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Morgan Stanley explains why Tesla’s first ‘Terafactory’ will be a perfect fit for Texas
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas believes that Tesla’s newest electric vehicle production facility will land in Texas. In an investor’s note on Monday, the analyst gave six key reasons for why he believes Texas will be Tesla’s newest home.
The upcoming facility is expected to be dedicated for the production of the Cybertruck, which will require a different manufacturing system compared to Tesla’s previous cars. The factory will be massive, and in the first quarter earnings call, Musk even mentioned that the Gigafactories will probably be referred to as “Terafactories” soon.
Following are Morgan Stanley’s reasons why Texas may very well be the site of the Cybertruck’s “Terafactory.”
Tesla’s need to join other manufacturers in states
Jonas recognizes that Tesla is the only Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) to have its main production facility in California. While Michigan has long been the home of the American automotive market, Tesla has called California home since its early days. Tesla is as much of a technology company as it is a carmaker, and technology lives in Silicon Valley.
However, Jonas sees unique disadvantages in having the main production facility located in CA. Concerning location and logistics, vehicle delivery times are extended for those who do not live in the western portion of the United States. Tesla owners who live on the East Coast are subjected to longer wait times for their vehicles due to transit and logistics delays. This is one of the main reasons a production facility that is centrally located in the country would be advantageous, Jonas says.
Texas has a hearty automotive manufacturing employment rate
Texas ranks fourth out of all fifty U.S. States in automotive manufacturing. This statistic comes from the US Department of Labor. Not only could Tesla increase its production rate as a company, but it could also provide a sizable economic boost by offering automotive production employment in a state that already has the enthusiasm for building vehicles.
Texas’ relaxed labor union representation fits Tesla’s bill
Jonas believes Tesla would prefer to operate in a state with a labor union representation that is not as heavy. Texas is a right-to-work state, where labor costs are affordable. Considering that the facility will be responsible for producing Tesla’s first pickup, the Cybertruck, along with the Model Y crossover, the workload will require a hefty workforce. Tesla will likely be looking to save where it can in a state that won’t break the company’s budget, and in Texas, The cost of doing business is significantly less than California, Jonas said.
Texas is a hotspot for renewable energy
Jonas recognizes Tesla’s identification as an “integrated renewable energy generation, storage, and transportation company.” Tesla would likely prefer a state with an abundance of renewable solar energy that could sustainably drive its manufacturing operations. Texas is a state with a warm and sunny climate, making it perfect for solar energy. The Morgan Stanley analyst noted that the state’s predictable climate and weather outlook would be beneficial to Tesla.
Elon Musk’s SpaceX holds its operations in Boca Chica, Texas
SpaceX has held its operations in Boca Chica, Texas since 2012. While its main rocket facility is in Hawthorne, California, Boca Chica is where SpaceX chooses to launch some of its rockets. The site first launched a rocket on April 5, 2019. However, Jonas seems to believe that Musk’s comfortability with Texas and SpaceX could extend to Tesla. “Synergies in management time and, over time, possibly increased cooperation between Tesla and SpaceX make Texas an appealing option for the next U.S. Giga,” Jonas wrote.
Tesla’s presence in the heart of U.S. Oil and Gas is “symbolic”
Jonas and other Morgan Stanley investors said that U.S. lawmakers and the public might see a “symbolic and, in many ways, well-timed” investment by Tesla in Texas. The state has long been the heart of the United States’ oil and natural gas industry, and a sustainable energy company moving into Texas could be a hint toward the inevitable transition to clean energy.
While Tesla CEO Elon Musk has mentioned that the newest production facility is going to end up in the Central United States, there has been confirmation that Texas is indeed the definite the landing spot for the upcoming facility. However, Musk did use a Twitter poll to test the waters of Texas’ acceptance as the location of the newest factory, and the results were positive.
Both Musk and CFO Zachary Kirkhorn mentioned that the new production facility could be the company’s largest plant yet, hinting that it might be called a “Terafactory” instead. There is no indication of when Tesla will announce the facility’s final location. Still, Texas certainly seems like a very good fit for the Cybertruck facility.
News
Apple is developing the missing link for Tesla to get CarPlay: report
A new report claims that Apple is in the process of developing what would be the missing link for Tesla to get CarPlay.
Apple and Tesla have been reportedly working together for some time to give Tesla owners the opportunity to utilize CarPlay within their vehicles. While many owners are more than happy with Tesla’s in-house UI, which is seamless, effective, and smooth, some still want CarPlay, which does have its advantages.
A report from 9to5Mac now states that a new CarPlay technology that was highlighted during the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) would potentially be the bridge between Tesla and Apple. With the addition of a feature known as “Route Sharing,” which gives a navigation app the ability to share routing data with the vehicle, Tesla would be able to launch CarPlay in its vehicles, the report states.
CarPlay has not been a priority for Tesla because it has done extremely well with its in-house UI, but some drivers are just used to it. Additionally, it could improve Tesla’s subpar Navigation or offer improved app capabilities, especially with iMessage.
Route Sharing is an intended addition to CarPlay’s iteration in iOS 26.4, which was released in March:
The addition of CarPlay would undoubtedly be welcome, but at the same time, it seems like Tesla realizes it is not of the utmost priority. There are so many things that Tesla is working on currently within its own vehicles, especially attempting to solve self-driving.
Back in February, Bloomberg had reported that Tesla was still working on bringing CarPlay to its vehicles, but it had not due to app compatibility issues and incredibly low adoption rates of iOS 26.
This bottleneck could buy Tesla the proper amount of time to develop CarPlay for its vehicles. It would be a welcome addition, and could be brought on with either the Summer or Fall 2026 Software Updates.
Investor's Corner
Tesla deliveries get a big boost in expectations from Wall Street
Tesla deliveries got a big boost in expectations from Wall Street firm Goldman Sachs, who believes the company will report some stronger-than-expected numbers when the second quarter comes to an end in the coming weeks.
Goldman Sachs has raised its vehicle delivery forecast for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) in the second quarter of 2026, signaling growing confidence in the electric vehicle leader’s near-term momentum despite mixed market signals. Analyst Mark Delaney lifted the bank’s Q2 estimate to 420,000 units from a previous 405,000, surpassing the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of 400,000.
The upward revision stems from stronger-than-expected sales data across key regions. Europe stands out with projected year-over-year growth of 85-90 percent, driven by robust demand for Tesla’s Model Y and refreshed offerings. China posted high single-digit gains, while markets like South Korea and Australia also contributed positive momentum. These gains help offset mid-teens declines in U.S. deliveries through May, where broader EV market headwinds and competition persist.
Goldman extended its optimism to the full year, increasing its 2026 delivery projection to 1.73 million vehicles from 1.72 million. Longer-term forecasts remain unchanged, with 1.88 million units expected in 2027 and 1.96 million in 2028. The bank also nudged its 2026 earnings-per-share estimate higher to $1.35 from $1.30, reflecting anticipated margin benefits from higher volumes and operational efficiencies.
Despite these positive adjustments, Goldman maintained its Neutral rating and $375 price target on Tesla shares. At current trading levels near $411, the stock sits about 8-9 percent above the target, highlighting ongoing valuation concerns even as delivery momentum builds. Tesla’s Q1 2026 deliveries totaled 358,023 units, setting a baseline for recovery expectations in the current period.
This update arrives as Tesla prepares to report official Q2 figures shortly after June 30. Investors and analysts will closely watch not only headline delivery numbers but also regional breakdowns, average selling prices, and progress on energy storage deployments and autonomous technology initiatives.
The move by Goldman Sachs underscores a broader narrative for Tesla: while legacy auto markets face softening demand and tariff uncertainties, Tesla’s global footprint and product pipeline provide resilience. Europe’s surge reflects pent-up demand and policy support for EVs, while China’s steady growth highlights Tesla’s competitive positioning against local rivals.
Tesla still has its work cut out for it, including U.S. price sensitivity and intensifying competition. Yet Goldman’s revision adds to a series of analyst notes suggesting Q2 could mark a turning point. As Tesla pushes toward higher production rates at facilities in Fremont, Shanghai, and Berlin, sustained execution will be key to validating these higher forecasts.
We have said numerous times that deliveries are becoming a less important metric in the grand scheme of things, as AI truly takes precedence in the company’s thesis.
For Tesla bulls, the Goldman note reinforces faith in underlying demand trends. For skeptics, the unchanged rating serves as a reminder that delivery beats alone may not immediately resolve valuation debates in a high-interest-rate environment. Tesla’s stock reaction will likely hinge on the official numbers and management commentary in the coming weeks.
News
SpaceX makes first acquisition post-IPO with coding leader Cursor
SpaceX has exercised its option to acquire Cursor, the innovative AI coding company, in an all-stock transaction valued at $60 billion. The deal, announced on June 16, marks a significant step in SpaceX’s expansion into advanced artificial intelligence, building on months of close collaboration between the companies.
Cursor, officially operated by Anysphere, Inc., is an AI-native code editor and coding agent designed to transform software development. Founded in 2022 by a group of MIT graduates in San Francisco, Cursor builds on the familiar foundation of Visual Studio Code but integrates powerful AI capabilities directly into the core experience.
Unlike traditional code editors or simple extensions, Cursor functions as a full “coding agent” that turns natural-language instructions into actionable code.
SpaceX has exercised the option to acquire @cursor_ai in an all-stock transaction with the goal of building the world’s most useful AI models.
For the past few months, SpaceXAI has been jointly training a model with Cursor, which will be released in Cursor and Grok Build soon.… https://t.co/X5mepgXgjJ
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) June 16, 2026
Developers interact with Cursor through features like its Composer agent, which can search entire codebases, edit multiple files, run terminal commands, debug issues, and complete complex multi-step programming tasks autonomously.
Users describe high-level goals, such as “build a scalable API endpoint with authentication,” and the AI plans, implements, tests, and refines the solution while the human oversees decisions. Additional tools include advanced autocomplete (Tab), context-aware chat, and infrastructure for handling billions of daily requests.
The platform has gained considerable traction, surpassing $3 billion in annual recurring revenue by early 2026 and earning adoption by over half of the Fortune 500 companies. Its agentic approach accelerates development dramatically, allowing engineers to focus on architecture and creativity rather than repetitive coding.
The acquisition integrates Cursor’s leading product, expert team of roughly 300 engineers, and distribution network among top software developers with SpaceX’s unparalleled computational resources. SpaceX’s Colossus supercomputer, equivalent to a million H100 GPUs, has already powered joint training of next-generation models. These models are expected to launch soon within Cursor and SpaceX’s Grok Build environment.
This combination positions SpaceX to develop the world’s most capable AI systems for coding and knowledge work. Access to Cursor’s real-world usage data from millions of professional developers provides unparalleled feedback loops for model improvement. Training on Colossus enables rapid iteration on massive datasets, potentially creating AI that outperforms current leaders in reliability, context handling, and complex reasoning.
For SpaceX, the benefits extend far beyond software tools. Rocket engineering, satellite constellation management, autonomous flight systems, and Starship development involve millions of lines of highly specialized, safety-critical code.
Cursor’s AI agents, supercharged by proprietary models trained on SpaceX’s domain expertise, could slash development timelines, reduce errors, and enable faster innovation cycles. This vertical integration of AI tooling strengthens SpaceX’s competitive edge in both aerospace and the broader AI race, complementing its xAI initiatives.
The deal reflects the exploding value of AI-native developer platforms. By owning Cursor outright, SpaceX secures a strategic talent pool and product pipeline that will accelerate internal projects while potentially offering enhanced tools to the wider engineering community. As AI continues reshaping software creation, this acquisition underscores SpaceX’s commitment to leveraging cutting-edge technology for ambitious goals, from Mars colonization to global connectivity.