Investor's Corner
Tesla extends $1.1B warehouse loan agreements amid signs of strong Model 3 demand
A Form 8-K recently filed by Tesla to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission has revealed that the company extended its $1.1 billion warehouse loan agreements with Deutsche Bank AG for another year. The revised terms outlined in Tesla’s Form 8-K state that the agreements’ borrowing availability has been extended from August 17, 2018, to August 16, 2019. The maturity date of the agreement was also extended from September 2019 to September 2020.
Following is the text of Tesla’s recent Form 8-K submitted to the SEC.
Extension of Vehicle Lease Warehouse Agreements
On August 16, 2018, certain subsidiaries of Tesla, Inc. (“Tesla”) that are respectively parties to (i) an Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement (the “A&R 2016 Warehouse Agreement”) and (ii) a Loan and Security Agreement (the “2017 Warehouse Agreement,” and together with the A&R 2016 Warehouse Agreement, the “Warehouse Agreements”), each dated August 17, 2017, with Deutsche Bank AG, New York Branch as administrative agent and the other parties named therein, entered into an amendment to each of the Warehouse Agreements (together, the “Amendments”).
Among other changes, the Amendments extended the borrowing availability date under the Warehouse Agreements from August 17, 2018, to August 16, 2019, and extended the maturity date of the Warehouse Agreements from September 2019 to September 2020. The aggregate lender commitment, which is shared between the Warehouse Agreements, remains unchanged at $1.1 billion.
Warehouse loan agreements are utilized as tools to help finance inventory. Last October, Tesla raised the credit line at the German bank by $500 million to $1.1 billion, and during that time, the California-based electric car maker noted that it was planning an expansion of its in-house leasing program. That said, even with the recent extension of the warehouse agreement, the aggregate lender commitment of $1.1 billion remains unchanged.
Tesla’s recent 8-K Form could be accessed in full here.
Tesla’s recent 8-K filing comes as the demand for the Model 3 sedan showed encouraging signs after the vehicle was previewed in Australia for the first time. After sustaining the Model 3’s 5,000/week production rate during multiple weeks in July, Tesla announced earlier this month that it is bringing the electric car to Australia and New Zealand. Reservation holders residing in the two countries received invitations for viewings of the vehicle at Tesla’s stores in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Auckland.
The Model 3’s viewings in Australia proved to be successful. Posts uploaded of the event on Twitter revealed lines of people lining up to get a hands-on experience with the electric car. One of the Model 3 reservation holders, Andreas Stephens of Sydney, even noted in a statement to Drive that the electric car would be his first vehicle in 25 years.
“I’m not a car enthusiast as such; I never had a need to upgrade my car. When I bought my first car my dream was to have an electric car as my next car. But at the time, in the early 1990s, that seemed like a pretty unrealistic expectation. So I’m really excited that I’m now actually able to get an electric car. It’s fantastic, more than anything I’ve experienced in a car,” he said.
Queue at Tesla Martin Place to see Tesla Model 3 pic.twitter.com/UbEJ9KC1dc
— Heath Walker (@TexWalkerRanger) August 21, 2018
In the United States, Model 3 production appears to be hitting its stride. Apart from recently passing the 100,000-vehicle mark in its VIN registrations for the electric car, Tesla also appears to ba pacing towards an improved pace for the vehicle’s production. This was highlighted by George Galliers of Evercore ISI after an extensive tour of the Fremont factory, who noted that Tesla could hit as much as 8,000 Model 3 per week with very little capital expenditure.
“Tesla seems well on the way to achieving a steady weekly production rate of 5,000 to 6,000 units per week. We are incrementally positive on Tesla following our visit. We have confidence in their production. We did not see anything to suggest that Model 3 cannot reach 6k units per week and 7k to 8k with very little incremental capital expenditure. Focusing on the fundamentals and setting aside talk of privatization, we are incrementally positive on Tesla following our visit,” the analyst noted.
Elon Musk
Tesla locks in Elon Musk’s top problem solver as it enters its most ambitious era
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla has granted Senior Vice President of Automotive Tom Zhu more than 520,000 stock options, tying a significant portion of his compensation to the company’s long-term performance.
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla secures top talent
According to a Form 4 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Tom Zhu received 520,021 stock options with an exercise price of $435.80 per share. Since the award will not fully vest until March 5, 2031, Zhu must remain at Tesla for more than five years to realize the award’s full benefit.
Considering that Tesla shares are currently trading at around the $445 to $450 per share level, Zhu will really only see gains in his equity award if Tesla’s stock price sees a notable rise over the years, as noted in a Sina Finance report.
Still, even at today’s prices, Zhu’s stock award is already worth over $230 million. If Tesla reaches the market cap targets set forth in Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award, Zhu would become a billionaire from this equity award alone.
Tesla’s problem solver
Zhu joined Tesla in April 2014 and initially led the company’s Supercharger rollout in China. Later that year, he assumed the leadership of Tesla’s China business, where he played a central role in Tesla’s localization efforts, including expanding retail and service networks, and later, overseeing the development of Gigafactory Shanghai.
Zhu’s efforts helped transform China into one of Tesla’s most important markets and production hubs. In 2023, Tesla promoted Zhu to Senior Vice President of Automotive, placing him among the company’s core global executives and expanding his influence beyond China. He has since garnered a reputation as the company’s problem solver, being tapped by Elon Musk to help ramp Giga Texas’s vehicle production.
With this in mind, Tesla’s recent filing seems to suggest that the company is locking in its top talent as it enters its newest, most ambitious era to date. As could be seen in the targets of Elon Musk’s 2025 pay package, Tesla is now aiming to be the world’s largest company by market cap, and it is aiming to achieve production levels that are unheard of. Zhu’s talents would definitely be of use in this stage of the company’s growth.
Tesla analyst Andrew Percoco of Morgan Stanley teased the company’s dominance in its self-driving initiative, stating that its lead over competitors is “not even close.”
Percoco recently overtook coverage of Tesla stock from Adam Jonas, who had covered the company at Morgan Stanley for years. Percoco is handling Tesla now that Jonas is covering embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
His first move after grabbing coverage was to adjust the price target from $410 to $425, as well as the rating from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco’s new note regarding Tesla highlights the company’s extensive lead in self-driving and autonomy projects, something that it has plenty of competition in, but has established its prowess over the past few years.
He writes:
“It’s not even close. Tesla continues to lead in autonomous driving, even as Nvidia rolls out new technology aimed at helping other automakers build driverless systems.”
Percoco’s main point regarding Tesla’s advantage is the company’s ability to collect large amounts of training data through its massive fleet, as millions of cars are driving throughout the world and gathering millions of miles of vehicle behavior on the road.
This is the main point that Percoco makes regarding Tesla’s lead in the entire autonomy sector: data is King, and Tesla has the most of it.
One big story that has hit the news over the past week is that of NVIDIA and its own self-driving suite, called Alpamayo. NVIDIA launched this open-source AI program last week, but it differs from Tesla’s in a significant fashion, especially from a hardware perspective, as it plans to use a combination of LiDAR, Radar, and Vision (Cameras) to operate.
Percoco said that NVIDIA’s announcement does not impact Morgan Stanley’s long-term opinions on Tesla and its strength or prowess in self-driving.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang commends Tesla’s Elon Musk for early belief
And, for what it’s worth, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang even said some remarkable things about Tesla following the launch of Alpamayo:
“I think the Tesla stack is the most advanced autonomous vehicle stack in the world. I’m fairly certain they were already using end-to-end AI. Whether their AI did reasoning or not is somewhat secondary to that first part.”
Percoco reiterated both the $425 price target and the ‘Equal Weight’ rating on Tesla shares.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a price target boost from its biggest bear, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research, who raised his expected trading level to one that is 95 percent lower than its current trading level.
Johnson pushed his Tesla price target from $19.05 to $25.28 on Wednesday, while maintaining the ‘Sell’ rating that has been present on the stock for a long time. GLJ has largely been recognized as the biggest skeptic of Elon Musk’s company, being particularly critical of the automotive side of things.
Tesla has routinely been called out by Johnson for negative delivery growth, what he calls “weakening demand,” and price cuts that have occurred in past years, all pointing to them as desperate measures to sell its cars.
Johnson has also said that Tesla is extremely overvalued and is too reliant on regulatory credits for profitability. Other analysts on the bullish side recognize Tesla as a company that is bigger than just its automotive side.
Many believe it is a leader in autonomous driving, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, who believes Tesla will have a widely successful 2026, especially if it can come through on its targets and schedules for Robotaxi and Cybercab.
Justifying the price target this week, Johnson said that the revised valuation is based on “reality rather than narrative.” Tesla has been noted by other analysts and financial experts as a stock that trades on narrative, something Johnson obviously disagrees with.
Dan Nathan, a notorious skeptic of the stock, turned bullish late last year, recognizing the company’s shares trade on “technicals and sentiment.” He said, “From a trading perspective, it looks very interesting.”
Tesla bear turns bullish for two reasons as stock continues boost
Johnson has remained very consistent with this sentiment regarding Tesla and his beliefs regarding its true valuation, and has never shied away from putting his true thoughts out there.
Tesla shares closed at $431.40 today, about 95 percent above where Johnson’s new price target lies.
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