Investor's Corner
Tesla set for ‘pivotal’ moment that marks ‘new chapter’ in company’s history
Tesla Robotaxi Day is set to be the company’s “pivotal” moment that will launch a “new chapter” in the story of the world’s most valuable automaker.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives says Tesla’s upcoming event, which is now less than a week away, is one that will be pivotal and change the outlook for the company.
No longer will analysts look at just deliveries and production figures and an expanding lineup for bullish sentiments.
Now, there will be more focus on self-driving, something Tesla investors have long been waiting for the market to recognize as one of the company’s biggest strengths.
Ives says Wedbush is expecting “key updates around the company’s projections on Cybercab scaling, overall cost per mile, a Tesla ride-share app, and a Generation 1 demo on the premises of the breakthrough technology designed to revolutionize transportation.”
Tesla expected to unveil ‘game changing’ autonomous tech next week: Wedbush
If Tesla comes through on these things, it will make for an event that can widely be considered a success.
Although expectations are relatively tempered, and some are even expecting a more technical event, it is still likely that enough will be revealed that investors should be encouraged.
Ives said in his note to investors on Friday morning:
“We believe this is a pivotal time for Tesla as the company prepares to release its years of Robotaxi R&D shadowed behind the curtains while Musk & Co. lay out the company’s vision for the future. We remain confident in the Tesla story, which has proven successful many times over the years, and we look forward to this long-awaited event as the next evolution of transportation unfolds. There are clearly a number of hurdles and questions the industry/investors want to hear about, including insurance, cost of the vehicle, timing, regulatory approval timeline, and overall operations, among other issues.”
What value Tesla can bring shareholders is another looming question of the Robotaxi event. Wedbush says it is still under the firm belief that autonomy, AI, and Full Self-Driving (FSD) are Tesla’s true path to a $1 trillion value, and this is without any other portions of its business.
Factor in an energy business that has reported two quarters that are outliers compared to past ones, with Q2 seeing the biggest deployment in company history and Q3 being lower but still outpacing other quarters by a long time, and Tesla is looking truly strong.
Tesla bull makes bold claim, says three cars will be unveiled at Robotaxi event
The only true concern among investors could potentially be when they will see growth annually.
Tesla is on pace to match what it delivered in 2023, and although it was transparent that things will slow down as it focuses on the next-gen platform, people will be anticipating 2 million annual deliveries and subsequent growth starting in 2025 or 2026.
Wedbush maintained its ‘Outperform’ rating and a $300 price target.
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Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) surged over 7 percent on Wednesday, canceling out some of the losses it has felt this week.
It has been a less-than-ideal start for Tesla in 2025, as the company has wiped out all of its gains felt from the victorious election campaign of President Donald Trump. The stock is down 34 percent so far this year.
The losses have mostly been felt due to reports of decreased demand due to pushback against CEO Elon Musk and his support of President Trump, as well as investor concern over the CEO’s personal use of time between the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and Tesla itself.
In a note this week from Wedbush, analyst Dan Ives wrote:
“Musk needs to step up as Tesla CEO at this critical juncture. In a nutshell, the word ‘balance’ has been missing with Elon Musk and his ability to run Tesla as CEO….while instead focusing all of his energy and time driving his DOGE initiative within the Trump Administration. Since Trump’s White House 2nd term kicked off in January, we have seen Musk and Trump connected at the hip with Musk essentially living at the White House and Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach. There has been little to no sign of Musk at any Tesla factory or manufacturing facility the last two months and perception has become reality for Tesla shares. Trump getting elected President was a huge moment for Musk and Tesla in our view as this will create the fast track for an autonomous federal roadmap…however the DOGE efforts have now intertwined Tesla into this brewing political firestorm.”
Wednesday’s slight bump for Tesla shares is likely related to the support the company received from President Trump yesterday, who purchased a Model S sedan at the White House and pledged to pay for it with a check.
President Donald Trump buys a Tesla at the White House – Here’s which model he chose
The move was one that signaled a buying spree from high-profile Republicans, including Sean Hannity, among others, who announced their support for Musk and Tesla:
As promised yesterday, I Just ordered my new self driving Tesla! Over 1000HP, 0-60 in 2.0 seconds!
Details on how to win the Tesla of your Choice soon on https://t.co/9hkyEX1UVi! pic.twitter.com/PSCCtUsXK2
— Sean Hannity 🇺🇸 (@seanhannity) March 11, 2025
Tesla shares closed at $248.09 on Wednesday, up 7.59%.
Tesla bull ARK Invest loaded up on over $20 million worth of the automaker’s shares on Monday after the company saw its largest slide on the market since late 2020.
Shares dropped over 15 percent on Monday, mostly due to pushback on the stock as CEO Elon Musk heads the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). His involvement with the U.S. government directly has sent some investors into a predicament over Musk’s dedication to Tesla.
There are also concerns regarding Q1 deliveries, which will be a big indication of where the year could be headed for Tesla.
The Monday slide was the biggest since late 2020 when shares dropped over 21 percent.
However, the slide presents a massive buying opportunity for investors, especially those who operate ETFs, like ARK. Long term, ARK believes Tesla shares (NASDAQ: TSLA) will be exponentially more expensive, especially leaning on the thesis that Robotaxi and AI/Optimus will translate to major growth in yet another sector for the company.
ARK bolstered its position on $TSLA in its ARKK Innovation ETF with a purchase of 68,164 shares. Tesla is the largest holding in ARKK with over $531 million in value. Tesla makes up exactly 10 percent of the ARKK ETF.
It also bought another 11,154 shares in its ARKQ Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF.
It’s no secret Tesla shares have taken a substantial hit in 2025, especially as the company’s price on Wall Street exploded following President Trump’s successful election campaign last year.
So far in 2025, Tesla shares are down over 38 percent. They are up nearly 5 percent as of 2:30 p.m. on the East Coast. Even bullish analysts are hoping some focus returns to Tesla on Musk’s part.
Dan Ives of Wedbush said in a note last night following the broad sell off:
“This is a gut check moment for the Tesla bulls (including ourselves) after this massive sell-off in Tesla shares with fears mounting/accelerating. The bears own the Tesla narrative in the near-term as lackluster sales numbers from Europe, China, and the US in January/February along with Musk protests/brand worries have created many concerns.”
He continued:
“While the DOGE/Trump Musk iron clad partnership has created major brand worries for Tesla…..we estimate less than 5% of Tesla sales globally are at risk from these issues despite the global draconian narrative for Musk. Importantly, we expect Musk will better balance his time between DOGE and Tesla/SpaceX over the course of 2025 and some of these distraction issues will fade.”
A recent 13-F filing from legendary investor and billionaire Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates has revealed that the hedge fund has added over $62 million worth of Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) to its portfolio.
Elon Musk has praised the billionaire’s investment in a post on X.
Bridgewater’s TSLA stake:
- As per Bridgewater’s 13-F filing, it currently holds 153,589 shares of TSLA, which costs $62,025,382.
- The firm added the TSLA shares in the fourth quarter.
- Tesla shares gained momentum after its Q3 2024 earnings call, and it only gained more strength after the election of U.S. President Donald Trump.
- At the end of 2024, Tesla shares were up 62%, as noted in a MarketWatch report.
- Tesla stock is still up 88% over 12 months despite a steep drop over the past month.
Smart move
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 14, 2025
A vote of confidence:
- Bridgewater Associates is one of the largest hedge funds in the world, so the firm’s stake in TSLA could be interpreted as a vote of confidence in the electric vehicle maker.
- Elon Musk has praised the firm’s investment. In a post on X, Musk noted that Bridgewater’s investment was a “smart move.”
- Elon Musk has been quite consistent on his idea that Tesla could eventually become the world’s most valuable company. He emphasized this point during the Q4 2024 earnings call.
- “I see a path. I’m not saying it’s an easy path but I see a path of Tesla being the most valuable company in the world by far. Not even close. There is a path where Tesla is worth more than the next top five companies combined,” Musk said.
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