Investor's Corner
Tesla gets another ‘Outperform’ rating amid China’s upcoming tariff suspension
Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) has received yet another “Outperform” rating from Wall Street, this time coming from Wedbush, which recently launched coverage of the electric car maker. The new vote of confidence comes amidst news that China has agreed to enact a 3-month suspension for the additional 25% tariffs it placed on cars and parts entering the country from the United States.
Wedbush analysts led by Dan Ives expressed their optimism on Tesla in a recent note, echoing Elon Musk’s statements about the company having a compelling product roadmap for years to come. The analysts pointed out that Tesla would likely be a driving force for the automotive sector’s shift towards sustainable transportation, with the Model 3 leading the charge.
“The company has the most impressive product roadmap out of any technology/auto vendor around and will be a ‘game-changing’ driving force for the EV transformation over the next decade with Model 3 front and center,” the Wedbush analysts noted.
Ives further noted that Tesla has a “golden opportunity” to ramp the sales of the Model 3 in 2019, which would likely “translate into massive free cash flow and profitability” for the company. The Wedbush analysts placed a $440 price target on TSLA stock as well, representing a 16% upside from Thursday’s closing price.
As Tesla gains another vote of confidence from Wall Street, the company’s business in China seems to be getting a boost for the coming quarter as well. In a recent announcement, China’s State Council Customs Tariff Commission stated that it was suspending the extra 25% tariffs it placed on cars and parts being imported from the United States as a result of the US-China trade war. The import tariff suspension is set to last three months, taking effect on January 1, 2019.
In response to the Chinese government’s announcement, Tesla has adjusted the pricing of the Model S and Model X in the country. Tesla was able to adjust the price of its electric cars by as much as 105,000 yuan ($15,200) for the Model S 100D. The Model S75D’s price received a $6,000 adjustment, while the Model X 75D’s price was reduced by $10,000.
Update with English version & USD pricing table.
Tesla officially lowered the prices (Model S And X) in China🇨🇳: some models have cut prices by more than $15K USD, a drop of 11%Q1 2019 sales numbers (China) will be insane!!$TSLA #Tesla #China #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/luHQbyZNN3
— vincent (@vincent13031925) December 14, 2018
The upcoming suspension of the trade tariffs for American-made cars bodes well for Tesla. The additional duties have weighed down the company’s business in the region during the past few months, pushing Tesla to roll out a program last month that allowed it to “absorb” part of the 40% import tariff, making its electric cars more affordable.
Without the additional import tariffs, though, Tesla’s performance in China is quite impressive. Prior to the start of the US-China trade war, China’s Customs Tariff Commission under China’s cabinet announced that it would reduce car import duties from 20-25% to just 15%. Similar to the price adjustments rolled out today, Tesla promptly cut the prices of its vehicles in its stores across the country then. The response from the market was strong and immediate, resulting in a Shanghai Tesla store selling out its entire Model X 75D inventory in 24 hours.
As of writing, Tesla shares are trading -1.50% at $371.16 per share.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation
For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
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