News
SpaceX’s next Falcon 9 Block 5 rocket launch and landing aligns for mid-September
SpaceX’s next rocket launch, a new Falcon 9 Block 5 vehicle carrying Telesat’s Telstar 18V geostationary communications satellite has slipped from an original launch target of August 22nd to no earlier than (NET) September 9th, pointing towards difficulties somewhere within the space launch apparatus.
While a two and a half week delay may feel immense for a SpaceX mission after an exceptionally productive 15 successful launches in 2018 (and a third of the year still to come), caution is key when dealing with rockets, and the slip should not significantly impact any near-term SpaceX launches thanks to an apparent dearth of available payloads between September and November.
Eastern Range updates with this moving a few weeks to *NET September 9*. We don't have a reason. https://t.co/jUSH1KnPfG
— NSF – NASASpaceflight.com (@NASASpaceflight) August 22, 2018
The cause of the ~ 18-day delay is currently unknown but presumably involves some combination of technical or systematic difficulties with the rocket (Falcon 9 booster B1049, an upper stage, and a payload fairing), the launch pad, the payload (a complex, several ton communications satellite), or the range (weather tracking, radar, guarding keep-out zones).
Thanks to the sheer complexity of large, orbital rockets and the infrastructure needed to support and launch them, as well as the fact that SpaceX debuted the current Block 5 upgrade of Falcon 9 barely three months ago, it’s actually more surprising than anything that SpaceX launches haven’t had even a little bit more drama lately. In fact, the rocket version’s actual inaugural launch in May 2018 happened to feature the only launch scrub/abort of a Block 5 rocket thus far, now with three new booster missions and one booster reuse under its belt.
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- Falcon 9 B1046 seen landing on OCISLY for the first time, May 2018. (SpaceX)
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- B1046 returned to Port Canaveral shortly after its May 4 debut, and is now being carefully analyzed as pathfinder hardware. (Tom Cross)
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- B1046 lands on drone ship Of Course I Still Love You for the second time in three months, August 2018. (SpaceX)
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A sample size of four may not exactly be a boon for statistical confidence, but Block 5’s thus far routine debut and launch track record suggest that there’s a strong chance Telstar 18V’s launch delay is unrelated to its Falcon 9 booster. Fairing availability could potentially be a problem thanks to manufacturing teething pains for the newest “Fairing 2.0” upgrade, a strong contender given that a month will now separate Telstar 18V from SpaceX’s previous Florida launch (Telkom 4, August 7th), compared to just two weeks before the delay.
After launching Telstar 18V above the vast majority of Earth’s atmosphere, Falcon 9 B1049 will flip around while hypersonic and arc towards a landing aboard SpaceX’s Florida-based autonomous spaceport drone ship Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY), stationed roughly 650 km east of its LC-40 launch pad. If the SpaceX-launched Telstar 19V satellite is representative of its 18V sister satellite, Telstar 18V is an extremely heavy satellite heading to a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit, meaning that Falcon 9’s reentry and landing are likely to be relatively hot.
#Telstar18V Launch Hazard Areas. Planned droneship landing position 655km downrange. https://t.co/5vo6yRthAN pic.twitter.com/WHLmqXN8wC
— Raul (@Raul74Cz) August 22, 2018
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Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.
SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.
The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.
Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean
Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.
We’re sending a ship out to recover Starship https://t.co/fUqUZTITO9
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 28, 2026
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This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.
Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims
Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.
The ship landing was precise, meaning that it would have been caught by the tower arms https://t.co/6nbNrRfX9P
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.
It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.
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Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.
The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.
Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”
People on Mars in roughly 5 to 7 years.
Mars lander a few years sooner.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 29, 2026
The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”
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Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.
Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.
In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.
The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.
Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.
SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.
It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.
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The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.
Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.
Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch
Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars
