
Among these is an all-electric SUV under Ford’s luxury brand, Lincoln. Following this, other electric pickups and SUVs were expected to be released, some of which will be using Rivian’s skateboard platform. Among these is the F-150 electric, a truck that was demonstrated to have enough power to pull a 1 million-pound freight train loaded with other F-150 pickups.
Unfortunately, Ford has announced to Automotive News that its Rivian-based Lincoln all-electric SUV has been officially canceled. Lincoln did state that it will still be working with Rivian and it will be releasing a vehicle based on the EV company’s skateboard platform, but it would be an “alternative vehicle,” not an EV.
“Given the current environment, Lincoln and Rivian have decided not to pursue the development of a fully electric vehicle based on Rivian’s skateboard platform. Our strategic commitment to Lincoln, Rivian and electrification remains unchanged and Lincoln’s future plans will include an all-electric vehicle,” a Lincoln spokesperson said.
Such a development may end up delaying the release of Ford’s all-electric vehicles, including the highly-anticipated F-150 EV. Ford has not disclosed if the all-electric pickup will be using Rivian’s tech or skateboard platform, but such a strategy would not be surprising considering the company’s $500 million investment in the young truck maker last year.
It is unfortunate, but the delay in the electric Ford F-150 may very well benefit the Tesla Cybertruck. Tesla’s expansion plans have remained relatively unchanged despite the ongoing pandemic, and save for the Semi; the electric car maker has not announced any other significant delays to its upcoming vehicles. The Roadster’s release may be adjusted as well, considering that its initial delivery estimate was set for this year, but that’s a low-volume supercar, with Elon Musk expecting to produce just around 10,000 per year.
The following year would definitely be critical for the industry’s electric truck makers. Due to the ongoing pandemic, delays in vehicle releases have been announced. Even Rivian, which beat Tesla to the punch in unveiling its electric truck, has announced that R1T and R1S deliveries have been moved to 2021. GM has also revealed that the Hummer EV’s unveiling has been delayed. With the Ford F-150 electric likely moved back, the electric pickup market next year may end up being dominated mainly by the Cybertruck and the R1T, at least depending on Rivian and Tesla’s capability to build and deliver their vehicles.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
News
Tesla FSD (Supervised) is about to go on “widespread” release
In a comment last October, Elon Musk stated that FSD V14.2 is “for widespread use.”
Tesla has begun rolling out Full Self-Driving (Supervised) V14.2, and with this, the wide release of the system could very well begin.
The update introduces a new high-resolution vision encoder, expanded emergency-vehicle handling, smarter routing, new parking options, and more refined driving behavior, among other improvements.
FSD V14.2 improvements
FSD (Supervised) V14.2’s release notes highlight a fully upgraded neural-network vision encoder capable of reading higher-resolution features, giving the system improved awareness of emergency vehicles, road obstacles, and even human gestures. Tesla also expanded its emergency-vehicle protocols, adding controlled pull-overs and yielding behavior for police cars, fire trucks, and ambulances, among others.
A deeper integration of navigation and routing into the vision network now allows the system to respond to blocked roads or detours in real time. The update also enhances decision-making in several complex scenarios, including unprotected turns, lane changes, vehicle cut-ins, and interactions with school buses. All in all, these improvements should help FSD (Supervised) V14.2 perform in a very smooth and comfortable manner.
Elon Musk’s predicted wide release
The significance of V14.2 grows when paired with Elon Musk’s comments from October. While responding to FSD tester AI DRIVR, who praised V14.1.2 for fixing “95% of indecisive lane changes and braking” and who noted that it was time for FSD to go on wide release, Musk stated that “14.2 for widespread use.”
FSD V14 has so far received a substantial amount of positive reviews from Tesla owners, many of whom have stated that the system now drives better than some human drivers as it is confident, cautious, and considerate at the same time. With V14.2 now rolling out, it remains to be seen if the update also makes it to the company’s wide FSD fleet, which is still populated by a large number of HW3 vehicles.
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
