Investor's Corner
Tesla – SolarCity merger: the devil is in the details

On Monday August 1st, Tesla announced that it had reached a definitive agreement to acquire SolarCity. Tesla provided investors with an Investor Presentation slide set, and a 180 pages long Form 8-K filing.
Investor Presentation
In the slide presentation titled Tesla to acquire SolarCity, the company provided details for the proposed transaction.
Tesla would acquire SolarCity in an all-stock transaction valued at $2.6 billion. SolarCity shareholders will receive 0.110 shares of Tesla stock for each share of SolarCity valued at $25.37 per share. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2016 and subject to the approval by a majority of disinterested shareholders at both SolarCity and Tesla, to be voted upon at each respective shareholder meeting.
The Tesla SolarCity “strategic” combination would:
- Accelerate the transition to sustainable energy
- Create world’s only integrated sustainable energy company
- Drive products development and innovation
- Catalyze solar energy adoption
- [Provide] substantial cost efficiencies.
The presentation stated that SolarCity provides best-in-class rooftop solar installation costs of $1.92 per watt as of 4Q15, and is America’s #1 vertically integrated provider of residential and commercial solar, with a 35% share of the residential market and 14% share of the commercial market in 2015. Tesla is the world’s fastest growing car company, with an 18% market share of the “large Luxury sedans” in 2015 with its Model S.
The combined company would leverage Tesla’s design and manufacturing expertise:
- Speed development of beautiful, differentiated and technologically superior products
- Improve solar value proposition by integrating storage, reducing system cost and improving reliability
- Fully integrate product suite for a seamless user experience, delivering an improved, lower-cost product for customers
- Develop products for residential, commercial and grid-scale applications
- Take advantage of SolarCity’s industry-leading project finance capabilities
One of the major points of the slide presentation is that the combined companies would provide “substantial cost efficiencies”, with $150 million of direct cost synergies expected to be achieved in the first full year after closing the transaction.
The cost synergies would be driven by sales and marketing efficiencies, and corporate and overhead savings. The value proposition is improved by lowering hardware costs, reducing installation and service costs, improving manufacturing efficiency, reducing customer acquisition costs, and cutting capital costs.
Form 8-K Filing
The very long document filing includes the usual boilerplate for merger transactions, but also reveals quite a few interesting tidbits, buried into the document. These are quotes from the document.
Stockholders of SolarCity will be asked to vote on the adoption and approval of the Merger Agreement and the Merger, and stockholders of Tesla will be asked to vote on the approval of the Merger and the Share Issuance, at special meetings of the stockholders of SolarCity and Tesla, respectively, that will be held on dates to be announced.
“The Merger Agreement and the Merger be adopted and approved by stockholders of SolarCity, including by the holders of a majority of the total votes of shares of SolarCity common stock […] that are not owned by Mr. Elon Musk and the other directors. other than Nancy E. Pfund and Donald R. Kendall, Jr.”
Similarly, “the Merger and the Share Issuance be approved by the stockholders of Tesla, including by the holders of a majority of the total votes of shares of Tesla common stock […] that are not owned by Mr. Elon Musk and the other directors and the named executive officers of SolarCity and certain of their affiliates.”
This means that the approval will likely rely on mutual fund managers and banks that hold large chunks of both Tesla and SolarCity stock.
As part of the agreement, SolarCity has a 45-day period known as a “go-shop”, which runs through September 14, 2016. This means that SolarCity is allowed to solicit alternative proposals during that time.
The all-stock transaction, with an equity value of $2.6 billion, is based on the 5-day volume-weighted average price of Tesla shares as of July 29, 2016. Under the agreement, SolarCity stockholders will receive 0.110 Tesla common shares per SolarCity share, valuing SolarCity common stock at $25.37 per share based on the 5-day volume weighted average price of Tesla shares as of July 29, 2016.
The “Excluded Company Parties”, i.e. the directors and named executive officers other than Nancy E. Pfund and Donald R. Kendall, Jr., that will not be able to vote at the Company Stockholders Meeting include Lyndon R. Rive, Peter J. Rive, Tanguy V. Serra, Hayden D. Barnard, Seth R. Weissman, Elon Musk, John H.N. Fisher, Antonio Gracias and Jeffrey B. Straubel.
While most stock options equity awards of each company will be automatically converted into stock options of the “merged” company, the stock options set forth in a “Company disclosure letter” shall be cancelled for no consideration. It turns out that these options are the ones that were granted by SolarCity to Lyndon and Peter Rive, the CEO and CTO of SolarCity. These options amounted to about $128 million, and would have been earned over a 10 year period, based on achieving a set of goals of SolarCity stock price and operational results. For some unknown treason, Elon Musk’s cousins will get the shaft in the merger transaction related to their stock options.
But do not feel too bad for the cousins. According to a research report from Reuters, that analyzed the results of the merger, “three of Musk’s relatives, including brother Kimbal Musk and cousins Lyndon Rive and Peter Rive, will own a combined stake of 0.5 percent in Tesla. Kimbal Musk is a director of Tesla.”
According to Reuters “Elon Musk and key institutional investors will probably tighten their control over electric car maker Tesla Motors Inc after it acquires sister company SolarCity Inc.” “The largest institutional shareholder, Fidelity Management and Research, will see its stake grow from 12.2 percent to 13.4 percent. Two Fidelity-managed funds, Fidelity Contrafund and Fidelity OTC, together will control another 7.3 percent, up from 6.5 percent.”
Musk will remain the largest individual shareholder, boosting his stake from 23.2 percent to 25.0 percent according to Reuters.
Note that Fidelity has already come out in favor of the merger.
“Musk, eight major institutional investors and the two Fidelity funds control 45.7 percent of Tesla. After the merger, the same group’s combined stake will rise to 49.0 percent.” “Other major institutional shareholders include Scottish investment manager Bailie Gifford & Co, which will maintain an 8.9 percent stake in the combined companies; T. Rowe Price Associates, 5.5 percent, and Vanguard Group, 3.6 percent. Big banks, including several Tesla lenders, also will maintain significant stakes after the merger: Bank of Montreal, 4.1 percent; Morgan Stanley, 3.0 percent; Goldman Sachs, 2.2 percent, and J.P. Morgan Chase, 1.0 percent.”
What this all means is that individual investors will have no say in the approval of the merger, and only a few more institutional investors are needed, besides Fidelity, to approve the merger. The only thing that could derail the merger is a third party bid for SolarCity, during the go-shop period. Given how debt ridden is SolarCity, the chance of of such a bid are fairly remote.
Market Reaction
The initial market reaction to the details of the merger agreement was mixed, but eventually turned negative. On Monday the stock reached $236, but closed at $229. On Tuesday the stock initially sold off even more to $221, closing the session at $227.
Looking at the chart, The MACD has started pinching, indicating a possible end of the MACD-run that started on July 1st. Anyone selling today would have had a nice $11 gain, over a 1-month period, a very nice return. I personally closed my July 1st call option trade (I was long Sept 230 calls) when TSLA reached $236 on Monday. I was planning to close my trade before the Quarterly report is released on Wednesday, and the high point of Monday made it a perfect exit. Notice that I never hold options or stock before a quarterly report, especially for a volatile stock as TSLA, as the post report swings are so wide that one can easily lose their shirt in the the span of a few hours.

Source: Wall Street I/O
Investor's Corner
Tesla hints at ‘Model 2’ & next-gen EV designs
Tesla’s Q1 2025 update confirms new models this year, with production tied to existing factory lines. Could it be time for the Model 2 debut?

During its Q1 2025 earnings call, Tesla executives hinted at the much-rumored “Model 2” and other next-gen EV designs.
Tesla slightly addressed whether or not it will be pushing forward with the debut of new models later this year in its latest earnings call. The company’s product development executive, Lars Moravy, shared some details about Tesla’s design process and the upcoming affordable models.
“We’re still planning to release models this year. As with all launches, we’re working through, like, the last minute issues that pop up. We’re knocking them down one by one. At this point, I would say that the ramp might be a little slower than we had hoped initially…But there’s nothing that’s blocking us from starting production within the next, within the timeline laid out in the opening remarks.
“And I will say it’s important to emphasize that, as we’ve said all along, the full utilization of our factories is the primary goal for these new products. And so the flexibility of what we can do within the form factor and, you know, the design of it is really limited to what we can do on our existing lines rather than building new ones. But we’ve been targeting the low cost of ownership. Monthly payment is the biggest differentiator for our vehicles, and that’s why we’re focused on bringing these new models with the, you know, the lowest price, to the market, within the constraints I just highlighted.”
The Model 3 is a hell of a deal, ngl. With the federal tax credit, it'd be silly to get a comparably priced combustion-powered car.
Now for the big question. Is the Model 3 currently the best-looking Tesla? https://t.co/5E37J9OKhU— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) April 24, 2025
In January, Tesla’s Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja teased several new product introductions for this year. There is at least one product that most Tesla supporters and investors are hoping to see: the company’s affordable vehicles, which have been dubbed by the EV community as the “Model 2” or “Model Q.”
Before Tesla’s Robotaxi event last year, many speculated that the company would also unveil its affordable next-gen vehicle. Gene Munster from Deepwater had expected Tesla to release a stripped-down version of the Model 3 as its affordable vehicle during the Robotaxi event. In the end, Tesla unveiled its Robotaxi vehicle and its Robovan design.
It’s been a while since the Robotaxi event, and Tesla has kept mum about its affordable vehicle. Considering its Q1 2025 performance, TSLA investors look forward to catalysts that could boost the stock.
The “Model 2” has been labeled a potential catalyst for Tesla. As such, TSLA investors and supporters have been itching for news about the new affordable vehicle. The main questions surrounding the “Model 2” revolve around its design and price. Based on Moravy’s statement, the “Model 2’s” design will heavily depend on Tesla’s current assembly lines and supply chain structures.
Elon Musk
Tesla regains Piper Sandler’s confidence with Robotaxi plans & Q1 Results
Piper Sandler says Tesla delivered the best-case scenario for bulls. $TSLA has catalysts ahead to silence the bears.

Tesla gained Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter’s confidence following its Q1 2025 earnings call. Piper Sandler reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $400 TSLA price target, signaling optimism for the company’s robotaxi and affordable vehicle launches expected this year. The firm’s stance reflects Tesla’s resilience amid market challenges.
Despite expectations of weak Q1 financials, Tesla’s stock edged up in after-hours trading, defying skepticism. Piper Sandler’s Alexander Potter noted that the results met the hopes of Tesla supporters, particularly as the company held firm on its timelines. Potter emphasized that anticipation for robotaxi details and new vehicle launches should keep critics at bay, supporting the $400 target.
“In our preview last week, we predicted that (at best) Q1 would be a non-event. With the stock trading up slightly in the after-hours session, it appears our best-case scenario has materialized. Considering generally weak Q1 financials, we think this is the best result that TSLA bulls could’ve reasonably hoped for.
“In our view, the most important Q1 takeaway is this: Tesla didn’t hedge expectations re: launching Robotaxis or lower-priced vehicles in 1H25. With <2 months until the end of June, investors can look forward to some interesting catalysts in the weeks ahead. In our view, this alone should be enough to keep the bears at bay, at least until we have a better idea re: the details of Tesla’s new products, as well as the scale/scope of the Robotaxi launch,” wrote Potter.
Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives, a longtime TSLA bull, echoed Potter’s optimism for Tesla. Ives raised his price target for Tesla stock from $315 to $350 with a BUY rating. His Tesla upgrade came after Elon Musk’s announcement during the Q1 earnings call that he would reduce his involvement with DOGE, signaling a sharper focus on Tesla.
Tesla’s steady Q1 performance and unwavering commitment to its 2025 roadmap, including the Robotaxi launch and lower-priced models, bolster investor confidence. Piper Sandler’s analysis underscores Tesla’s ability to navigate a competitive electric vehicle market while advancing its technological edge. The upcoming Robotaxi launch and affordable vehicle introductions are pivotal, with analysts expecting these initiatives to drive stock value through 2025.
As Tesla prepares for these milestones, its stock movement reflects market trust in Musk’s vision. With Piper Sandler and Wedbush reaffirming bullish outlooks, Tesla’s strategic moves will remain under close scrutiny, positioning the company to capitalize on its innovation pipeline in a dynamic industry landscape.
Investor's Corner
LIVE BLOG: Tesla (TSLA) Q1 2025 Company Update and earnings call
The following are live updates from Tesla’s Q1 2025 earnings call.

Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Q1 2025 earnings call comes on the heels of the company’s Q1 2025 Update, which was released after the closing bell on April 22, 2025.
Tesla’s Q1 2025 Results:
- Total Revenues: $19.3 billion
- Total automotive revenues: $13.967 billion
- Total GAAP gross margin: 16.3%
- Gross Profit: $3.15 billion
- EPS non-GAAP: $0.27 per share
- Free cash flow: $664 million
The following are live updates from Tesla’s Q1 2025 earnings call. I will be updating this article in real time, so please keep refreshing the page to view the latest updates on this story.
16:20 CT – Hello, and happy earnings day to everyone! While Tesla missed the Street’s expectations, the stock has not shown its typical volatility at all. That being said, this earnings call is quite interesting due to the upcoming “Company Update.”
Tesla also reiterated its section about new vehicles that “remain on track for start of production in the first half of 2025” in its Update Letter. What are these vehicles? Just variants of the Model 3 or Model Y? Was the Cybertruck LR RWD one of them already? Or are they actually new cars that we’ve just never seen before?
Either way, ten minutes and counting.
16:27 CT – Now I’m just curious if the Company Update will be a video. The thumbnail Tesla is using on X and YouTube shows an “Audio Webcast Only” graphic though. Three minutes and counting.
16:28 CT – And there’s the music. Wonder if it’s going to be on time.
16:34 CT – Annd we’re now on the Elon time threshold. Tesla stock is actually up 4% in after-hours today. Pretty nutty considering that the Q1 earnings are a miss.
16:36 CT – The earnings call is formally starting. Here we go.
Elon Musk takes the stage. “There’s never dull moment these days,” he said. He admits to the blowback from his work with DOGE. He also admitted that those against DOGE are bound to attack him and his companies, such as Tesla. Musk reiterates his belief that it’s important to fight waste and fraud. “I think it’s critical work,” Musk said.
16:40 CT – Musk discusses the protests against Tesla. He alleges that the protests are not organic. “The actual reason for the protests is that those who are receiving the waste and fraud want to continue receiving the waste and fraud,” he said.
Musk notes that starting next month, in May, his time allocation for DOGE will drop significantly. He will continue to spend a day or two on government matters or as long as the U.S. President wishes him to. “Starting next month, I will be allocating more of my time with Tesla,” Musk stated.
16:43 CT – Musk noted that Tesla is no stranger to challenges, but Tesla has been through the ringer several times in the past. “We’re not on the ragged edge of death….not even close,” he said.
He also highlighted that Tesla is on the cusp of autonomous cars and autonomous humanoid robots. Musk expects unexpected bumps this year, but he remains confident on the future of Tesla. The idea of Tesla potentially being the most valuable company in the world by far was reiterated. “Maybe as valuable than the next five companies combined,” he said.
“We expect to be selling fully autonomous rides in June in August,” Musk stated. He also stated that autonomy in cars will affect the bottom line by mid-2026.
16:47 CT – Musk discusses Tesla’s supply chain, highlighting that Tesla is the least affected automaker by the Trump tariffs. That being said, Tesla has been working to localize its supply chains for years. He admitted that tariffs are tough on companies where the margins are so low. Musk also clarified that he continues to advocate for lower tariffs, but that’s all he can do. Trump has the decision.
“The tariff decision is entirely up to the President of the United States. I will weigh in on the decision, but its primarily up to the President. I continue to advocate for lower tariffs rather than higher tariffs,” Musk said.
16:50 CT – Musk noted that he would now explain why he is very excited for Tesla’s future. He noted that Tesla is laser-focused on bringing autonomy in June in Austin, Texas. He highlights Tesla’s general approach to autonomy.
“We have a general solution (to autonomy) rather than a specific solution,” Musk said.
He also noted that Tesla expects to use thousands of Optimus robots in its factories this year. He expects Optimus’ ramp would be one of the fastest. By 2030, or 2029, a million Optimus per year is plausible.
16:52 CT – Musk highlighted that the Tesla Energy unit is doing very well. “We expect the stationary energy storage to scale to terawatts per year,” he said.
16:54 CT – Musk stated that Tesla chose to update the Model Y in Q1 because the first quarter tends to be the weakest. People do not usually buy a lot of cars in winter, after all. He highlighted that the Model Y is the world’s best-selling cars.
“We picked Q1 to cut over to the production of the new Model Y…at the same time in factories across the world,” Musk stated, adding that, “In conclusion, while there are many headwinds, the future of Tesla is brighter than ever.”
He thanks the Tesla team and stated that he is looking forward to leading the team.
16:56 CT – Tesla CFO Vaibhav Taneja takes the stage. He explained the company’s reduced vehicle deliveries, which were caused by the changeover to the new Model Y across its factories. He also noted that the negative effects of vandalism and unwarranted hostility towards Tesla and its staff affected sales in some areas.
The CFO noted that even with these challenges, Tesla was able to sell out legacy Model Y in Q1. “We have an extremely competitive vehicle lineup and after that we have FSD,” he said.
17:03 CT – Taneja noted that the Powerwall 3 has been received well by customers and Tesla is currently supply constrained.
He also discusses the effects of tariffs, though he highlighted that Tesla is a very American automaker. Tesla is not immune to the tariffs, but the company could navigate the challenging landscape better than other automakers. That said, Tesla’s US lineup complies with USMCA by 85%. The company is working on non-China battery suppliers as well.
17:06 CT – Say Questions begin. First up is a question about the highest risk items on the critical path to robotaxi launch and scaling. Elon stated that robotaxis in June in Austin will be comprised of a Model Y fleet.
“Teslas that will be fully autonomous in Austin will be Model Ys,” Musk said, adding that Tesla’s paid autonomous rides will be coming to other cities later this year. “I predict there will be millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of next year [in the US].”
Musk did state that there will be some localized parameters for Tesla’s paid autonomous rides in different regions, like snowy areas. A good driver in California won’t be as good in the middle of a blizzard in winter, after all.
17:09 CT – Ashok Elluswamy, VP of Autopilot/AI Software at Tesla, noted that localized parameters still follow Tesla’s general approach to autonomous cars. He also highlighted that validation is still critical for robotaxi operations. In Tesla’s factories today alone, there could be many days without interventions, making it hard to figure out if FSD Unsupervised is working as intended.
Musk and Taneja joked that Tesla customers in China are really pushing FSD to its limits. People in China “putting [FSD] to the real test,” Musk stated.
Cybercab is also in sample validation now, and it’s still scheduled for production next year.
17:12 CT – Another question is asked, this time about when FSD Unsupervised will be released. “Before the end of this year” in the United States, Musk stated, adding that FSD Unsupervised must be meaningfully safer than human drivers before it is released.
17:15 CT – A question about Tesla’s new cheaper models is asked, and if the company is focused on simplified versions to enhance affordability, similar to the RWD Cybertruck.
Tesla VP of Vehicle Engineering Lars Moravy noted that these cheaper vehicles are still on track. The ramp is slower than we hoped but nothing is blocking the company from initial production.
17:21 CT – Another question is asked, this time about how FSD Unsupervised will compete against Waymo’s offering, especially regarding pricing, geofencing and regulatory flexibility.
“The issue with Waymo’s cars is that it cost waayy more money,” Musk joked. He also stated that Teslas cost a quarter or 20% what a Waymo cost, and the company’s vehicles are made in large volume.
Musk predicts 99% market share for robotaxi unless other companies can deploy the same amount of vehicles on the roads as Tesla. “I don’t see anyone being able to compete with Tesla at present,” he stated.
By the end of the year Musk is confident that the Model Y will drive itself all the way to the customer autonomously from the factory.
17:25 CT – A question about the unboxed method and how that is progressing was also asked. Tesla notes that the company’s unboxed process is progressing. “You’ll see it on tests and roads in the coming months.” Tesla is also focused on improving the method, like marrying sub-assembly areas together. “This is a revolutionary production system,” Musk noted.
When describing the Cybercab line, Musk stated that “it will ultimately achieve a cycle time of 5 seconds or less.” So far, Tesla is fastest at 33 seconds in Giga Shanghai.
17:29 CT – A question about tariffs and political biases was asked. The executives noted that Tesla is very localized already. Localization for Tesla is 85% in North America and 95% in China. “We’re ridiculously vertically integrated,” Musk stated.
Tesla makes lithium, cathode and cells. Only thing left is the anode. Musk also stated that Tesla’s in-house cells are the most competitive.
17:34 CT – A question was asked if Tesla has battery supply constraints. Tesla executives noted that while tariffs pose a challenge, Tesla is prepared to face it. Tesla is also not battery constrained for vehicles.
17:36 CT – Another question was asked, this one about “brand damage.” Executives highlighted that Q1 was all about the new Model Y changeover, and the company is still dominating its segments. “Tesla is not immune to the macro demand for cars,” executives noted.
17:39 CT – A question is asked about Optimus’ production line. Musk noted that Optimus is still in development, so most of its production will be at the end of the year. He also noted that most things for Optimus production is new, so it’s ramp has its challenges.
Musk noted that Optimus is affected by the Trump administration’s tariffs against China since the humanoid robot uses robots from the country. Elon Musk also reiterated the idea that Tesla will produce 5,000 Optimus robots this year.
17:40 CT – Analyst questions begin. Pierre Ferragu of New Street Research discussed the market share of Tesla’s cars. Musk noted that “the reality is in the future most people aren’t going to buy cars.” The CEO recalled that when the iPhone came out, veteran phone makers like Nokia opted to continue making legacy products. Consumers, however, wanted the most intelligent product available.
17:43 CT – Emmanuel Rosner from Wolfe asked about the FSD and its required number of human interventions. What still needs to happen for FSD to be Unsupervised? Tesla noted that it is aware of aware of the interventions happening in public FSD, and the robotaxi service rolling out in a couple of months will be focused on key areas. “We really working through a long tail of unusual interventions,” Tesla executives noted.
When asked if Tesla will need remote operators, Tesla noted that the robotaxi service in Austin will use use them, but only if absolutely needed.
17:46 CT – Edison from Deutsche Bank asked how Optimus’ supply chain will look like. Musk noted that Tesla is focused on localization, especially considering geopolitical uncertainty. The analyst followed up with the number of robotaxis in Austin in June. Musk noted that Day 1, there will probably be 10 cars to observe.
17:49 CT – A Cannaccord analyst asked about FSD pricing. Tesla executives noted that people who bought FSD typically believe that FSD is too cheap, especially its monthly subscription. Granted, FSD is insistent that drivers pay attention to the road, which affects the pricing. But when FSD is already fully unsupervised, that monthly fee will feel very affordable.
When asked about the Indian market, Tesla explained that India is a very hard market because of its taxes.
17:53 CT – Colin Langan from Wells Fargo asked about Tesla’s vision based approach and how the company plans to get around issues like sun glare and dust. Musk noted that Tesla uses Direct Photon Counting to see clearly through fog, dust, and sun glare. With this, Teslas can drive directly facing the sun or in extremely dark environments.
The analyst asked if the affordable cars will just be a cheaper Model Y. In response, Lars Moravy noted that Tesla is using its existing lines, limiting the design of the cheaper model. The new cars will depend on existing lines, so least their form factor will be familiar.
17:57 CT – Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley asked about the Trump tariffs. Musk highlighted that he is just one of many advisers, and he does not make decisions. “I am an advocate for predictive tariff structures,” Musk noted.
As a follow up, Jonas asked if Musk believes the US or China is ahead in the development of AI humanoids and drones. Musk laughed and noted that it’s obvious which one is ahead in drones. America sadly cannot manufacture its own drones, and China holds a notable amount of the supply chain. Musk highlighted that US should not depend so much on China to make drones.
He noted that Tesla and SpaceX will be at the top of companies’ rankings, but he is apprehensive that ranks 1 through 10 will all be Chinese companies.
18:02 CT – And that wraps up Tesla’s Q1 Company Update and earnings call! Tesla really answered a lot of questions in this call, making it one of the longest Q&A sessions to date.
With that, till the next time, everyone!
Tesla’s livestream of its Q1 2025 Company Update and earnings call can be viewed below.
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