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Tesla FSD beta v12 could see wider release later this month

Image Credit: Dirty Tesla/YouTube

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Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta version 12 has been a hot topic over the last several months, representing an important switch that’s expected to help unlock higher levels of autonomy. And while the highly anticipated FSD v12 hasn’t yet been deployed publicly, some think that it could go out to a wider audience by the end of this month.

Last month, Tesla began rolling out the FSD beta v12.1 to Wave1, a group made up of over 15,000 employee vehicles. CEO Elon Musk went on to say that Tesla is currently performing extra testing on v12 before the software sees a wider release to the public.

In a recent look at where the FSD beta v12 is at ahead of its release, Teslascope shared a detailed breakdown of events leading up to this point on X over the weekend, adding that they’re “hopeful” that the software will be released sometime in late January. In addition, the account says that Tesla has begun internal tests of Actually Smart Summon (ASS), which has a “very likely chance” of going out later on in the first quarter.

Teslascope also points to recent feedback on the FSD beta v12 received from employees in the Wave1 group, with most answering that the software did indeed include some substantial improvements. These are summarized below, based on at least a dozen reviews shared with Teslascope from employees in California:

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Tesla FSD beta v12.1: improvements to “human-like behavior” and general stability

  • 72 percent said FSD beta v12.1 includes improvements in “human-like behavior” and general stability.
  • 20 percent said there was no change to “human-like behavior” and general stability.
  • 8 percent said these factors had worsened.

Tesla FSD beta v12.1: improvements to roundabout encounters

  • ~40 percent said FSD beta v12.1 improved roundabout encounters had improved.
  • ~50 percent said there was no change to roundabout encounters.
  • ~10 percent said these factors had worsened.

Tesla FSD beta v12.1: improvements to lane-keeping

  • 37 percent said FSD beta v12.1 offered improvements to lane-keeping.
  • 60 percent said there was no change to lane-keeping.
  • 3 percent said these factors had worsened.

Despite the hopefulness, the account also notes that the Cybertruck release has caused Tesla to put some extra energy into creating a stable FSD beta build for the vehicle, though Musk recently noted that the electric pickup would be the lowest priority for the FSD beta. Because of the extra effort put into this, the account says that delays could be possible and that they’re continuing to monitor the ongoing deployment of the version to those within the Wave1 group.

Tesla unveiled plans for the FSD beta v12 last year, featuring the elimination of over 300,000 lines of human-written code that previously controlled functions such as steering, acceleration and braking. Instead, v12 is expected to rely much more heavily on its neural network, training its artificial intelligence (AI) through massive amounts of real-time driving footage, and using the neural network to actually control the vehicle, rather than just detecting objects.

Musk also debuted the FSD beta v12 in a live stream in August, and he has also said that the version would lose its “beta” designation. Tesla began rolling FSD v12 out to employees in November, and screenshots from the Wave1 group appeared to show that the version will still use the beta moniker.

Tesla FSD v12 shifts away from ‘rules-based’ approach

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What are your thoughts? Let me know at zach@teslarati.com, find me on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send your tips to us at tips@teslarati.com.

Zach is a renewable energy reporter who has been covering electric vehicles since 2020. He grew up in Fremont, California, and he currently lives in Colorado. His work has appeared in the Chicago Tribune, KRON4 San Francisco, FOX31 Denver, InsideEVs, CleanTechnica, and many other publications. When he isn't covering Tesla or other EV companies, you can find him writing and performing music, drinking a good cup of coffee, or hanging out with his cats, Banks and Freddie. Reach out at zach@teslarati.com, find him on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send us tips at tips@teslarati.com.

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Elon Musk

Tesla confirmed HW3 can’t do Unsupervised FSD but there’s more to the story

Tesla confirmed HW3 vehicles cannot run unsupervised FSD, replacing its free upgrade promise with a discounted trade-in.

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tesla autopilot

Tesla has officially confirmed that early vehicles with its Autopilot Hardware 3 (HW3) will not be capable of unsupervised Full Self-Driving, while extending a path forward for legacy owners through a discounted trade-in program. The announcement came by way of Elon Musk in today’s Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call.

The history here matters. HW3 launched in April 2019, and Tesla sold Full Self-Driving packages to owners on the understanding that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. Some owners paid between $8,000 and $15,000 for FSD during that period. For years, as FSD’s AI models grew more demanding, HW3 vehicles fell progressively further behind, eventually landing on FSD v12.6 in January 2025 while AI4 vehicles moved to v13 and then v14. When Musk acknowledged in January 2025 that HW3 simply could not reach unsupervised operation, and alluded to a difficult hardware retrofit.

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The near-term offering is more concrete. Tesla’s head of Autopilot Ashok Elluswamy confirmed on today’s call that a V14-lite will be coming to HW3 vehicles in late June, bringing all the V14 features currently running on AI4 hardware. That is a meaningful software update for owners who have been frozen at v12.6 for over a year, and it represents genuine effort to keep older hardware relevant. Unsupervised FSD for vehicles is now targeted for Q4 2026 at the earliest, with Musk describing it as a gradual, geography-limited rollout.

For HW3 owners, the over-the-air V14-lite update is welcomed, and the discounted trade-in path at least acknowledges an old obligation. What happens next with the trade-in pricing will define how this chapter ultimately gets written. If Tesla prices the hardware path fairly, acknowledges what early adopters are owed, and delivers V14-lite on the June timeline it committed to today, it has a real opportunity to convert one of the longest-running sore subjects among early adopters into a loyalty story.

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Elon Musk

Tesla isn’t joking about building Optimus at an industrial scale: Here we go

Tesla’s Optimus factory in Texas targets 10 million robots yearly, with 5.2 million square feet under construction.

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Tesla’s Q1 2026 Update Letter, released today, confirms that first generation Optimus production lines are now well underway at its Fremont, California factory, with a pilot line targeting one million robots per year to start. Of bigger note is a shared aerial image of a large piece of land adjacent to Gigafactory Texas, that Tesla has prominently labeled “Optimus factory site preparation.”

Permit documents show Tesla is seeking to add over 5.2 million square feet of new building space to the Giga Texas North Campus by the end of 2026, at an estimated construction investment of $5 billion to $10 billion. The longer term production target for that facility is 10 million Optimus units per year. Giga Texas already sits on 2,500 acres with over 10 million square feet of existing factory floor, and the North Campus expansion is being built to support multiple projects, including the dedicated Optimus factory, the Terafab chip fabrication facility (a joint Tesla/SpaceX/xAI venture), a Cybercab test track, road infrastructure, and supporting facilities.

Credit: TESLA

Texas makes strategic sense beyond the existing infrastructure. The state’s tax structure, lower labor costs relative to California, and the proximity to Tesla’s AI training cluster Cortex 1 and 2, both located at Giga Texas and now totaling over 230,000 H100 equivalent GPUs, means the Optimus software stack and the factory producing the hardware will share the same campus. Tesla’s Q1 report also confirmed completion of the AI5 chip tape out in April, the inference processor designed specifically to power Optimus units in the field.

As Teslarati reported, the Texas facility is intended to house Optimus V4 production at full scale. Musk told the World Economic Forum in January that Tesla plans to sell Optimus to the public by end of 2027 at a price between $20,000 and $30,000, stating, “I think everyone on earth is going to have one and want one.” He has previously pegged long term demand for general purpose humanoid robots at over 20 billion units globally, citing both consumer and industrial use cases.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla (TSLA) Q1 2026 earnings results: beat on EPS and revenues

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday afternoon. Here’s what the company reported compared to what Wall Street analysts expected.

The earnings results come after Tesla reported a miss on vehicle deliveries for the first quarter, delivering 358,023 vehicles and building 408,386 cars during the three-month span.

As Tesla transitions more toward AI and sees itself as less of a car company, expectations for deliveries will begin to become less of a central point in the consensus of how the quarter is perceived.

Nevertheless, Tesla is leaning on its strong foundation as a car company to carry forward its AI ambitions. The first quarter is a good ground layer for the rest of the year.

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Tesla Q1 2026 Earnings Results

Tesla’s Earnings Results are as follows:

  • Non-GAAP EPS – $0.41 Reported vs. $0.36 Expected
  • Revenues – $22.387 billion vs. $22.35 billion Expected
  • Free Cash Flow – $1.444 billion
  • Profit – $4.72 billion

Tesla beat analyst expectations, so it will be interesting to see how the stock responds. IN the past, we’ve seen Tesla beat analyst expectations considerably, followed by a sharp drop in stock price.

On the same token, we’ve seen Tesla miss and the stock price go up the following trading session.

Tesla will hold its Q1 2026 Earnings Call in about 90 minutes at 5:30 p.m. on the East Coast. Remarks will be made by CEO Elon Musk and other executives, who will shed some light on the investor questions that we covered earlier this week.

You can stream it below. Additionally, we will be doing our Live Blog on X and Facebook.

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