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Tesla shares fall ahead of earnings results, all eyes on Model 3

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Tesla [Nasdaq: TSLA] shares fell 3% in Wednesday morning trading, shedding nearly all of its gains from the day prior when Panasonic’s CEO said that battery production at the Tesla-Panasonic Gigafactory plant will soon be automated.

“This process (for battery packs) will be soon automated, and then the number of vehicles to be produced will rise sharply,” said Panasonic’s chief  Kazuhiro Tsuga.

As Tesla prepares to announced its third-quarter results after today’s closing bell, all eyes are on the company’s Model 3 demand and production numbers. CEO Elon Musk is expected to address questions pertaining to Model 3’s “manufacturing bottleneck” in a Q&A session with analysts beginning at 2:30 p.m. Pacific.

Despite missing last month’s Model 3 guidance by a significant margin, having produced only 260 units from an expected 1,500 units in September, and public concerns over Tesla’s financial health, Wall Street has largely remained hopeful that the Silicon Valley electric car maker will become a game-changer in the automotive industry. Tesla shares have gained nearly 50% in this year alone, more than three times that of the S&P 500 index’s 15% growth.

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Teslarati sat down with Cheddar to talk about Tesla’s upcoming earnings report.

Analysts polled by FactSet are predicting that Tesla will report a third-quarter adjusted loss of $2.31 a share in the quarter, versus an adjusted earnings of $0.71 a share in the third-quarter of 2016. Today’s expected earnings result would be Tesla’s fourth consecutive quarterly loss. FactSet and Estimize pegs revenue for Tesla at $2.95 billion, which would be down from $2.30 billion in the same quarter last year.

However, any signs that Model 3 demand remains strong and volume production is on track could send the stock upwards. Investors are likely to overlook Tesla’s production shortfalls in the near term if demand for its line of electric cars and energy products is there. “That’s going to be the key factor,” said Argus Research’s Bill Selesky, according to Marketwatch. “Most people realize the production ramp will be difficult to get to.”


Investors will also be looking to glean upbeat news from Tesla’s results pertaining to a factory in China. Recent reports pointed to an agreement reached between the California-based company and the Shanghai municipal government for a Tesla China factory to be built within Shanghai’s free-trade zone. Having a manufacturing presence in China will allow Tesla to significantly reduce its production costs and streamline its Asia supply chain, while also strengthening the company’s relationship with the Chinese government.

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In addition to Wall Street’s focus on demand and production numbers, investors will also weigh any off-the-cuff statement by Musk that pertains to Tesla’s semi-truck initiative. The company has delayed the official unveiling of the Tesla Semi twice as it worked to address Model 3 production bottlenecks and aid Puerto Rico in power restoration. The Tesla Semi is expected to be unveiled at the company’s Design Center in Hawthorne, California on Thursday, November 16.

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Gene has been obsessed with cars since before he could legally sit in the front seat. Writer, researcher, unofficial CS support, accountant, native suit guy when needed, and overall stick poker. He approaches every story the way he approaches a road trip: with too much enthusiasm, not enough planning, and a surprisingly good outcome. gene@teslarati.com

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SpaceX Starship Flight 13 aborted at Zero and Musk just told us what broke

Four Raptor engines failed to ignite at T-zero, forcing SpaceX to scrub Starship Flight 13 Thursday.

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SpaceX scrubbed the Starship Flight 13 launch attempt Thursday evening at the last possible moment, after four of the Super Heavy booster’s 33 Raptor 3 engines failed to ignite during the startup sequence. The 90-minute window had opened at 6:45 p.m. EDT from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas, and the countdown had proceeded without issue all day, with more than 11.5 million pounds of liquid methane and liquid oxygen being fully loaded into the rocket before the automated abort triggered. SpaceX’s launch directors posted on X, “Standing down from today’s flight test attempt,” and shut down the livestream shortly after.

Musk confirmed the root cause within hours. “Some of the engines didn’t start, triggering an automatic launch abort,” he wrote on X. “To be confident of a good flight, 2 Raptors will be removed and replaced. Most probable launch timing is early next week.” SpaceX engineers began draining propellant tanks immediately and Booster 20 was rolled back to its hangar for inspection.

SpaceX comes with a slew of changes for Starship Flight 13

 

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The timing adds a layer of significance that did not exist during any of the previous 12 Starship flights. This is the first time SpaceX has attempted to launch Starship since the company made its stock market debut in June, listing under ticker SPCX at $135 per share. Public investors are now watching every Starship outcome in real time, and a last-second abort carries more visibility than it would have six months ago.

Flight 13 was designed to be one of the most consequential tests in the program’s history. It was set to carry 20 Starlink V3 satellites, the first operational payload Starship has ever attempted to deploy. Six of those satellites carried external cameras to photograph Starship’s heat shield from the outside during flight, which would act as a self-inspection approach SpaceX has never attempted before. The mission also needed to complete a Raptor engine relight in space, a step SpaceX skipped on Flight 12 in May after losing an engine during ascent. That Flight 12 booster also flipped 90 degrees off course during its boostback burn when five engines failed to reignite.

SpaceX has not announced an official next launch date. Musk’s “early next week” window points to July 21 or 22 at the earliest, pending the engine swap and a return to the pad.

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Lucid CEO dispels any rumors of bankruptcy: ‘So far from the facts’

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Credit: Lucid

Lucid CEO Silvio Napoli responded to rumors of an imminent bankruptcy that was reportedly being mulled after a report stated the automaker was working with the firm AlixPartners to iron out its next steps.

The company felt a massive loss on Wall Street yesterday, as the report essentially pushed the stock down as much as 55 percent on Tuesday.

The report, published initially by Eletric-Vehicles.com, claimed Lucid was essentially in dire straits and was told by AlixPartners, a commonly used restructuring advisor, to either take shares private or file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

Lucid denies rumors of bankruptcy after over 40% stock drop

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Lucid’s head of Communications, Nick Twork, immediately challenged the report and stated the company “has sufficient liquidity to carry its operations well into next year.”

Now, the company’s CEO is chiming in as well, stating that the report is “so far from the facts that they require a direct response.”

Napoli said:

“Lucid is not considering bankruptcy or a transaction to take the company private. Those reports are false. The Board did not explore either scenario. Period.

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As disclosed in our most recent quarterly filing, Lucid has sufficient liquidity to fund its operations well into next year.

We work with outside advisors to improve operational performance and execution. They are not advising Lucid on a take-private transaction or bankruptcy, and any suggestion that they have recommended either course of action to management or the Board is false.

My priority is clear: turn this company around. That is where the leadership team and I are focused.

I look forward to providing a full update during our quarterly earnings call on August 4th.”

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It seems pretty clear that Lucid is confident things will be okay, and, to be honest, they should not have much to worry about, especially considering the company has been backed by the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) for years. It has solid financial backing, and its sales, while weak, are pretty much right on par with a company of this age.

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Lucid also sent a Cease & Desist letter to the publication for their report.

Lucid shares have rebounded nicely and are up nearly 21 percent at the time of publication. As soon as the company dispelled the rumors of bankruptcy yesterday, the stock began to climb back toward more reasonable levels.

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Investor's Corner

Lucid denies rumors of bankruptcy after over 40% stock drop

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Credit: Lucid

Electric vehicle maker Lucid Group has denied rumors of an imminent bankruptcy after a report from this morning sent the stock on a dramatic drop on Wall Street, seeing losses of more than 40 percent during trading hours.

Lucid’s Director of Communications, Nick Twork, responded to the report from Eletric-Vehicles.com, which stated the company’s restructuring advisor, AlixPartners, was asked to review two decisions: taking Lucid shares private or filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

The report also claims AlixPartners told the Lucid board to “concentrate on Gravity production while improving its quality, and to temporarily hold back the Lucid Air, the sedan that has defined the company since its launch.”

Twork said:

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Shares rebounded after the response to the report, halving its losses as the trading day neared 3 p.m. Eastern.

Lucid has struggled to get its sales off the ground and into more respectable numbers, but the company is in its early years, when things are hard to begin with. It is also backed by several notable investors, including the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF), which has nearly limitless money and likely would not ditch an investment of this size so soon.

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Lucid shares were down just 14 percent at the time of publication, a far cry from the 55 percent its losses topped out at during the day.

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