Investor's Corner
Tesla Q4 Earnings expectations boost stock two days before call
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) spiked in early trading hours during Monday’s session based on expectations that the automaker could deliver its sixth-consecutive profitable quarter.
On January 2, Tesla released Delivery and Production figures for Q4 2020, indicating the company’s biggest quarter to date. With 180,570 deliveries and 179,757 cars produced, Tesla attained its 2020 production guidance but fell short of its delivery goal by 450 cars. This figure could be revised on Wednesday; the company indicated in its Delivery and Production report figures could vary by .5%.
Nevertheless, the strong figures have analysts and investors keen on Tesla delivering strong financial figures during the company’s Q4 2020 Earnings Call that will occur on Wednesday after market close. If the company reports positive figures, it will mark the sixth-straight quarter of profitability, and many are convinced it will happen based on the strong figures it announced for Q4 2020.
Monday morning’s session started Tesla stock at $846.64, but the automaker’s strong expectations had already made a considerable mark by 11 am EST. Tesla stock surged to over $900 at 10:02 am, reaching an all-time high of $900.39.
With the Earnings Call expectations solidified, Tesla investors are convinced CEO Elon Musk and others could reveal some relatively significant announcements. Some believe Tesla could finally announce the “Refresh” of its all-electric flagship sedan: the Model S. Teslarati released exclusive photographs of a Model S “Refresh” candidate spotted at Tesla’s Fremont Factory earlier this weekend, sporting some new exterior cosmetic features. Tesla has kept these developments under wraps, but there are some suspicions that the new vehicle could be announced during Wednesday’s call.
Additionally, Tesla has been releasing some new videos of its 4680 battery cell production lines and Model Y and Model 3 stamping processes, showing refined and rejuvenated manufacturing efforts. This is an offensive that Tesla has focused on for several years, especially as Musk and Tesla narrow in on a 1 million vehicle annual production rate. This goal is coming closer to reality through a series of manufacturing efficiencies and the introduction of new production plants in Europe and the United States.
Tesla’s China-based production facility, Giga Shanghai, has started producing and delivering the all-electric Model Y crossover. The car sold out quickly and deliveries are already backed up into Q2, Tesla’s website says. China’s strong thirst for Tesla EVs has played a positive role in the company’s reputation as the most-popular electric carmaker in the world, along with its increasing international presence.
Tesla stock surged over 700% in 2020 and is up another 16% so far in 2020. As the surge in stock price continues, Tesla focuses on increasing overall production, refining its self-driving infrastructure, and helping the world transition to sustainable transportation in a timely manner.
Tesla will report its Q4 2020 Earnings Call on Wednesday, January 27th at 3:30 pm PST, or 6:30 pm EST. At the time of writing, Tesla stock was trading at $862.04.
Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.
Investor's Corner
Tesla crushes Wall Street expectations, beats delivery estimates by over 15 percent
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) beat Wall Street expectations of 406,000 vehicles delivered in Q2 by reporting 480,126 deliveries for the three months ending in June.
Tesla reported it delivered 467,762 Model 3 and Model Y units, while 12,364 Model S, Model X, and Cybertrucks switched hands during the quarter. The Model S and Model X were officially sunset this past quarter and will no longer be part of the company’s Production & Delivery reports moving forward.
🚨 BREAKING: Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles in Q2, ANNIHILATING Wall Street expectations of 406,000. Production was reported at 451,758.
Deliveries:
Model 3/Y: 467,762
Other Models: 12,364Production:
Model 3/Y: 442,936
Other Models: 8,822 https://t.co/TTHwQAsKt8 pic.twitter.com/7qI4Zj6FE5— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) July 2, 2026
The quarter is a pleasant surprise and a good rebound from Q1, when Tesla slightly missed the Wall Street consensus of 365,645 cars by reporting 358,023 deliveries for the first three motnhs of the year.
Energy storage deployments also provided some strength in Tesla’s delivery report, hitting 13.5 GWh for Q2. This is a particular division of Tesla’s business that has been overwhelmingly robust over the past few years, truly being a strong point of the company’s overall model.
For the year, Tesla analysts still predict deliveries to trend in the 1.69 million unit region, a modest 3 to 5 percent increase from the 1.64 million cars the company delivered last year. Tesla will likely return to more sequential and noticeable year-over-year growth as the Cybercab project starts to ramp up considerably in the next few years.
Tesla has some other potential catalysts to spur vehicle deliveries, too. Not only is it expecting Cybercab to truly start making a change in the next few years, but other vehicles could be entering the company’s lineup.
Tesla sends production Cybercab with no steering wheel, pedals to on-road testing
The slightly longer Model Y L has been a highly speculated release candidate in the U.S. It has already done incredibly well in China, and U.S. buyers have been wanting slightly more interior space than the Model Y. Now that the Model X is gone, it is more needed than ever.
Q2 highlights a pretty stable automotive division within Tesla, and no true concerns arise from these figures, especially considering it managed to beat expectations convincingly.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’
Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.
In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.
In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:
“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”
This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.
The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.
The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building
Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.
The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.
This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.
Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.
“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”
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Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.
It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”
Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.
There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:
“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”
SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.
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