During the fourth quarter earnings call, Tesla executives highlighted that the company has not given up on Hardware 3 yet. The executives noted that the FSD Supervised v12.6 release is like a “baby v13,” and thus it is a notable improvement over its predecessors.
Based on comments from Hardware 3 FSD users, it appears that Tesla executives were not joking at all.
FSD Supervised v12.6.3:
- Following the release of FSD Supervised v12.6.3, numerous Tesla owners with Hardware 3 vehicles took to social media to share their experiences about the update.
- The reviews from Tesla owners were very positive, with some describing FSD Supervised v12.6.3’s performance as “unbelievable” and “epic.”
- Others praised the update for its smoothness and confidence, which reportedly was previously exhibited only by FSD Supervised v13.
- “The smoothness and confidence was only something I’ve witnessed on V13. They’ve truly outdone themselves here,” a Tesla Model 3 owner who tested FSD Supervised v12.6.3 noted.
Just installed FSD V12.6.3, coming from FSD V12.5.4.2 on AI3 on my personal Tesla. Check your AI3 Teslas if you haven’t already!
Earlier today, I got the chance to go for a short ride and it was unbelievable. The smoothness and confidence was only something I’ve witnessed on… pic.twitter.com/pViA9lXLA6— BabyTesla (@BabyTesla3) February 3, 2025
I have both FSD 12.6.3 and 13.2.2
The only major differences are Reverse and the Start FSD button.
Performance is very similar— TimDOES (@TimDOES) February 2, 2025
Here’s a condensed clip of my latest video reviewing FSD v12.6.3. Link below. It’s crazy how well it’s performing. ? Based on a recent poll where 395 people voted, 55% of HW3 owners are still on v12.5.4. 20% are on v12.6.2 while 23% are on v12.6.3. Hey @Tesla_AI @aelluswamy… pic.twitter.com/0wNuy2rlOj— TechGeek Tesla ?⚡️ (@jonbbc) February 2, 2025
FSD V12.6.3 is no joke! I've done multiple flawless point to point drives on LA surface streets. HW3 owners are going to love when this goes wide! https://t.co/wct46Lllt8— FSD (Beta) Test Pilot (@j32pmxr) February 3, 2025
FSD v12.6.3 feels like a mini V13 pic.twitter.com/tN240jkZUM— Zack (@BLKMDL3) February 3, 2025
Elon Musk on Hardware 3:
- Tesla is already producing vehicles with AI4 computers. FSD Supervised updates today are also distributed to AI4 vehicles.
- During the Q4 2024 earnings call, Elon Musk noted that Tesla would eventually be providing a free HW3 to AI4 upgrade for customers who purchased FSD with their vehicles.
- “I think the honest answer is that we’re going to have to upgrade people’s Hardware 3 computers for those that have bought Full Self-Driving, and that is the honest answer, and that’s going to be painful and difficult, but we’ll get it done,” Musk admitted.


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Elon Musk
Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch
Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.
SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.
The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.
Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean
Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.
We’re sending a ship out to recover Starship https://t.co/fUqUZTITO9
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 28, 2026
This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.
Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims
Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.
The ship landing was precise, meaning that it would have been caught by the tower arms https://t.co/6nbNrRfX9P
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.
It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars
Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.
The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.
Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”
People on Mars in roughly 5 to 7 years.
Mars lander a few years sooner.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”
Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.
Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.
In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.
The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.
Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.
SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.
It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.
The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.
Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.
