Investor's Corner
Tesla bull Jim Cramer tells the hard truth about why Wall St is missing the TSLA picture
Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) third-quarter earnings report proved that Elon Musk’s electric car company has matured into a force of nature that is so resilient, even a literal pandemic couldn’t bring it down. As of Thursday’s close, Tesla stock is up over 400%, a testament to the company’s capability to prove its critics wrong at every turn. Yet even amidst these results, Tesla still has a good number of skeptics on Wall St, many of whom are still unable to wrap their heads around the company and its performance.
For Tesla bear-turned-bull Jim Cramer of CNBC’s Mad Money, the company’s current state is a matter of its products and Elon Musk. During the Q3 earnings call, Cramer noted that Musk was extremely restrained. There was no hyperbole, no eccentricity, no drama — Musk was just a CEO who was reporting on Tesla’s best quarter yet, and he was simply a leader who still believes that the best is yet to come. The Mad Money host further mentioned that Elon Musk almost sounded humble and gracious as he thanked his employees, suppliers, and investors for helping Tesla achieve its remarkable milestones.
With Tesla having a valuation that is far above some of its competitors combined, auto analysts and critics are having a very difficult time justifying the company’s market cap as an automaker today. Cramer argues that critics are missing the big picture, as Tesla has already transcended the auto industry. Just as explained by the company’s bulls, Tesla is more of a tech company now than it is an automaker. And when compared to other companies in the tech sector, Tesla’s $397 billion market cap makes sense. This is especially true considering that Tesla’s products sell themselves, and Elon Musk is a visionary whose brilliance lies in tangible innovation.
“At this point, Tesla has transcended the auto industry. It is a tech company. It’s figured out how to store clean energy and then use it to fuel cars and who knows what else. Most automakers have to spend more money advertising than Tesla spends on building new factories. They blanket the airwaves with ads that no one wants to see, not even the ones voiced by the great John Slattery. Tesla, on the other hand, doesn’t need to advertise.”
“They failed to understand the scale of the opportunity that Tesla held out to individual investors like you, including the younger ones, we call them the Robinhood kind, who’ve taken the market by storm. These analysts did not grasp the younger generation’s more optimistic ethos. To them, Musk is a rebel with a cause — the cause of observable excellence. Not social media mystique or cloud brilliance, but actual metal-bent-around brilliance,” Cramer said.
But even more importantly, the Mad Money host explained that for many retail investors today, Tesla is something far more than a simple venture to put money in. Over the years, and as it battled its way to the top, Tesla and its clean energy vehicles have essentially become symbols of hope and optimism. Tesla is a story of American ingenuity, and as it continues to reach new heights, it is becoming proof that even the everyman investor could make a lot of money if he or she supports a company with a revolutionary product and a CEO who is willing to put it all on the line.
“The analysts couldn’t understand that Tesla’s more than just a vehicle. It’s a vehicle of hope in a miasma of gloom. Musk even made it easier for individual investors to get in by splitting the stock. Now it’s not a cult stock like I once thought. That was wrong. It’s a story of American ingenuity, probably a lot like Henry Ford when he first burst on the scene with his universal car. Except with a much cleaner engine and without Henry Ford’s trademark anti-semitism.
“Here’s the bottom line. When it comes to Tesla, the doubters were wrong and the believers were right. Those believers are not the rich, cautious state preachers of index fund handcuffs. They’re the individual investors who are sick and tired of being told that they’re stupid, too stupid to manage their own money. Turns out they can make a lot of money when you buy stock at a great company with a visionary CEO and a revolutionary product. That shouldn’t take so many people by surprise, and I hope it doesn’t after this shimmering star that is Elon Musk’s Tesla,” Cramer declared.
Watch Jim Cramer’s recent Mad Money segment in the video below.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a price target boost from its biggest bear, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research, who raised his expected trading level to one that is 95 percent lower than its current trading level.
Johnson pushed his Tesla price target from $19.05 to $25.28 on Wednesday, while maintaining the ‘Sell’ rating that has been present on the stock for a long time. GLJ has largely been recognized as the biggest skeptic of Elon Musk’s company, being particularly critical of the automotive side of things.
Tesla has routinely been called out by Johnson for negative delivery growth, what he calls “weakening demand,” and price cuts that have occurred in past years, all pointing to them as desperate measures to sell its cars.
Johnson has also said that Tesla is extremely overvalued and is too reliant on regulatory credits for profitability. Other analysts on the bullish side recognize Tesla as a company that is bigger than just its automotive side.
Many believe it is a leader in autonomous driving, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, who believes Tesla will have a widely successful 2026, especially if it can come through on its targets and schedules for Robotaxi and Cybercab.
Justifying the price target this week, Johnson said that the revised valuation is based on “reality rather than narrative.” Tesla has been noted by other analysts and financial experts as a stock that trades on narrative, something Johnson obviously disagrees with.
Dan Nathan, a notorious skeptic of the stock, turned bullish late last year, recognizing the company’s shares trade on “technicals and sentiment.” He said, “From a trading perspective, it looks very interesting.”
Tesla bear turns bullish for two reasons as stock continues boost
Johnson has remained very consistent with this sentiment regarding Tesla and his beliefs regarding its true valuation, and has never shied away from putting his true thoughts out there.
Tesla shares closed at $431.40 today, about 95 percent above where Johnson’s new price target lies.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock received a price target update from Pierre Ferragu of Wall Street firm New Street Research, citing the company’s growing lead in self-driving and autonomy.
On Tuesday, Ferragu bumped his price target from $520 to $600, stating that the consensus from the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas was that Tesla’s lead in autonomy has been sustained, is growing, and sits at a multiple-year lead over its competitors.
CES 2026 validates Tesla’s FSD strategy, but there’s a big lag for rivals: analyst
“The signal from Vegas is loud and clear,” the analyst writes. “The industry isn’t catching up to Tesla; it is actively validating Tesla’s strategy…just with a 12-year lag.”
The note shows that the company’s prowess in vehicle autonomy is being solidified by lagging competitors that claim to have the best method. The only problem is that Tesla’s Vision-based approach, which it adopted back in 2022 with the Model 3 and Model Y initially, has been proven to be more effective than competitors’ approach, which utilizes other technology, such as LiDAR and sensors.
Currently, Tesla shares are sitting at around $433, as the company’s stock price closed at $432.96 on Tuesday afternoon.
Ferragu’s consensus on Tesla shares echoes that of other Wall Street analysts who are bullish on the company’s stock and position within the AI, autonomy, and robotics sector.
Dan Ives of Wedbush wrote in a note in mid-December that he anticipates Tesla having a massive 2026, and could reach a $3 trillion valuation this year, especially with the “AI chapter” taking hold of the narrative at the company.
Ives also said that the big step in the right direction for Tesla will be initiating production of the Cybercab, as well as expanding on the Robotaxi program through the next 12 months:
“…as full-scale volume production begins with the autonomous and robotics roadmap…The company has started to test the all-important Cybercab in Austin over the past few weeks, which is an incremental step towards launching in 2026 with important volume production of Cybercabs starting in April/May, which remains the golden goose in unlocking TSLA’s AI valuation.”
Tesla analyst breaks down delivery report: ‘A step in the right direction’
Tesla has transitioned from an automaker to a full-fledged AI company, and its Robotaxi and Cybercab programs, fueled by the Full Self-Driving suite, are leading the charge moving forward. In 2026, there are major goals the company has outlined. The first is removing Safety Drivers from vehicles in Austin, Texas, one of the areas where it operates a ride-hailing service within the U.S.
Ultimately, Tesla will aim to launch a Level 5 autonomy suite to the public in the coming years.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Q4 delivery numbers are better than they initially look: analyst
The Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Longtime Tesla analyst and Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner Gene Munster has shared his insights on Tesla’s Q4 2025 deliveries. As per the analyst, Tesla’s numbers are actually better than they first appear.
Munster shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Normalized December Deliveries
Munster noted that Tesla delivered 418k vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, slightly below Street expectations of 420k but above the whisper number of 415k. Tesla’s reported 16% year-over-year decline, compared to +7% in September, is largely distorted by the timing of the tax credit expiration, which pulled forward demand.
“Taking a step back, we believe September deliveries pulled forward approximately 55k units that would have otherwise occurred in December or March. For simplicity, we assume the entire pull-forward impacted the December quarter. Under this assumption, September growth would have been down ~5% absent the 55k pull-forward, a Deepwater estimate tied to the credit’s expiration.
“For December deliveries to have declined ~5% year over year would imply total deliveries of roughly 470k. Subtracting the 55k units pulled into September results in an implied December delivery figure of approximately 415k. The reported 418k suggests that, when normalizing for the tax credit timing, quarter-over-quarter growth has been consistently down ~5%. Importantly, this ~5% decline represents an improvement from the ~13% declines seen in both the March and June 2025 quarters.“
Tesla’s United States market share
Munster also estimated that Q4 as a whole might very well show a notable improvement in Tesla’s market share in the United States.
“Over the past couple of years, based on data from Cox Automotive, Tesla has been losing U.S. EV market share, declining to just under 50%. Based on data for October and November, Cox estimates that total U.S. EV sales were down approximately 35%, compared to Tesla’s just reported down 16% for the full quarter. For the first two months of the quarter, Cox reported Tesla market share of roughly a 65% share, up from under 50% in the September quarter.
“While this data excludes December, the quarter as a whole is likely to show a material improvement in Tesla’s U.S. EV market share.“
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