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Tesla Model Y outsells Model 3 in California once again

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The Model Y crossover was once again Tesla’s most popular vehicle in its home state of California, outdueling its sibling Model 3 sedan by over 4,000 units through the first quarter of 2021, new data shows. Interestingly, this is not the first time this has happened.

Registrations in California for the Model 3 were listed at 8,060 units for the first three months of 2021, data from Cross-Sell, a research firm, suggests. Cross-Sell tracks title and registration data for automakers across several regions. Reuters initially reported the data.

Credit: PCAuto.com

Despite the 8,060 Model 3 sedans that Tesla registered in California in Q1, the Model Y was once again the company’s biggest seller in the Golden State. The data suggests the Model Y was sold 12,227 times in Q1, making it a dominating victory for the all-electric crossover over its sibling sedan. The Model 3 has been Tesla’s biggest seller worldwide since it was first rolled out in Summer 2017. However, the Model Y is rapidly approaching numbers that could rival the Model 3, especially as demand for the crossover continues to grow globally.

Overall, vehicle registrations for Tesla slightly decreased from Q4 2020 to Q1 2021 from 22,117 to 21,520. Q4 is statistically the strongest quarter for automotive sales and is usually Tesla’s largest quarter as a company as it typically offers End-of-Year incentives like free Supercharging to increase annual delivery and production figures before a calendar year ends. Tesla’s Q1 2021 was shockingly impressive as the automaker managed to eclipse Wall Street estimates by over 20,000 units. Tesla announced in early April that it had delivered 184,800 cars in Q1 while producing 180,338. Wall Street consensus estimates had pegged the automaker at around 162,000 deliveries.

The Model 3 and Model Y were the largest contributors to the record quarter for several reasons. Initially, Tesla revitalized both the Model S and Model X, the company’s two flagship vehicles. The company announced the refresh of the two cars during its Q4 2020 Earnings Call in late January, which included a completely redesigned interior. These changes brought on a retooling effort of the Model S and Model X production lines at the company’s Northern California production facility in Fremont. This is currently the only facility where Tesla builds the Model S and Model X. The company still delivered 2,020 Model S and X cars, but these were inventoried or produced late last year and delivered within the first few days of 2021.

Registrations for the Model 3 fell 54% in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020. The Model Y was delivered for the first time in March 2020, so there is no relevant data to suggest a decline with the crossover.

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The Model Y also outsold the Model 3 in Q4 2020 data that Cross-Sell also compiled.

Tesla plans to report its Q1 2021 Earnings during a call next Monday, April 26th, at 2:30 PM PST.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Tesla sees sharp November rebound in China as Model Y demand surges

New data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows a 9.95% year-on-year increase and a 40.98% jump month-over-month.

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Credit: Tesla China

Tesla’s sales momentum in China strengthened in November, with wholesale volumes rising to 86,700 units, reversing a slowdown seen in October. 

New data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows a 9.95% year-on-year increase and a 40.98% jump month-over-month. This was partly driven by tightened delivery windows, targeted marketing, and buyers moving to secure vehicles before changes to national purchase tax incentives take effect.

Tesla’s November rebound coincided with a noticeable spike in Model Y interest across China. Delivery wait times extended multiple times over the month, jumping from an initial 2–5 weeks to estimated handovers in January and February 2026 for most five-seat variants. Only the six-seat Model Y L kept its 4–8 week estimated delivery timeframe.

The company amplified these delivery updates across its Chinese social media channels, urging buyers to lock in orders early to secure 2025 delivery slots and preserve eligibility for current purchase tax incentives, as noted in a CNEV Post report. Tesla also highlighted that new inventory-built Model Y units were available for customers seeking guaranteed handovers before December 31.

This combination of urgency marketing and genuine supply-demand pressure seemed to have helped boost November’s volumes, stabilizing what had been a year marked by several months of year-over-year declines.

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For the January–November period, Tesla China recorded 754,561 wholesale units, an 8.30% decline compared to the same period last year. The company’s Shanghai Gigafactory continues to operate as both a domestic production base and a major global export hub, building the Model 3 and Model Y for markets across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, among other territories.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla bear gets blunt with beliefs over company valuation

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.

“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Shortand was portrayed by Christian Bale.

Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”

Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation

For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.

Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.

While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.

Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.

In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.

Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.

It closed at $430.14 on Monday.

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Tesla is making a change to its exterior cameras with a potential upgrade

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla appears to be making a change to its exterior side repeater cameras, which are used for the company’s Full Self-Driving suite, and other features, like Sentry Mode.

The change appears to be a potential upgrade in preparation for the AI5 suite, which CEO Elon Musk said will be present on a handful of vehicles next year, but will not be widely implemented until 2027.

Currently, Tesla uses a Sony sensor lens with the model number IMX963, a 5-megapixel camera with better dynamic range and low-light performance over the past iteration in Hardware 3 vehicles. Cameras in HW3 cars were only 1.2 megapixels.

However, Tesla is looking to upgrade, it appears, as Tesla hacker greentheonly has spotted a new sensor model in its firmware code, with the model number IMX00N being explicitly mentioned:

Sony has not announced any formal specifications for the IMX00N model, and although IMX963 has been used in AI4/HW4 vehicles, it only makes sense that Tesla would prepare to upgrade these external cameras once again in preparation for what it believes to be the second hardware iteration capable of fully autonomous self-driving.

Tesla has maintained that AI4/HW4 vehicles are capable of self-driving operation, but AI5 will likely help the company make significant strides, especially in terms of overall performance and data collection.

Tesla last updated its exterior cameras on its vehicles back in early 2023, as it transitioned to the 5-megapixel IMX963. It also added additional cameras to its vehicles in January with the new Model Y, which featured an additional lens on the front bumper to help with Full Self-Driving.

Tesla’s new self-driving computer (HW4): more cameras, radar, and more

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