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“Tesla of China” NIO cancels plans to build a local factory after heavy 2018 losses

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NIO, the Chinese electric vehicle startup with its eyes set on Tesla’s luxury auto market consumers, revealed some production stumbling blocks in a press release on Tuesday detailing its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2018 Financial Results. One of the most notable points of interest was its decision to cancel plans to build a Shanghai manufacturing facility in favor of continuing to contract work to state-owned JAC Motors. The report also revealed $1.4 billion in losses, doubling the losses experienced in 2017, despite meeting production and delivery goals for the year.

Even without having a factory to call its own, NIO currently has two SUV vehicles for sale, the ES8 and coming ES6. Having a deal with the government – one where the government makes a product for a company rather than the other way around – may seem unusual, especially in the US. However, it’s par for the course in China. In a call with investors following the news release Tuesday, NIO chief financial officer Luis Hsieh commented that such arrangements are “endorsed and perceived as an innovative manufacturing model in China.” As a result, NIO has been able to put vehicles on the road quickly, giving it an edge over the extensive competition in the country.

It’s also interesting to note that NIO represents one of hundreds of China-based EV companies hoping to cash in on Chinese government incentives driving the ramp up of the all-electric car market. With 5 million annual EV sales expected to come from China in the near future, startups like NIO and established electric brands like Tesla are eyeing a bright future full of growth. Tesla’s Shanghai-based Gigafactory 3 is a nod to their high sales expectations in the country.

NIO’s ES6 electric SUV command panel. | Credit: NIO

NIO’s deal with JAC Motors is apparently hurting its bottom line, however. Along with a fee collected by the manufacturer for each vehicle produced, NIO is required to compensate JAC for any operating losses during the first 3 years of production. If that’s not enough eating away at the company’s progress, slow January/February markets, tough trading conditions resulting from the ongoing US-China trade war, and end-of-year sales ramps in 2018 are being offered by NIO as reasons for a delivery slowdown in the early part of this year. The company expects the slowdowns to continue into the second quarter of 2019 for largely the same reasons.

The bad financial news from NIO is perhaps a bit surprising considering that the announcement is on the heels of a 60 Minutes feature wherein CEO William Li was hopeful for the company’s prospects in China’s EV market. NIO has been positioned as a lifestyle company rather than simply a car maker, offering exclusive owner perks like clubhouses and on-demand charging solutions. Li’s plans also include eventual entry into the international market, and the company already has offices around the world seemingly to aid in this effort.

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Perhaps without Tesla’s experiences coming to market shining a light on what’s possible during a new EV manufacturer’s development path, news like NIO’s announcement would immediately spell impending doom for such a new company in a still-evolving market. That is not quite the case, of course, and NIO, along with the numerous EV startups begun in Tesla’s wake, have essentially a wealth of information available to learn from as applicable to their national situations. Even still, just as Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk often stated that “rockets are hard” despite decades of space launching knowledge being available, so too are electric vehicle companies.

Accidental computer geek, fascinated by most history and the multiplanetary future on its way. Quite keen on the democratization of space. | It's pronounced day-sha, but I answer to almost any variation thereof.

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Tesla FSD’s newest model is coming, and it sounds like ‘the last big piece of the puzzle’

“There’s a model that’s an order of magnitude larger that will be deployed in January or February 2026.”

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla Full Self-Driving’s newest model is coming very soon, and from what it sounds like, it could be “the last big piece of the puzzle,” as CEO Elon Musk said in late November.

During the xAI Hackathon on Tuesday, Musk was available for a Q&A session, where he revealed some details about Robotaxi and Tesla’s plans for removing Robotaxi Safety Monitors, and some information on a future FSD model.

While he said Full Self-Driving’s unsupervised capability is “pretty much solved,” and confirmed it will remove Safety Monitors in the next three weeks, questions about the company’s ability to give this FSD version to current owners came to mind.

Musk said a new FSD model is coming in about a month or two that will be an order-of-magnitude larger and will include more reasoning and reinforcement learning.

He said:

“There’s a model that’s an order of magnitude larger that will be deployed in January or February 2026. We’re gonna add a lot of reasoning and RL (reinforcement learning). To get to serious scale, Tesla will probably need to build a giant chip fab. To have a few hundred gigawatts of AI chips per year, I don’t see that capability coming online fast enough, so we will probably have to build a fab.”

It rings back to late November when Musk said that v14.3 “is where the last big piece of the puzzle finally lands.”

With the advancements made through Full Self-Driving v14 and v14.2, there seems to be a greater confidence in solving self-driving completely. Musk has also personally said that driver monitoring has been more relaxed, and looking at your phone won’t prompt as many alerts in the latest v14.2.1.

This is another indication that Tesla is getting closer to allowing people to take their eyes off the road completely.

Along with the Robotaxi program’s success, there is evidence that Tesla could be close to solving FSD. However, it is not perfect. We’ve had our own complaints with FSD, and although we feel it is the best ADAS on the market, it is not, in its current form, able to perform everything needed on roads.

But it is close.

That’s why there is some legitimate belief that Tesla could be releasing a version capable of no supervision in the coming months.

All we can say is, we’ll see.

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SpaceX IPO is coming, CEO Elon Musk confirms

However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon. Musk replied, basically confirming it.

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Joel Kowsky, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Elon Musk confirmed through a post on X that a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) is on the way after hinting at it several times earlier this year.

It also comes one day after Bloomberg reported that SpaceX was aiming for a valuation of $1.5 trillion, adding that it wanted to raise $30 billion.

Musk has been transparent for most of the year that he wanted to try to figure out a way to get Tesla shareholders to invest in SpaceX, giving them access to the stock.

He has also recognized the issues of having a public stock, like litigation exposure, quarterly reporting pressures, and other inconveniences.

However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon.

Musk replied, basically confirming it:

Berger believes the IPO would help support the need for $30 billion or more in capital needed to fund AI integration projects, such as space-based data centers and lunar satellite factories. Musk confirmed recently that SpaceX “will be doing” data centers in orbit.

AI appears to be a “key part” of SpaceX getting to Musk, Berger also wrote. When writing about whether or not Optimus is a viable project and product for the company, he says that none of that matters. Musk thinks it is, and that’s all that matters.

It seems like Musk has certainly mulled something this big for a very long time, and the idea of taking SpaceX public is not just likely; it is necessary for the company to get to Mars.

The details of when SpaceX will finally hit that public status are not known. Many of the reports that came out over the past few days indicate it would happen in 2026, so sooner rather than later.

But there are a lot of things on Musk’s plate early next year, especially with Cybercab production, the potential launch of Unsupervised Full Self-Driving, and the Roadster unveiling, all planned for Q1.

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Tesla adds 15th automaker to Supercharger access in 2025

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has added the 15th automaker to the growing list of companies whose EVs can utilize the Supercharger Network this year, as BMW is the latest company to gain access to the largest charging infrastructure in the world.

BMW became the 15th company in 2025 to gain Tesla Supercharger access, after the company confirmed to its EV owners that they could use any of the more than 25,000 Supercharging stalls in North America.

Newer BMW all-electric cars, like the i4, i5, i7, and iX, are able to utilize Tesla’s V3 and V4 Superchargers. These are the exact model years, via the BMW Blog:

  • i4: 2022-2026 model years
  • i5: 2024-2025 model years
    • 2026 i5 (eDrive40 and xDrive40) after software update in Spring 2026
  • i7: 2023-2026 model years
  • iX: 2022-2025 model years
    • 2026 iX (all versions) after software update in Spring 2026

With the expansion of the companies that gained access in 2025 to the Tesla Supercharger Network, a vast majority of non-Tesla EVs are able to use the charging stalls to gain range in their cars.

So far in 2025, Tesla has enabled Supercharger access to:

  • Audi
  • BMW
  • Genesis
  • Honda
  • Hyundai
  • Jaguar Land Rover
  • Kia
  • Lucid
  • Mercedes-Benz
  • Nissan
  • Polestar
  • Subaru
  • Toyota
  • Volkswagen
  • Volvo

Drivers with BMW EVs who wish to charge at Tesla Superchargers must use an NACS-to-CCS1 adapter. In Q2 2026, BMW plans to release its official adapter, but there are third-party options available in the meantime.

They will also have to use the Tesla App to enable Supercharging access to determine rates and availability. It is a relatively seamless process.

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