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Tesla’s experience in electric cars emphasized anew after Mercedes EQC reveal

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Earlier today, Tesla stock was given a Sell rating by Goldman Sachs, citing the arrival of competitors from established automakers. Some of these competitors are dubbed as “Tesla Killers,” such as the Jaguar I-PACE and the Mercedes-Benz EQC. The financial firm’s renewed Sell rating on Tesla appears to have affected the sentiment of some investors, resulting in TSLA stock ending the day down 4.21% at $288.95 per share.

Earlier today, the electric car industry also welcomed its latest vehicle from legacy automaker Mercedes-Benz. At an event in Stockholm, Sweden, Daimler AG Chief Executive Officer Dieter Zetsche unveiled the Mercedes-Benz EQC, an all-electric crossover SUV that symbolizes the company’s commitment to the upcoming electrification of the transport industry.

“There is no alternative to betting on electric cars, and we’re going all in. It is starting right now,” Zetsche said.

Mercedes-Benz tried hard with the EQC, with Zetsche stating that the vehicle will be profitable, and that it would “offer the best package” compared to rivals. The EQC also looks very much like a conventional Merc SUV, with its almost understated lines, its high ground clearance, and its tough stance. The EQC’s basic specs are quite decent, with two electric motors that produce 402 hp and 564 lb-ft of torque. The SUV can accelerate from 0-60 mph in 4.9 seconds and hit a top speed of around 112 mph. That being said, the Mercedes-Benz EQC’s range and production date ultimately prove that it won’t be so easy for legacy automakers to gain EV expertise that is comparable to Tesla’s.

The Mercedes-Benz EQC is equipped with an 80 kWh battery pack, which puts its size between the base Model X’s 75 kWh battery pack and the Jaguar I-PACE’s 90 kWh battery. Despite its generous battery size, the EQC’s estimated range is very conservative at around 200 miles per charge. Charging the vehicle from 10% to 80% is also estimated to take around 40 minutes. The EQC’s apparent lack of range has not gone unnoticed. Alex Roy, a veteran of the auto industry, for one, noted that the EQC’s range was a big “miss” for the established German automaker.

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The new Mercedes-Benz EQC – the first Mercedes-Benz under the product and technology brand EQ. [Credit: Mercedes-Benz]

In a way, this could be attributed to Mercedes-Benz’s lack of experience in designing and building all-electric cars. And it’s not just Mercedes-Benz, either. Jaguar’s I-PACE is listed with a 240-mile range, but informal, real-world tests online have noted that the vehicle’s battery consumption is quite high. The same could be true for the EQC. It might have a big enough battery, but it could prove to be the electric equivalent of a gas guzzler.

This is something that Tesla has refined over the years. Elon Musk has opted to develop Tesla’s battery packs and even its software in-house, allowing the company to create vehicles that just work. In terms of range, Tesla’s cars usually come very close to their rated range, in some instances even exceeding it. Even the Model X 75D — one of Tesla’s largest, heaviest offerings — could go as far as 237 miles with a 75 kWh battery. Tesla’s progress in developing and building electric cars ultimately cannot be discounted, as Volkswagen AG, a prominent German automaker, was one of the investors willing to help fund Tesla’s attempted privatization

Another notable detail from the Mercedes-Benz EQC’s unveiling that validated Tesla’s experience in building electric cars is the German-made SUV’s production timeline. Mercedes expects to start manufacturing the EQC sometime next year, with deliveries beginning in 2020. Compared to Tesla’s hyper-aggressive timetables, Mercedes-Benz’s timeline is very conservative, especially considering that the automaker is looking to build the EQC in some of its existing facilities.

A Tesla Model 3 being assembled.

There is very little doubt that Tesla is the company that ultimately made electric cars desirable, proving to consumers that battery-powered vehicles are actually realistic alternatives to fossil fuel-powered cars. Since starting the production of the Tesla Roadster, the company has gained a lot of experience, a lot of it coming from trial and error. Over the years, Tesla has refined its battery technology, to the point where the company is now attempting to hit a battery pack cost of $100 per kWh. Its 2170 cells that power the Model 3 are also proving to be impressive, with Detroit veteran Sandy Munro praising it as some of the finest batteries he has ever analyzed.

A central part of the Tesla Killer thesis is that competitors from established automakers can easily catch up and overtake the California-based company with vehicles that are far superior in quality and performance. If the range and estimated delivery date of the Mercedes-Benz EQC are any indication, it appears that the arrival of these competitors might be just a little bit too late. After all, by 2020, Tesla is planning to start the production of the next-generation Tesla Roadster, a supercar to end all supercars. The Tesla Model Y, a CUV expected to be even more popular than the Model 3, would likely be in production by then as well.

Watch the Mercedes-Benz EQC’s unveiling in the video below.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.

On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.

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The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.

Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.

Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.

Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.

Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it

With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.

Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.

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Tesla gets price target boost, but it’s not all sunshine and rainbows

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Credit: Tesla Europe & Middle East/X

Tesla received a price target boost from Morgan Stanley, according to a new note on Monday morning, but there is some considerable caution also being communicated over the next year or so.

Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco took over Tesla coverage for the firm from longtime bull Adam Jonas, who appears to be focusing on embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.

Percoco took over and immediately adjusted the price target for Tesla from $410 to $425, and changed its rating on shares from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’

Percoco said he believes Tesla is the leading company in terms of electric vehicles, manufacturing, renewable energy, and real-world AI, so it deserves a premium valuation. However, he admits the high expectations for the company could provide for a “choppy trading environment” for the next year.

He wrote:

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“However, high expectations on the latter have brought the stock closer to fair valuation. While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment for the TSLA shares over the next 12 months, as we see downside to estimates, while the catalysts for its non-auto businesses appear priced at current levels.”

Percoco also added that if market cap hurdles are achieved, Morgan Stanley would reduce its price target by 7 percent.

Perhaps the biggest change with Percoco taking over the analysis for Jonas is how he will determine the value of each individual project. For example, he believes Optimus is worth about $60 per share of equity value.

He went on to describe the potential value of Full Self-Driving, highlighting its importance to the Tesla valuation:

“Full Self Driving (FSD) is the crown jewel of Tesla’s auto business; we believe that its leading-edge personal autonomous driving offering is a real game changer, and will remain a significant competitive advantage over its EV and non-EV peers. As Tesla continues to improve its platform with increased levels of autonomy (i.e., hands-off, eyes-off), it will revolutionize the personal driving experience. It remains to be seen if others will be able to keep pace.”

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Additionally, Percoco outlined both bear and bull cases for the stock. He believes $860 per share, “which could be in play in the next 12 months if Tesla manages through the EV-downturn,” while also scaling Robotaxi, executing on unsupervised FSD, and scaling Optimus, is in play for the bull case.

Will Tesla thrive without the EV tax credit? Five reasons why they might

Meanwhile, the bear case is placed at $145 per share, and “assumes greater competition and margin pressure across all business lines, embedding zero value for humanoids, slowing the growth curve for Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to reflect regulatory challenges in scaling a vision-only perception stack, and lowering market share and margin profile for the autos and energy businesses.”

Currently, Tesla shares are trading at around $441.

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Tesla bear gets blunt with beliefs over company valuation

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.

“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Shortand was portrayed by Christian Bale.

Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”

Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation

For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.

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Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.

While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.

Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.

In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.

Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.

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It closed at $430.14 on Monday.

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