Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) pops amid local reports of Gigafactory 3 entering its production stage
Tesla shares (NASDAQ:TSLA) are up over 3% on Monday’s intraday, exhibiting some strength on what is a rather quiet day for news surrounding the company. TSLA stock’s movements come amid unconfirmed local reports from China pointing to the possibility of Gigafactory 3 starting production activities, or at least its preparations, for Model 3 production.
In a rather ironic turn, Monday was turning out to be a fairly quiet day for TSLA updates, save for a few tweets from CEO Elon Musk. Even TSLA stock’s page in platforms such as Yahoo! Finance showed tempered coverage amid the rise in the electric car maker’s shares. This resulted in some Tesla retail shareholders showing some surprise at the movement on TSLA stock on Monday, especially since the NASDAQ is -0.10% on the red as of writing.
What is particularly new information came primarily through sources from China. One of these is Wuwa Vision, a drone operator and filmmaker who has been following the progress of Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 since its site was acquired by the electric car maker last year. Since then, the Tesla enthusiast has provided regular updates on Gigafactory 3’s progress.
The most recent update from the drone operator featured an image of Gigafactory 3 with the caption “Today (October 14), Tesla Shanghai super factory (Gigafactory 3) officially entered into the production day.” Granted, the image of the electric car production facility did not show any Model 3 coming out of the general assembly building, though the update is in line with previous reports about the start of electric car production activities on the site.
Prior to the enthusiast’s update, reports were already abounding among local media outlets stating that Model 3 production would begin sometime in October. These were augmented by reports stating that the electric car maker will no longer be importing Model 3 Standard Range Plus vehicles from the United States starting October 13. It should be noted that Gigafactory 3 is intended to exclusively produce affordable variants of the Model 3 and the Model Y from China.
Apart from the drone operator’s brief teaser, Tesla owner-enthusiast Jay in Shanghai shared a number of images that were reportedly from Gigafactory 3’s interior. The images featured a black Model 3 with 18″ Aero Wheels seemingly coming out of a production line, as well as pictures of a meeting room and the exterior of the general assembly building. Granted, these images remain unconfirmed, as Tesla has been reportedly conducting trial Model 3 assembly runs in Gigafactory 3 for some weeks now. Fellow owner-enthusiast Vincent Yu also shared a similar update from a source in China.
With Gigafactory 3 seemingly activated, the start of Model 3 production in the Shanghai-based site is likely at hand. This is, of course, notably earlier than expected as even Elon Musk expected Gigafactory 3 to enter its trial production phase by the end of the year. It’s only been a couple of weeks into the fourth quarter of 2019. Considering the rise in Tesla shares on Monday, this might very well be the case.
As of writing, TSLA stock is trading at +3.79% at $257.29 per share.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
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