Investor's Corner
Tesla is getting unnecessarily weighed down by the SEC’s claims against Elon Musk
Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) dropped on Monday after the US Securities and Exchange Commission asked a judge to hold Elon Musk in contempt for reportedly violating a settlement that required him to get approval before releasing any social media posts or announcements that could be material to investors. Regardless of the judge’s decision, Elon Musk and the SEC’s run-ins with each other are adversely affecting investors and unnecessarily weighing down Tesla. This is something is best avoided, by the company and Elon Musk himself, in the future.
According to the SEC, Musk’s tweet on February 19, when he mentioned that Tesla will make “around 500K” vehicles in 2019, was a violation of his settlement with the agency last year. Musk later clarified his statement, explaining that he was talking about an annualized production rate of around 500k (roughly 10k cars per week) vehicles by 2019’s end, but that deliveries for the year are “still estimated to be about 400k.”
Meant to say annualized production rate at end of 2019 probably around 500k, ie 10k cars/week. Deliveries for year still estimated to be about 400k.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 20, 2019
The SEC claimed in papers filed in a Manhattan court that Elon Musk “once again published inaccurate and material information about Tesla to his over 24 million Twitter followers, including members of the press, and made this inaccurate information available to anyone with internet access.” The SEC’s announcement adversely affected the company’s stock, sending TSLA plummeting 4% on Monday’s after-hours following the announcement. It did not take long before some of the company’s staunchest critics began to predict that Musk will be incarcerated.
Despite the company’s critics calling for Musk to be sent behind bars, Peter Haveles, a partner at Pepper Hamilton in New York whose practice specializes in commercial and regulatory disputes, noted in a statement to The Verge that another fine will likely be the result of the SEC’s claim against the Tesla CEO.
“Mr. Musk will try to argue that it’s a one-time thing, and the issue will be, is that really the case? Will the SEC come forward with evidence from Tesla that they are struggling to get Mr. Musk to comply with the process? It’s unlikely that Musk will face being barred from serving as a director or officer of a publicly traded company for the tweet,” he said, later adding that Elon Musk’s tweet doesn’t rise to the level of criminal contempt; and thus, the CEO does not have to worry about jail time.
Nevertheless, it should be noted that while the SEC might be a bit aggressive with its request to have the CEO held in contempt of court due to his February 19 tweet, Musk could have avoided the entire issue altogether if he had just been more careful. And it’s not like this is the first time such a thing happened either, as it was his Twitter activities that landed him in hot water last year due to his now infamous “funding secured” announcement.
It will likely be difficult for the SEC to prove that Elon Musk’s tweets were a violation of his settlement’s terms. For one, Musk’s February 19 tweet was made while markets were closed. Thus, it will be very challenging to gauge the “materiality” of the announcement. Musk also mentioned the same figures weeks before during the Q4 2019 earnings call, when he estimated that Tesla could produce “maybe in the order of 350,000 to 500,000 Model 3s” this year. Musk mentioned this in a later tweet, stating that the SEC seemed to have forgotten to read the transcript of Tesla’s Q4 earnings call.
SEC forgot to read Tesla earnings transcript, which clearly states 350k to 500k. How embarrassing … 🤗
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 26, 2019
It is difficult to not see a certain bias emerging from the SEC against Musk’s Twitter activities, considering that the tweet in question did not really affect Tesla stock and the estimate was already public knowledge due to the fourth quarter earnings call. In a way, it almost seems like the SEC’s recent initiative against Musk is response of sorts against the CEO’s statements against the agency. Musk has mocked the agency on Twitter in the past, dubbing it as the “Shortseller Enrichment Commission,” and in a 60 Minutes segment, he flat-out admitted that he does not respect the SEC. Ultimately, the SEC’s claim would have to rely on the premise of Elon Musk posting his Tesla-related tweet without the message being vetted first, as agreed upon in last year’s settlement.
Tesla is at a point in its history where the company could grow into one of the most potent forces in the auto industry. With Model 3 production stabilized, Gigafactory 3 under construction, and vehicles like the Model Y set to be revealed, tweets like Musk’s February 19 announcement are things that the company can do without. If led by a more careful, more calculating Elon Musk, Tesla’s inevitable rise to power will most definitely happen sooner than expected.
As of writing, Tesla shares are trading -3.52 at $288.25 per share on Tuesday’s pre-market.
Disclosure: The opinions presented in this article are the author’s alone, and do not necessarily reflect the stand of Teslarati. I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Investor's Corner
Elon Musk drops a Thanksgiving hint about Starship’s biggest test yet
Elon Musk says Starship Flight 15 will try to catch the ship itself, a first.
Elon Musk says SpaceX’s next Starship flight will try something nobody has done before, by catching the ship itself. Speaking to roughly 2,000 people at the X Takeover event at Giga Texas on Saturday, Musk said Flight 15 is about four to six weeks away and “probably launches a little bit before Thanksgiving, is my guess.”
That is a slip from earlier reporting, which had pointed to a launch as early as October 19. Musk explained why the date keeps moving. “We’re making a bunch of improvements to the rocket between every flight,” he said, adding that there are often hundreds, sometimes thousands, of small changes. This time the list is short, “but some of them take a fair bit of work and we’ve got to go inside the tank to make some of these changes.”
“We’re going to try to catch the ship, which is a super big deal,” Musk said. “If we do so, that’ll be the first time that there’s been full recovery of an orbital class rocket.” SpaceX has already caught the Super Heavy booster with the tower’s mechanical arms, and has talked about catching the ship since late 2025, but the upper stage has never been caught.
Musk also laid out what comes after. “The next big milestone would be to refly both the booster and the ship,” he said, describing a Flight 16 where “all parts of an orbital rocket are reflown.”
The reason SpaceX wants this comes down to cost and cadence. Every Starship ship so far has ended its flight in the ocean, and SpaceX expects most of those water landings to end in fireballs. A ship that returns to Starbase intact can be inspected and flown again. SpaceX’s IPO filing, says Starship V3 is designed to deliver 100 metric tons to orbit in a fully reusable configuration, that SpaceX aims to cut the cost to reach orbit by 99% or more versus the historical average, and that tower catches should allow “multiple launches per day.”
The payoff goes beyond cheaper launches. The next generation Starlink V3 satellites are too large for Falcon 9 and can only fly on Starship, which can carry up to 60 per flight. Flight 14 on September 28 deployed the first 26 of them after Starship reached orbit despite an early engine shutdown, as Teslarati reported. Musk blamed engine computer software, and said the heat shield “was extremely robust,” which he claimed in August had solved Starship’s biggest challenge.
NASA’s Moon plans depend on the same capability. NASA’s inspector general has described a lander mission that needs a propellant depot in low Earth orbit and more than 10 tanker flights, with SpaceX targeting one tanker launch every six days. That schedule only works if ships and boosters come back fast and fly again. Also, ship to ship propellant transfer has not been attempted yet.
One interesting hurdle yet to be explored is bringing the ship back to the launch site, with reentry over land, which will undoubtedly come with a lot of aviation safety reviews.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX reveals how its 1 Million AI satellite network will work and prevent space collisions
SpaceX reveals plans for one million Starmind AI satellites and calls out operators hiding maneuvers.
SpaceX has put the largest satellite count it has ever published into writing, and it says that plan only works if every other operator in orbit starts sharing what it knows.
In a new Space Safety page highlighted Tuesday morning by Sawyer Merritt on X, SpaceX said it “plans to operate up to 100,000 Starlink satellites and up to 1 million Starmind AI satellites to meet the growing demand for broadband and supercompute.” Starlink has a little over 11,000 satellites in orbit today, so the target alone implies roughly a ninefold expansion of the broadband network.
Starmind is SpaceX’s orbital AI compute constellation. Elon Musk confirmed the Starmind name in June after an xAI trademark filing surfaced, and in August SpaceX said it was working with Nvidia on the compute payload. The FCC accepted the filing for up to one million satellites back in February.
FCC accepts SpaceX filing for 1 million orbital data center plan
SpaceX also released a new render of what a full Starmind constellation could look like. Alongside it, SpaceX VP Michael Nicolls explained why the satellites will not operate on their own. “We need to operate clusters of satellites in tight formation to get enough coherent compute to run AI models efficiently,” Nicolls said. “A cluster will be 10-ish satellites connected with 10 terabits or so of bandwidth between them, and interconnected to the broader constellation.”
That is the most specific detail SpaceX has given on how Starmind will be built. Instead of a million independent servers, the network would work as tightly packed groups of about 10 satellites acting as one compute unit, with Starlink’s laser links carrying results back to Earth.
There is a bright and exciting future for humanity ahead – and space is fundamental to that future.
To achieve this, space safety must be done right. We encourage every operator to not only share ephemeris data proactively the same way Starlink already does, but to also adopt the high standards of space safety that SpaceX and Starlink use every day → https://t.co/QizAkQZvEm
— Starlink (@Starlink) October 6, 2026
Packing satellites that close together, at that scale, makes collision avoidance the central problem, and most of the Space Safety page is aimed at other operators. SpaceX said Starlink encountered collision risks with about 650 unique maneuvering third party satellites in 2026, and only about half of them shared data. Over six months, Starlink recorded roughly 164,000 more collision risks where the closest approach came within four hours of an unannounced maneuver.
Some operators keep maneuver plans private over proprietary concerns, while others cannot get government permission to share them. SpaceX called those policies “counterproductive,” saying they “largely only serve to create preventable collision risk between satellites.” Starlink is also offering a free ephemeris sharing and screening platform that returns risk results within a minute, backed by its Stargaze network of 30,000 optical sensors.
The push comes as the Starmind application draws opposition from astronomers and environmental groups. In a September filing with the FCC, SpaceX said each Starmind satellite could weigh up to 4,000 kg, nearly seven times the mass of a Starlink V2 Mini. Musk has brushed off crowding concerns before, telling viewers in June that “space is enormous” and that SpaceX already knows how to run very large constellations safely.
SpaceX’s Starmind page says its Gigasat factory in Bastrop, Texas, is designed to produce AI satellites at scale, with deployment of thousands of units starting as soon as late 2027.
Investor's Corner
Tesla deliveries best Wall Street guesses alongside second-best energy quarter
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) reported strong delivery figures that beat Wall Street guesses, and they were revealed alongside the company’s second-best quarter in terms of energy deployments ever.
Tesla announced this morning that it delivered 486,532 cars in Q3, while producing 464,391, exceeding analyst consensus, which sat around 462,000 units.
Meanwhile, Tesla reported 13.7 GWh of energy storage deployed for the quarter. That’s the second-best quarter Tesla has ever reported on that side of things.
🚨 Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3, beating expectations at 464,391.
Big Q from the Tesla team, also 13.7 GWh of energy was deployed. pic.twitter.com/olioLWgG7a
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) October 2, 2026
Vehicle Deliveries
Deliveries were strong, and it was another quarter when Tesla had the opportunity to outshine the Wall Street pundits who are quick to criticize and slow to give credit. Tesla saw a slight decrease in deliveries compared to Q3 2025, but Tesla still had the $7,500 EV Tax Credit to use to help incentivize consumers to pick an EV.
A small decrease of 2.1 percent is pretty telling because it shows Tesla does not need massive federal credits to convince consumers to purchase its vehicles.
It was also the company’s third-best performance all-time in terms of deliveries, trailing that of Q3 2025 with 497,099 deliveries and Q4 2024, when the company handed over 495,570 cars.
We reported several days ago that Tesla Showrooms across the United States were completely bare of inventory or unclaimed units. Many locations also removed Demo Drive units, which had been bought by customers looking to take delivery sooner.
Tesla showrooms picked clean ahead of Q3 end as demand looks strong
Energy Generation
Tesla’s Energy Generation performance in Q3 was also very strong, as the company deployed 13.7 GWh of energy storage over the past three months. The only quarter when Tesla reported stronger energy deployment figures was Q4 2025, when 14.2 GWh of energy storage was deployed.
Tesla’s Q3 performance in energy generation has continued to grow each quarter, with the company increasing its deployments by ten-fold since Q3 2021, when just 1.3 GWh was deployed.
It is also nearly double what it was in Q3 2024, when the company reported 6.9 GWh. This is one of Tesla’s quickest-growing divisions, and it flies under the radar with fans and analysts, as many are focused on self-driving or the vehicles themselves.
Tesla Stock
Shares rose 5.07 percent to $372.06 at just after 10 a.m. on the East Coast. This is a rarity for Tesla after a strong delivery report, as positive news usually brings the stock down. Many quarters with extremely robust delivery reports have not been as kind to the Teslanaires of the world.