SpaceX’s latest launch webcast offered exceptionally clear views of the company’s 88th successful Falcon booster landing minutes after the rocket helped the US military cross a major reusability milestone.
In November 2020, Falcon 9 booster B1062 lifted off for the first time, successfully supporting the launch of the US military’s fourth upgraded GPS III satellite (SV04). As usual, the rocket stuck the landing, opening the door for what could be the last major customer-side reuse milestone for SpaceX. A few months prior, the US military Space and Missile Systems Center (SMC) had announced contract modifications that would permit “national security” payloads to fly on flight-proven boosters for the first time ever.
On June 17th, outfitted with a new recoverable payload fairing and expendable second stage, Falcon 9 B1062 lifted off on its second mission for the US military and sent another GPS III satellite (SV05) on its way towards orbit without issue. Eight and a half minutes after launch, the booster safely landed on drone ship Just Read The Instructions (JRTI), potentially setting the stage for SpaceX to reuse the same booster again on a future ‘national security’ launch.
To some extent, the US military’s certification of flight-proven Falcon boosters for high-value “national security” launches effectively means that SpaceX’s reusability efforts have now been officially validated by every major American customer and institution. Logically beginning with satellites, SpaceX’s first booster reuse ever launched a commercial geostationary communications satellite for SES in March 2017. Three more commercial satellite operators joined the flight-proven fray later that same year, as did NASA with an uncrewed Cargo Dragon space station resupply mission.
Coming as a bit of a surprise, the next major validation of SpaceX reusability came when NASA gave the company permission to launch astronauts with flight-proven Falcon boosters and Dragon capsules almost immediately after Demo-2, SpaceX’s inaugural human spaceflight. Ten months after NASA opened the doors, SpaceX successfully launched four astronauts – riding in a flight-proven Crew Dragon capsule – to the International Space Station (ISS) on a flight-proven Falcon 9 booster.
Given just how aggressively NASA has prioritized safety in the Commercial Crew Program, the space agency’s willingness to simultaneously launch astronauts – for the first time ever – on a flight-proven booster and spacecraft was the most resounding validation of the technology and system SpaceX could have ever received. That it came before the US Air/Space Force certified flight-proven SpaceX rockets to launch satellites simply served to emphasize how the US military is led more by dogma than data – not particularly surprising after decades and trillions of dollars of procurement boondoggles.
Regardless, more than four years, 91 consecutively successful launches, and 66 successful booster reuses after Falcon 9’s first operational reuse, the US military has finally cleared SpaceX to launch ‘national security’ satellites on flight-proven boosters. Wholly unsurprisingly, Falcon 9 aced its first operational military reuse, stuck the landing, and successfully delivered a fourth GPS III satellite to orbit. SpaceX has one more GPS III contract on the books and could potentially launch Falcon 9 B1062 a third time in support of that mission sometime next year. In the meantime, several more Lockheed Martin-built GPS III satellites are approaching completion, suggesting that the US military will award several more GPS III launch contracts in the near future.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
