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Tesla (TSLA) stocks hold gains after slamming shorts with $1.7 billion loss

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Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) held to gains Friday, following a 16% surge on Thursday after the company posted a better-than-expected financial report and a successful earnings call with CEO Elon Musk. In its wake, short-sellers betting against the electric car maker were slammed with $1.7 billion in paper losses in a single day.

Financial analytics firm S3 Partners stated that Thursday’s $1.7 billion loss had pushed the aggregate year-to-date performance of Tesla short-sellers into the red. Prior to the release of Tesla’s Q2 financial report, short-sellers were up $276 million for the year. After the company’s stock soared 16% on Thursday, short-sellers now have losses of $1.4 billion in 2018 so far. Nevertheless, in a statement to Reuters, head of research at S3 Partners Ihor Dusaniwsky, stated that Thursday’s $1.7 billion loss had not incited a lot of short-sellers to cover their positions yet.

“We are not seeing a large amount of buy to covers yet. With such a large price move on the open, most short-sellers that are looking to cover are waiting for a retracement before placing buy-to-cover orders,” Dusaniwsky said.

Tesla remains as one of the most shorted stocks in the market, attracting high-profile short-sellers like Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates, who has openly stated that he believes Tesla stock is worth $0. Billionaire hedge fund owner David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital fund has also taken a similar stance against the electric carmaker. Despite this, data gathered by S3 Partners reveal that short-sellers have lost about $4.70 billion on a net basis since the beginning of 2016, making Tesla the 4th-worst performing US short bet.

While Tesla stock has exhibited its usual volatility over the past few months, some short-sellers have started feeling the pressure as the electric car maker continues to make progress in its efforts to grow and become profitable. During the second quarter, Tesla short-seller David Einhorn revealed in a recent note to clients that Greenlight Capital has incurred losses of 5.4%, bringing the fund’s total losses from January to June to 18.3%. According to Einhorn’s note, his firm stance against Tesla was a significant factor in Greenlight’s heavy losses, particularly during Q2 when TSLA shares rose 29%.

Einhorn, however, maintained in his note that Greenlight Capital would continue to take a short stance against Tesla. Einhorn noted that he doubts the Model 3 could be “produced profitably anytime soon, if ever,” even if “right now, the market is telling us we are wrong, wrong, wrong about nearly everything.”

Tesla’s rally on Thursday came as the electric car maker beat Wall Street’s revenue estimates by posting $4 billion in revenue. These results were augmented by a successful earnings call that saw the company reiterate its stance on profitability in the coming quarters. During the call, Tesla’s executives, led by a more restrained Elon Musk, discussed the company’s plans for the near future, including its intent to forego a capital raise to fund Gigafactory 3 in China. Other updates, such as the Model 3’s strong demand, were also discussed.

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Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Elon Musk

Tesla AI boss reveals how big Optimus is going to get

Tesla’s Optimus chief corrected himself on X, confirming a staggering 10 million robot production target.

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Tesla Optimus Gen 3 [Credit: Tesla]

Tesla’s Optimus program has a new number attached to it, after Ashok Elluswamy, the executive who has run the humanoid robot program since June 2025, posted a three word correction on X Thursday, “Correction, 10 million robots.”

The line clarifies the long term annual capacity Tesla is building toward its planned second Optimus production line at Gigafactory Texas, a figure Musk has cited repeatedly since last year’s shareholder meeting.

The scale is worth noting, because ten million robots a year would mean Tesla building more units annually than most countries sell in new cars. Tesla has framed this as a second line, not the first. The buildout is happening in two phases: a roughly one million unit per year line inside Tesla’s Fremont factory, installed on the floor space vacated when Model S and Model X production ended earlier this year, and a much larger dedicated facility under construction at Giga Texas that broke ground on its first steel structure in May. That Texas facility is the one Elluswamy’s correction refers to, and is expected to reach volume production sometime in 2027.

Tesla Optimus project fires up as Musk sees production line progress

Elluswamy took over Optimus from Milan Kovac last summer and has spent the months since talking up the program’s trajectory. Elon Musk has also floated the ten million figure at Tesla’s 2025 shareholder meeting.

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Ending Model S and Model X production to make room for the first Optimus line was one of the more consequential manufacturing decisions in the company’s recent history, retiring two flagship vehicles in favor of a robot that has yet to enter mass production. Musk has previously estimated per unit production costs at $20,000 to $25,000 once Tesla reaches a million units a year, though he hasn’t said what that cost looks like at ten times the volume.

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Elon Musk

SpaceX scores another massive Pentagon deal to support military satellites

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SpaceX just picked up another $1.6 billion from the Pentagon, with the U.S. Space Force awarding two task orders worth $1.6 billion to fly 18 Falcon 9 missions from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California through the end of 2027. The launches will carry satellites for the Space Based Sensing and Targeting portfolio, a set of programs meant to help the military detect and track airborne threats and relay that information across forces in near real time.

The award falls under National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 1, the Space Force’s faster, commercial style procurement track for missions that do not require the military’s most demanding certification process. It is also the largest single order publicly disclosed under that program so far, and the first task order issued since the Space Force nearly tripled Lane 1’s contract ceiling from $5.6 billion to $17 billion on July 17.

SpaceX to become America’s Military data backbone for missiles, drones, and warfighters

Eric Zarybnisky, the Space Force’s acting portfolio acquisition executive for space access, said the entire process, from identifying the requirement to signing the contract, took about two months, including a month set aside for companies to prepare proposals.

SpaceX is not just launching these satellites. It already holds the contracts to build two of the programs within the same portfolio, $4.16 billion for the Space Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator system and $2.29 billion for the Space Data Network Backbone, which Teslarati covered in May. That means SpaceX is now responsible for both building key pieces of the military’s next generation sensing network and getting them into orbit.

With this latest award, SpaceX’s Pentagon contract total for 2026 alone tops $8 billion, adding to a defense portfolio that already includes the Golden Dome missile defense software group SpaceX joined in April and a string of GPS launches it inherited after ULA’s Vulcan rocket ran into a booster anomaly, which we detailed in March.

Lane 1’s vendor pool technically includes seven companies: SpaceX, ULA, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, Impulse Space, and Relativity Space. In practice, SpaceX remains the only provider with the combination of launch cadence, flight proven Falcon 9 hardware, and West Coast infrastructure to support a campaign requiring roughly one Vandenberg launch a month for the next year and a half.

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Some lawmakers have flagged the growing concentration of national security launches with one company as a risk worth watching. For now, the Space Force keeps backing SpaceX, with it being the company that shows up ready to launch.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

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The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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