It appears that Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai is fully ready to begin the production of the Made-in-China Model 3. The remarkable and welcome update was announced to Chinese media by an executive from the electric car maker and shared on Twitter by news agency The Global Times.
“Tesla Shanghai factory is ready for production and sales will begin after being granted product certification and government approval, said Tesla global vice president Tao Lin,” the media outlet stated in its post.
Based on the recent update from the Times, it appears that Tesla is now only waiting for a product certification for the Model 3. Product certification reportedly involves the manufacturing of an initial batch of Model 3 units that will be sent over and evaluated by authorities. Once the vehicles pass the evaluation process, Tesla could start selling its Made-in-China Model 3 sedans in the country.
This bodes well for Tesla and its efforts in China, considering that authorities granted the electric car maker a production certification recently, which permits the company to start manufacturing the Model 3 in the Shanghai-based site. Considering the quick approval granted for Gigafactory 3’s production certification, there is a good chance that the facility’s product certification will likely be approved quickly as well.
The recent update is quite significant as it was related by an actual executive from the electric car maker. Over the past weeks, numerous reports have emerged speculating that production of the Model 3 in Gigafactory 3 is about to begin, yet these were mostly speculations. With global vice president Tao Lin confirming that Gigafactory 3 only needs a product certificate for the Model 3, Tesla appears to be taking a stand and declaring that it is ready to breach the Chinese EV market with its first locally-produced vehicle.
Recent drone flyovers of the Gigafactory 3 site corroborates the Tesla executive’s recent statement to the Times. Tesla enthusiast and drone operator Jason Yang, for one, has captured two Model 3 units in the Gigafactory 3 area during a flyover last Friday. Leaked images from the facility’s interior show that an initial batch of Model 3 units has been produced as well.
Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 could ultimately be the company’s dark horse this fourth quarter. Even if the Shanghai-based site could only sustain a minimal output of Model 3 in 2019, the vehicles produced on the site and sold to the Chinese market could provide a welcome boost to Tesla’s overall vehicle production and delivery numbers for Q4 2019.
At the beginning of the year, Tesla announced that it was aiming to deliver 360,000-400,000 vehicles for 2019. To meet the lower end of this estimate, Tesla would have to deliver around 105,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter, a number that it is yet to achieve.
That being said, the Fremont factory in the United States was able to deliver 97,000 vehicles on its own in Q3 2019. With more efficiencies to Model 3 production being implemented in the United States and Gigafactory 3 going live, perhaps Tesla can actually meet its ambitious self-imposed estimates.
Watch a recent flyover of the Gigafactory 3 site in the video below.
Investor's Corner
BNP Paribas Exane initiates Tesla coverage with “Underperform” rating
The firm’s projections for Tesla still include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has received a bearish call from BNP Paribas Exane, which initiated coverage on the stock with an Underperform rating and a $307 price target, about 30% below current levels.
The firm’s analysts argued that Tesla’s valuation is driven heavily by artificial intelligence ventures such as the Robotaxi and Optimus, which are both still not producing any sales today.
Tesla’s valuation
In its note, BNP Paribas Exane stated that Tesla’s two AI-led programs, the Robotaxi and Optimus robots, generate “zero sales today, yet inform ~75% of our ~$1.02 trillion price target.” The research firm’s model projected a maximum bull-case valuation of $2.7 trillion through 2040, but after discounting milestone probabilities, its base-case valuation remained at $1.02 trillion.
The analysts described their outlook as optimistic toward Tesla’s AI ventures but cautioned that the stock’s “unfavorable risk/reward is clear,” adding that consensus earnings expectations for 2026 remain too high. Tesla’s market cap currently stands around $1.44 trillion with a trailing twelve-month revenue of $92.7 billion, which BNP Paribas argued does not justify Tesla’s P/E ratio of 258.59, as noted in an Investing.com report.
Tesla and its peers
BNP Paribas Exane’s report also included a comparative study of the “Magnificent Seven,” finding Tesla’s current market valuation as rather aggressive. “Our unique comparative analysis of the ‘Mag 7’ reveals the extreme nature of TSLA’s valuation, as the market implicitly says TSLA’s 2035 earnings (~55% of which will be driven by Robotaxi & Optimus, w/ zero sales now) have the same level of risk & value-appropriation as the ‘Mag 6’s’ 2026 earnings,” the firm noted.
The firm’s projections for Tesla include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030, 17 million cumulative Optimus robot deliveries by 2040 priced above $20,000 each, and more than 11 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions by 2030. Interestingly enough, these seem to be rather optimistic projections for one of the electric vehicle maker’s more bearish estimates today.
News
Tesla FSD’s new Mad Max mode is getting rave reviews from users
It does appear that Mad Max mode is destined to be one of the system’s biggest steps forward to date.
Tesla’s release notes for the newly released Mad Max mode for FSD (Supervised) V14.1.2 simply stated that the feature “comes with higher speeds and more frequent lane changes than Hurry.” But as per videos that have been posted online by FSD users who have tested the system, it does appear that Mad Max mode is destined to be one of the system’s biggest steps forward to date.
It is then no surprise that the new capability is getting rave reviews from Tesla owners.
Impressive tests
A look at posts on social media platform X would show that, similar to past FSD releases, numerous Tesla content creators immediately tested Mad Max mode on real-world streets after it was downloaded onto their vehicle. Considering that the update was released rather late, the first tests of Mad Max mode were done at night. Despite this, it was evident that Tesla worked very hard to make Mad Max mode into something that is very useful in real-world scenarios.
This could be seen in videos from longtime Tesla owner @BLKMDL3, who observed that Max Max mode was “amazing” and like “perfect for LA traffic” due to its cautious but assertive nature. Later on, the Tesla owner noted that after eight drives, it was evident that FSD (Supervised) V14.1.2 was impressive.
Assertive but safe
Other testers such as Model Y owner Sawyer Merritt noted that Mad Max mode drives very quickly and confidently, with smoother acceleration that is still very safe. These were echoed by another longtime FSD tester, Dirty Tesla, who noted that Mad Max mode seems to be designed for heavy, aggressive traffic so users could fit in better. The FSD user did, however, observe that Mad Max mode does speed up a lot on open roads.
Recent comments from Tesla AI Head Ashok Elluswamy have indicated that Mad Max mode was created to be a solution for daytime congested traffic, which is arguably one of the most soul-crushing experiences that drivers deal with on a daily basis. With this in mind, it does appear that FSD (Supervised) V14.1.2 could prove to be a notable step forward in Tesla’s push towards true autonomous driving.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk highlights the biggest flaw in X’s monetization program
Elon Musk also stated that YouTube manages creator payments “much better.”
Elon Musk has admitted that X’s creator payout system isn’t living up to expectations, and he has highlighted the current system’s biggest flaw.
Amidst complaints about low and inconsistent payments, the platform’s owner acknowledged that X has been “underpaying and not allocating payment accurately enough.” Musk also stated that YouTube manages creator payments “much better.”
Musk acknowledges payout issues
Recent discussions about the social media platform’s payout issues began when X product head Nikita Bier stated that the company was developing new upgrades for “power users.” This prompted X user Peter Duan to raise ongoing concerns about being “consistently underpaid” compared to his peers. Bier responded candidly, suggesting that “creator payouts do more harm than good and we need to off-ramp to a different system.”
Musk then weighed in on the matter, contradicting Bier’s view. “No,” Musk wrote in his reply, “the issue is that we are underpaying and not allocating payment accurately enough. YouTube does a much better job.” The Tesla CEO’s comment immediately reignited debates about X’s monetization program, which some have criticized for its rather unpredictable nature.
X’s monetization challenges
Since X launched its ad revenue-sharing program in 2023, the system has promised to reward Premium subscribers who generate high engagement with verified accounts, as noted in a WION report. Creators, however, have argued that the company’s payout model has remained inconsistent, with revenue fluctuating even when view counts stay stable. Reports have noted that some users with millions of monthly impressions have received just a few hundred dollars.
By contrast, YouTube’s Partner Program, which takes a 45% cut of ad revenue, is known for more transparent and predictable payments. Musk’s admission that YouTube handles monetization more effectively could then hint at a potential shift towards a new monetization program for X, a platform that has become increasingly critical to social conversations over the years.
BNP Paribas Exane initiates Tesla coverage with “Underperform” rating
Tesla FSD’s new Mad Max mode is getting rave reviews from users
Elon Musk highlights the biggest flaw in X’s monetization program
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