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‘Buy Tesla’: Goldman Sachs defines investments as the Age of Oil closes

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Goldman Sachs is preparing for the lapse of the Age of Oil, predicting big gains for the companies that continue to help expand the footprint of sustainable energy. As the world begins to move away from petrol-based fuels and favor renewable sources of energy, Goldman Sachs is allowing investors to look at some of the companies that are leading the charge in specific sectors, especially automotive, where Tesla has established itself as one of the more favorable investment opportunities for those who want to support electrification in ways outside of simply purchasing products. However, Tesla isn’t the only car company that is listed, and cars are not the only topic that Goldman analysts are bullish on as the Age of Oil begins its imminent demise.

“We remain above consensus on oil demand forecasts through 2025, and we still do not forecast peak oil demand this decade, though we expect oil demand growth beyond 2025 to be anemic, mainly due to electrification,” a team of Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in the sixth installment of the Future of Energy Demand Series. “We now expect transport oil to peak in 2026, but we see robust growth for petrochemicals and jet fuel offsetting declines in transport demand in 2025-2030.”

Likely expected, commercial travel is going to be the largest hoop to jump through in the fight to decrease the usage of fossil fuels. Global logistics, travel, and business all currently depend on fossil fuels to keep things moving globally. Still, some companies are attempting to reduce their carbon footprint by experimenting with small-scale projects. UPS, for example, recently purchased all-electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) drones that can help with deliveries. The BETA aircraft that UPS is experimenting with is capable of carrying 1,400 pounds of cargo with 250 miles of range. “This is all about innovation with a focus on returns for our business, our customers, and the environment,” Juan Perez, UPS Chief Information and Engineering Officer said.

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The biggest disruptions for the global oil and petrol market come where electrification is becoming a more favorable option. The largest disruptions occur in the passenger vehicle market, where companies like Tesla and Volkswagen are Goldman’s biggest picks. The analysts see growing profit pools for the EV value change in these companies over the long term, especially as they are currently the two most-talked-about forces in the global electric car sector. Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y are continuing to be two of the world’s most popular electric vehicles, while Volkswagen is rolling out its ID. family of vehicles that have been highly effective for many, despite some complaints about software.

Interestingly, Tesla’s energy side is still a relatively unmentioned player in the solar sector. It is rarely mentioned when analysts break down price targets for the company, even though its solar, battery, and energy storage products are among the most effective and affordable in the United States. Chamath Palihapitiya says some of the biggest gains in Tesla’s stock could come through its energy business.

Tesla Energy gets optimistic outlook from board member Kimbal Musk

“There are trillions of dollars of bonds, of CAPEX, of value sitting inside the energy generation infrastructure of the world, that is going to go upside down. When that goes pear-shaped, Tesla will double and triple again,” Palihapitiya said in January.

Nevertheless, the Age of Oil is slowly but surely coming to a close. The companies that continue to push their sustainable forms of energy are expected to come out as big winners, leaving fossil fuel and petrol-dependent companies on the backburner for the next several decades.

Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

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Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Google just picked SpaceX for its first step into orbital AI

Google will launch its first Project Suncatcher AI satellite on SpaceX’s Transporter-18 rideshare next week.

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Google is about to put its own AI chips into orbit for the first time, and it is paying SpaceX to get them there.

The company said Thursday that the first in-orbit test of Project Suncatcher, its research effort to find out whether space can host large-scale AI computing, will fly next week on SpaceX’s Transporter-18 rideshare mission.

The satellite, called MVP, is about the size of a refrigerator and carries four of Google’s Tensor Processing Units, the same chips Google runs in its ground data centers. Google originally planned to launch two custom satellites in 2027, but chose to move faster by integrating its chips into a satellite.

MVP’s solar panels supply about one kilowatt of power, and Google will run Gemini models on the TPUs only in bursts of roughly 15 minutes before the chips shut down so the radiators can shed heat. In a blog post, Google said its Trillium TPUs survived vibration testing that mimicked sustained launch loads of up to 10g, with individual components seeing 50 to 100g, and handled a radiation dose greater than a five year mission would deliver.

SpaceX and Google mull massive partnership on Musk’s orbital data dream: report

Next week’s flight, slated for October 1, follows a relationship that became public in May, when Teslarati reported that Google was in talks with SpaceX for a launch deal tied to orbital data centers. Google also holds a stake of roughly 6% in SpaceX.

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The two companies are chasing the same idea from very different starting points. SpaceX’s own orbital compute program is built around the AI1 satellite, a roughly 70 meter structure derived from Starlink V3 hardware that is designed for 150 kW of peak compute, about 150 times the power MVP will draw. Elon Musk has brushed off concerns about crowding orbit with those satellites, and SpaceX is building its Gigasat factory in Bastrop, Texas, to produce them, targeting an annualized rate of about 1 GW of space compute by the end of 2027.

Musk also posted on X on Thursday that “the amount of compute in space will obviously round up to 100% of all compute.”

Google has been more cautious in public. Its research estimates that launch prices need to fall below about $200 per kilogram before an orbital data center can compete with a ground facility on energy cost, a threshold the company believes could be reached around the mid 2030s. The Suncatcher team has said it expects the effort to remain a project rather than a product for years, which leaves the first real test of its hardware riding on a rocket from the company with the most aggressive timeline in the field.

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Energy

Tesla Semi factory is getting a celebration nobody expected

Tesla will inaugurate its Nevada Semi factory September 24, five months after production quietly began ramping.

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Tesla says it will officially inaugurate its new Semi factory in Nevada next month. The Tesla Semi account posted the announcement on X, sharing a graphic titled “Semi Rollout” with a date of September 24. No further details were given about the format of the event or who would attend.

While Tesla’s dedicated Semi plant in Sparks, adjacent to Gigafactory Nevada, opened back in April, with the first trucks rolling off the high volume line on April 29, the timing for the factory inauguration comes at a surprise. The ribbon cutting event five months into production is a break from how Tesla has usually handled its other factories, where the first truck or car off the line typically served as the milestone moment.

The 1.7 million square foot factory was built as part of a $3.6 billion expansion Tesla announced in early 2023, and it shares a site with the battery cell lines that feed the Semi’s structural pack, a decision meant to remove the supply bottleneck that delayed the truck for years. The plant is designed for 50,000 trucks a year at full ramp. Semi program director Dan Priestley has said production “is now ramping” rather than claiming it has reached scale.

Nine years passed between the Semi’s 2017 unveiling and this stage of production, with the truck slipping from an original 2019 target through hand built pilot units for PepsiCo and a slow build out of the Nevada plant. An inauguration event now gives Tesla a stage to talk up that ramp and reset expectations for how many trucks it can begin delivering at scale.

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The September date also lines up with the Semi’s next milestone. Tesla confirmed the truck is heading to Europe with a full unveiling at the IAA Transportation trade show in Hannover, Germany, running September 15 through 20. Between the Nevada event and the Hannover reveal, Tesla has roughly a week and a half in September to make the case that the Semi is now a truck being built and sold on two continents rather than tested in a handful of fleets.

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Energy

Tesla launches Powerwall Lease for affordable home backup

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla Energy has introduced the Powerwall Lease in conjunction with Tesla Electric, making the service available in Texas. This new option delivers whole-home backup power using two Powerwall units for a net monthly cost of $35 after credits, accompanied by a low fixed electricity rate.

Under the lease terms, customers pay a one-time order fee of $100. The base lease payment for the two Powerwalls is approximately $122 per month during the first year, subject to a 3 percent annual escalator thereafter. Enrollment in a qualifying Tesla Electric Backup plan or Virtual Power Plant plan provides an $87 monthly credit.

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This credit lowers the effective cost to roughly $35 per month plus applicable tax.

Installation of the standard system carries no additional charge. The package features Storm Watch for outage protection and allows complete management through a single Tesla application. The system supplies continuous whole-home backup capability.

The Powerwall system enables households to maintain electricity during severe storms that disrupt the utility grid. When outages occur, the batteries automatically provide seamless backup power to the home.

Tesla announces 100k Powerwalls are participating in Virtual Power Plants

Tesla Storm Watch monitors weather forecasts and ensures the units are fully charged ahead of anticipated severe weather events so that power remains available throughout the disruption, keeping lights, refrigeration, and other essential systems operating without interruption.

Availability is restricted to select Texas locations where retail electric choice exists. Participants must lease exactly two Powerwall units and maintain continuous enrollment with Tesla Electric. Solar panels cannot be included under this particular lease arrangement.

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The monthly credit activates automatically once the system is installed, receives permission to operate, and enrollment is confirmed. To retain the credit, customers are required to stay enrolled in Tesla Electric and fulfill all program conditions.

Nonstandard installations that involve electrical upgrades or special permitting may lead to extra expenses and might impact eligibility for the credit, so be sure to check with either your installer or Tesla to ensure you will still qualify.

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