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Investor's Corner

Tesla’s EV Seniority and how it could affect Ford’s price parity battle: Goldman Sachs

2022 Ford F-150 Lightning Pro. Pre-production model with available features shown. Available starting spring 2022.

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Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) seniority in the electric vehicle sector is proving to provide plenty of difficulty for the long-standing legends of the automotive industry. Ford’s (NYSE: F) recent unveiling of the all-electric version of the best-selling pickup truck in America with the F-150 Lightning was a step in the right direction for the Michigan-based car company. Still, its battle with price parity puts it in an awkward position, as other brands, especially Tesla, can offer a considerably more advanced product in terms of EV tech and range while offering a more affordable option through price per kilowatt-hour. Goldman Sachs released a note to investors that detailed Ford’s strong F-15o Lightning unveiling was the company “moving in the right direction,” but they’re still going to fighting an uphill battle for years to come.

Highlighting Ford’s ambitious plan to roll out 40% of its global production as electrified models by 2030, Goldman Sachs sees the automaker’s recent $8 billion increase in planned expenditures as a good thing. “The company’s EV lineup features what we view as attractive products, such as the Mustang Mach-E, E-Transit commercial van, and F-150 Lightning. More specifically on pickups, Ford expects one-third of all full-size pickup sales to be electric by 2030, and we expect the F-150 Lightning to be among the industry leaders given its features and price point.”

The F-150 Lightning will offer competitive range, pricing, and performance options to compete with the Tesla Cybertruck and Rivian R1T. While it is still up in the air on what each automaker will deliver when their vehicles make it to customers, Ford offers a robust and strong F-150 comparative that brings some interesting competition to the table in terms of specs. However, Goldman Sachs is more concerned about Ford’s plan to tackle price parity, the relationship between the price of electric cars and gas cars.

“One of the key debates we expect among investors will be on EV profitability on a like-for-like basis with ICE. While we believe that Ford is moving in the right direction with a modular EV architecture and that its target to be under $100 per kWh by mid-decade will be competitive for the industry, we expect some peers to be ahead of this,” Goldman’s note says. “Tesla, we believe, is already at/near $100 at the pack level and could be in the $60 range for some models by mid-decade if it executes on its plan from its 2020 Battery Day.”

Tesla (TSLA) shares snatched up by ARK after Battery Day: “It’s going to be hard to catch up”

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Tesla’s long-term chipping away at EV technology and battery developments is a key indicator of what is to come for the legacy automakers who are just getting into the sector of electrification. While Ford has a lineup of great products and EV releases that are expected to begin production in the coming years, Tesla’s seniority in the sector will always be a thorn in the side of traditional companies until, and if, they can catch up. Ultimately, until these companies can match Tesla’s pricing points, other companies will be offering inferior products at a higher price, boding well for Tesla’s domination of the ever-growing EV sector.

Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Elon Musk

SpaceX’s biggest test yet arrives this week and it’s not a rocket launch

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SpaceX will report second quarter results after the market closes on Tuesday, August 4, marking the first time the company has opened its books to the public since its record IPO in June. Management will host a live audio only webcast at 4:30 p.m. ET, streamed on X, with no dial in option.

The debut carries more weight than a typical first quarter as a public company. Two trading days after the release, on August 6, the first tranche of SpaceX’s lockup expires, freeing roughly 911.5 million insider and employee shares, worth well over $100 billion at current prices and the largest such release in Wall Street history. A second, larger tranche tied to the stock trading 30 percent above its $135 IPO price never triggered, since shares have spent most of July trading below that price.

Wall Street’s models point to revenue near $6.9 billion for the quarter, up sharply from the $4.69 billion SpaceX reported in the first quarter, with a narrower per share loss than the $1.27 posted three months earlier, according to estimates compiled by Motley Fool. Those numbers will be the first look at how SpaceX’s three segments, Starlink, launch and AI, are performing independently.

SpaceX scores another massive Pentagon deal to support military satellites

Investors heading into the call have a specific list of questions. How many net new Starlink subscribers did SpaceX add after ending March with 10.3 million, and is average revenue per user holding up as the service expands into lower income markets. How much of the AI segment’s revenue reflects contract signings with Anthropic, Google and Reflection AI this year, deals that combined could annualize to nearly $28 billion if fully ramped. Whether capital expenditures, which nearly doubled in the AI segment alone between 2024 and 2025, are still accelerating or starting to plateau. And whether management offers any forward guidance at all, something SpaceX has never done publicly.

The report will also land days after Elon Musk publicly denied a Wall Street Journal report describing internal planning to separate Tesla’s China business ahead of a potential Tesla-SpaceX merger. Whether Musk or SpaceX executives address that speculation on the call, even indirectly, maybe something investors will be listening for on Tuesday.

As Teslarati reported after Musk’s own warning to short sellers last week, the CEO has made clear he expects skeptics to be proven wrong over time. Tuesday will be the first chance for the numbers themselves to make that case.

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Elon Musk

Tesla AI boss reveals how big Optimus is going to get

Tesla’s Optimus chief corrected himself on X, confirming a staggering 10 million robot production target.

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Tesla Optimus Gen 3 [Credit: Tesla]

Tesla’s Optimus program has a new number attached to it, after Ashok Elluswamy, the executive who has run the humanoid robot program since June 2025, posted a three word correction on X Thursday, “Correction, 10 million robots.”

The line clarifies the long term annual capacity Tesla is building toward its planned second Optimus production line at Gigafactory Texas, a figure Musk has cited repeatedly since last year’s shareholder meeting.

The scale is worth noting, because ten million robots a year would mean Tesla building more units annually than most countries sell in new cars. Tesla has framed this as a second line, not the first. The buildout is happening in two phases: a roughly one million unit per year line inside Tesla’s Fremont factory, installed on the floor space vacated when Model S and Model X production ended earlier this year, and a much larger dedicated facility under construction at Giga Texas that broke ground on its first steel structure in May. That Texas facility is the one Elluswamy’s correction refers to, and is expected to reach volume production sometime in 2027.

Tesla Optimus project fires up as Musk sees production line progress

Elluswamy took over Optimus from Milan Kovac last summer and has spent the months since talking up the program’s trajectory. Elon Musk has also floated the ten million figure at Tesla’s 2025 shareholder meeting.

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Ending Model S and Model X production to make room for the first Optimus line was one of the more consequential manufacturing decisions in the company’s recent history, retiring two flagship vehicles in favor of a robot that has yet to enter mass production. Musk has previously estimated per unit production costs at $20,000 to $25,000 once Tesla reaches a million units a year, though he hasn’t said what that cost looks like at ten times the volume.

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SpaceX scores another massive Pentagon deal to support military satellites

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SpaceX just picked up another $1.6 billion from the Pentagon, with the U.S. Space Force awarding two task orders worth $1.6 billion to fly 18 Falcon 9 missions from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California through the end of 2027. The launches will carry satellites for the Space Based Sensing and Targeting portfolio, a set of programs meant to help the military detect and track airborne threats and relay that information across forces in near real time.

The award falls under National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 1, the Space Force’s faster, commercial style procurement track for missions that do not require the military’s most demanding certification process. It is also the largest single order publicly disclosed under that program so far, and the first task order issued since the Space Force nearly tripled Lane 1’s contract ceiling from $5.6 billion to $17 billion on July 17.

SpaceX to become America’s Military data backbone for missiles, drones, and warfighters

Eric Zarybnisky, the Space Force’s acting portfolio acquisition executive for space access, said the entire process, from identifying the requirement to signing the contract, took about two months, including a month set aside for companies to prepare proposals.

SpaceX is not just launching these satellites. It already holds the contracts to build two of the programs within the same portfolio, $4.16 billion for the Space Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator system and $2.29 billion for the Space Data Network Backbone, which Teslarati covered in May. That means SpaceX is now responsible for both building key pieces of the military’s next generation sensing network and getting them into orbit.

With this latest award, SpaceX’s Pentagon contract total for 2026 alone tops $8 billion, adding to a defense portfolio that already includes the Golden Dome missile defense software group SpaceX joined in April and a string of GPS launches it inherited after ULA’s Vulcan rocket ran into a booster anomaly, which we detailed in March.

Lane 1’s vendor pool technically includes seven companies: SpaceX, ULA, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, Impulse Space, and Relativity Space. In practice, SpaceX remains the only provider with the combination of launch cadence, flight proven Falcon 9 hardware, and West Coast infrastructure to support a campaign requiring roughly one Vandenberg launch a month for the next year and a half.

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Some lawmakers have flagged the growing concentration of national security launches with one company as a risk worth watching. For now, the Space Force keeps backing SpaceX, with it being the company that shows up ready to launch.

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