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Tesla Gigafactory 3 will aim to produce 17k Model 3 this year, claims report

The Tesla Gigafactory 3 site as of October 31, 2019. (Credit: Jason Yang/YouTube)

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A recent report from China has suggested that Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai will be aiming for a very ambitious goal with regards to its initial production output. Citing information acquired through its sources, local news agency The Global Times has noted that Tesla will aim to produce 17,400 Made-in-China Model 3 at Gigafactory 3 by the end of 2019. 

If the Times‘ information is accurate, this could mean that Tesla could start Model 3 production at a pace of 2,900 units per week. This is incredibly ambitious, though with six weeks left in the year, the target is pretty close to a previous estimate shared by Tesla Global VP Grace Tao, who noted in an interview with Chinese news outlets that Gigafactory 3 will be aiming for a production rate of 3,000 Model 3 per week to start. 

Inasmuch as Tesla’s reported target of 17,400 Model 3 before the end of the year is notably shocking, the company does have the necessary permissions to begin mass-production activities for the Made-in-China electric sedan. Tesla’s mass-production permit was posted by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on its website on Wednesday. With this permit, Tesla could begin producing the China-made Model 3 at scale. 

Producing the Model 3 at scale at this point would be a smart move for the electric car maker. So far, Tesla is only waiting for its final permits to start delivering the Made-in-China Model 3 to local reservation holders. But while the company is waiting for these approvals, it could do what it is already permitted to do — manufacture the Model 3 at Gigafactory 3’s Phase 1 area. This way, customer deliveries could begin as soon as Tesla’s final approvals are acquired. 

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If Tesla can start the production of the Model 3 in Gigafactory 3 this month, the company could be well within reach of its self-imposed target of producing 360,000-400,000 electric vehicles in 2019. This ambitious goal has received a notable amount of mockery from Tesla critics, especially considering that the company’s Fremont factory is already operating at full capacity. With Gigafactory 3 in the picture, things become a bit different. 

Larger numbers of Made-in-China Model 3 units have been spotted by drone operators and Tesla enthusiasts Chao Zhou and Jason Yang in recent flyovers. Chao, for one, noted that he was able to spot around 50 Model 3 in Gigafactory 3’s parking lot. Neither Tesla nor its Chinese partners have provided details about these vehicles, though speculations are abounding that the Model 3 at Gigafactory 3’s parking lots are trial production units. If the Times‘ recent report turns out to be accurate, then Gigafactory 3’s premises may soon be filled with Made-in-China Model 3 vehicles sooner than expected.

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Elon Musk

Tesla Phone? Not quite, but close: analyst

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elon musk phone
Photo: Boss Hunting.com.au

For years, there have been images and videos across social media platforms that have reminded me of when I was a 15-year-old kid teased by “Xbox 720” videos on YouTube. These videos are of the supposed “Tesla Phone” that Elon Musk was secretly developing in between leading Tesla with its electric cars and SpaceX with its reusable rockets.

Although Musk has put those rumors to bed several times, it was never completely out of the realm that he could get involved in cell phones in some capacity. Think outside the box and more macro-level, though. Instead of reinventing the computer, Musk reinvented connectivity by developing Starlink with SpaceX.

It could be something similar, TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams said in a note last week, where he hinted SpaceX could be gathering some steam to acquire T-Mobile.

Williams said it would be the “clear choice” for SpaceX if it decided to go through with a network acquisition. He also suggested AT&T.

The move would be possible through selling more of its own stock, which would help SpaceX raise the money to purchase T-Mobile, which would cost roughly $300 billion. It could be one of the moves SpaceX makes post-IPO in terms of an acquisition: it already acquired Cursor AI for $60 billion.

Other analysts, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, believe SpaceX and Tesla will eventually merge into one anyway, and that conglomeration could come as soon as this year, some have said.

The implications of SpaceX purchasing T-Mobile are massive. A combined entity would create a truly ubiquitous network: T-Mobile’s terrestrial 5G towers and Starlink’s growing constellation of Direct-to-Cell satellites. This would essentially eliminate dead zones across the U.S. and potentially globally.

SpaceX would instantly become a full-scale facilities-based carrier with satellite differentiation; a huge advantage. This would pressure AT&T and Verizon heavily.

There are also concerns like a potential reduction in long-term competition, and of course, a deal of that size would face intense scrutiny from government agencies.

The strategic fit is compelling due to the existing Starlink–T-Mobile partnership and complementary technologies (space + terrestrial). It could create a dominant integrated communications player. However, the regulatory, financial, and execution hurdles are enormous — this remains highly speculative with no indication SpaceX is actively pursuing it right now.

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Tesla reveals huge Cybercab detail in new guide for First Responders

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla revealed a major new Cybercab detail in a guide it released for First Responders, showing new territory in its beliefs and intentions for the ride-hailing-focused vehicle that entered production in April.

The First Responders Guide is released to give fire departments, paramedics, and other emergency personnel the proper guidance on what to do in the event of an accident, entrapment, or other situation that would require immediate attention.

On one of the pages of the First Responders Guide, Tesla revealed a stark detail about the Cybercab, which could help personnel enter the vehicle more easily in case of an emergency.

Tesla Cybercab has one important piece that AI4 cars might need for FSD

It shows Tesla has no intention of releasing any Cybercab units that were initially proposed for ride-hailing services for the general public with any manual controls, meaning a steering wheel or pedals:

“A Cybercab equipped with steering wheel, brake pedal, and an acceleration pedal is typically an engineering or test vehicle, and operates at SAE Level 2 autonomy. Cybercab is not typically equipped with a steering wheel or acceleration and brake pedals.”

This is a major development for those who continue to believe Tesla planned to release the Cybercab with any sort of manual controls so that passengers could take over if needed. However, when Tesla started manufacturing production versions of the Cybercab in Giga Texas earlier this year, they were spotted without a steering wheel or pedals.

It essentially confirms the company has no intentions of bringing manual controls to the car’s production versions. Some have argued that the likelihood of Tesla having something

There still are some Cybercab units out there with a steering wheel and pedals, and as Tesla said, these cars are engineering or test vehicles, which have Safety Monitors on board to help the car out of a precarious situation or emergency.

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Tesla Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ Release Notes: new capabilities and features

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(Credit: Megan Gale/Twitter)

Tesla released the Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ suite to owners of Hardware 3 or AI3 vehicles today, adding several new features to the vehicles that were once believed to be capable of unsupervised self-driving.

Now, Tesla has released this modified suite to older Tesla vehicles, adding plenty of new features and capabilities.

Here are the full release notes for the suite:

  • Distilled the intelligence from HW4 V14 into HW3. This allows HW3 to directly learn how to handle scenarios using HW4 V14 as a guide. This process unlocks the improvements that have been made to HW4 including Reinforcement Learning (RL) and offline models for HW3.
  • Improved both proactive and reactive responsiveness across a wide variety of categories including navigation handling, merges and forks, pedestrian interactions, traffic lights, and vehicle cut-in scenarios.
  • Improved general comfort in nominal scenarios through fewer false slowdowns, smoother steering and more consistent lane centering.
  • Introduced parking, unparking, and reversing capabilities.
  • Added Arrival Options for you to select where FSD should park: in a Parking Lot, on the Street, in a Driveway, or at the Curbside.
  • Speed Profiles are now available at all times, to further customize driving style preference.

These improvements, according to Tesla’s Head of AI, Ashok Elluswamy, help distill the driving behavior from AI4’s v14 series into both the camera and compute configurations of AI3.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ for older cars finally gets released

He added:

“It includes destination options and speed profiles on city roads, but more importantly significantly improved safety. We hope you’ll enjoy it, once the build ships wide.”

Tesla will continue to roll out the v14 Lite suite more widely in the coming weeks, the company said.

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