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A Tesla Powerwall-powered Home: Will it Pay Off?

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We’ve all heard by now that the Tesla Powerwall home battery is designed to store electricity, generated from solar panels and electricity captured from utility companies during off-peak rates, and provide overall independence from the grid.

It sounds like an amazing product, and I’m sure it is, but will it pay off to own one?

Understanding the Powerwall

powerwall_front_angleThe Powerwall is an energy storage unit otherwise known as a battery. It comes in two sizes today (although they can be stacked/expanded), 7kWh and 10kWh (what’s a kWh?) and costs $3,000 and $3,500, respectively. Note that the cost excludes an inverter and installation, both of which can be quite expensive to the point it can double the total out-of-pocket cost. The specs for the Powerwall come in at a whopping 220 lbs / 100 kg (unclear as to which capacity this represents) and  52.1″ x 33.9″ x 7.1″ or roughly 3.5 x 3 feet in dimension.

The concept is simple, the Powerwall battery stores energy generated through your utility company when rates are the lowest (or through solar panels) and ready on tap when you need it.

Installation

Tesla notes that the cost of the Powerwall does not include the inverter or installation. An inverter alone such as the one SolarCity uses can cost around $2,000 which does not include a separate installation cost.

Installation will vary depending on the following:

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  • Does your residence have an existing net metering?
  • Is it already wired for a generator?
  • What is the distance between the photovoltaic solar panel hardware and the location to where Tesla’s Powerwall would be mounted? The shorter the distance, the less cabling to run and thus a lower installation cost.

At 200+ pounds in weight, you’ll need to ensure that there’s ample space and structural support to where the Powerwall will be installed. There also needs to be sufficient cooling space and ventilation in the mounting location.

Primary Use Cases for the Tesla Powerwall

Tesla proposes two primary use cases for the Powerwall:

  • Time of Use (TOU) offset
  • Backup power

Let’s explore each of these options.

Powerwall provides a Time of Use offset

In many states and countries from around the world, a Time of Use (TOU) electricity rate is available through the local utility company. The concept is simple: you pay different rates at different times of the day. During peak hours the rates are higher than they are during off hours. Many Tesla owners that live in these areas that have TOU pricing will charge their cars during the evenings when rates are typically the lowest.TOU Pricing

Unfortunately TOU pricing is not widespread here in Massachusetts but if you’re able to take advantage of it in your area, then the Powerwall may bring some value although it would take quite awhile to recoup the initial investment.

Taking a look at TOU rates from Southern California Edison, we can see that their off-peak rate is $0.11 while peak rate comes in at $0.46 for a difference of $0.35 per kWh. The large Powerwall unit is capable of storing 10kWh. Assuming you are able to fully charge the battery during off-peak hours each and every  day, you would save approximately $3.50 per day.

Since the unit itself (without install) costs $3,500, it would take approximately 1000 days or just shy of 3 years before you “broke even”. This is assuming the utility company continues to offer off-peak rates throughout the year. Add in the installation costs and you’re looking at closer to 5 years before breaking even on the Tesla Powerwall investment

Solar Installed

Of course, there’s the argument that having a solar panel system would allow you to charge the Powerwall battery for free through sunlight, but only if you fully ignore the cost of the solar system itself.

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RELATED >>> My journey to installing a SolarCity system

Owning or leasing a solar system comes with its own break-even calculations so you’ll have to factor that into the equation with the Powerwall.

Powerwall provides backup power

The other stated potential use case for the Powerwall is to use it for backup power in the event your home power is completely cut off from the grid.

SolarCity-Powerwall

Source: SolarCity

Don’t expect to power your entire house with just a single 10kWh Powerwall. Tesla’s site provides some good examples of how much power common home appliances draw. For instance the Powerwall would be able to power a typical refrigerator for 2 days. This time would of course be extended if you were able to replenish the battery through a solar system.

In the case of an extended power outage (think Zombie apocalypse), you may be able to power essential home services indefinitely with a properly sized battery and solar system.

The ability to re-fill from solar is a nice benefit, but the alternative would be a noisy gasoline powered generator.

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GeneratorA 6.5kW generator can be had for for as little as $800. That generator can output 32,500kWh (50% load x 10 hours according that link). That’s 3x the power at less than 25% of the cost of Tesla’s offering. The cost for that power? About $15. The generator, unlike the Powerall, is mobile and can go anywhere you go. Generators typically have very low maintenance and can be re-filled quickly regardless of weather conditions (hurricanes, snow storms, etc – all likely conditions that will cause loss of power).

I have a Honda 6.5kW generator. My house has its own well, septic etc. When power goes out I fire up the generator and power the things I need. I have water, hot showers, heat (oil, fired by electric which is powered by the generator), lights etc. I have run for days off that generator in some of the worst weather conditions New England can throw at me. I’d argue if you’re serious about backup power, then a generator is still the best option.

Powerwall, as a backup power option and also from a pure cost-perspective, I feel is only a good fit for those who have a solar system installed and live in an area where the climate is more stable.

"Rob's passion is technology and gadgets. An engineer by profession and an executive and founder at several high tech startups Rob has a unique view on technology and some strong opinions. When he's not writing about Tesla

Energy

Tesla Energy is the world’s top global battery storage system provider again

Tesla Energy captured 15% of the battery storage segment’s global market share in 2024.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla Energy held its top position in the global battery energy storage system (BESS) integrator market for the second consecutive year, capturing 15% of global market share in 2024, as per Wood Mackenzie’s latest rankings.

Tesla Energy’s lead, however, is shrinking, as Chinese competitors like Sungrow are steadily increasing their global footprint, particularly in European markets.

Tesla Energy dominates in North America, but its lead is narrowing globally

Tesla Energy retained its leadership in the North American market with a commanding 39% share in 2024. Sungrow, though still ranked second in the region, saw its share drop from 17% to 10%. Powin took third place, even if the company itself filed for bankruptcy earlier this year, as noted in a Solar Power World report. 

On the global stage, Tesla Energy’s lead over Sungrow shrank from four points in 2023 to just one in 2024, indicating intensifying competition. Chinese firm CRRC came in third worldwide with an 8% share.

Wood Mackenzie ranked vendors based on MWh shipments with recognized revenue in 2024. According to analyst Kevin Shang, “Competition among established BESS integrators remains incredibly intense. Seven of the top 10 vendors last year struggled to expand their market share, remaining either unchanged or declining.”

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Chinese integrators surge in Europe, falter in U.S.

China’s influence on the BESS market continues to grow, with seven of the global top 10 BESS integrators now headquartered in the country. Chinese companies saw a 67% year-over-year increase in European market share, and four of the top 10 BESS vendors in Europe are now based in China. In contrast, Chinese companies’ market share in North America dropped more than 30%, from 23% to 16% amid Tesla Energy’s momentum and the Trump administration’s policies.

Wood Mackenzie noted that success in the global BESS space will hinge on companies’ ability to adapt to divergent regulations and geopolitical headwinds. “The global BESS integrator landscape is becoming increasingly complex, with regional trade policies and geopolitical tensions reshaping competitive dynamics,” Shang noted, pointing to Tesla’s maintained lead and the rapid ascent of Chinese rivals as signs of a shifting industry balance.

“While Tesla maintains its global leadership, the rapid rise of Chinese integrators in Europe and their dominance in emerging markets like the Middle East signals a fundamental shift in the industry. Success will increasingly depend on companies’ ability to navigate diverse regulatory environments, adapt to local market requirements, and maintain competitive cost structures across multiple regions,” the analyst added.

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Energy

Tesla inks multi-billion-dollar deal with LG Energy Solution to avoid tariff pressure

Tesla has reportedly secured a sizable partnership with LGES for LFP cells, and there’s an extra positive out of it.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has reportedly inked a multi-billion-dollar deal with LG Energy Solution in an effort to avoid tariff pressure and domesticate more of its supply chain.

Reuters is reporting that Tesla and LGES, a South Korean battery supplier of the automaker, signed a $4.3 billion deal for energy storage system batteries. The cells are going to be manufactured by LGES at its U.S. factory located in Michigan, the report indicates. The batteries will be the lithium iron phosphate, or LFP, chemistry.

Tesla delivers 384,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, deploys 9.6 GWh in energy storage

It is a move Tesla is making to avoid buying cells and parts from overseas as the Trump White House continues to use tariffs to prioritize domestic manufacturing.

LGES announced earlier today that it had signed a $4.3 billion contract to supply LFP cells over three years to a company, but it did not identify the customer, nor did the company state whether the batteries would be used in automotive or energy storage applications.

The deal is advantageous for both companies. Tesla is going to alleviate its reliance on battery cells that are built out of the country, so it’s going to be able to take some financial pressure off itself.

For LGES, the company has reported that it has experienced slowed demand for its cells in terms of automotive applications. It planned to offset this demand lag with more projects involving the cells in energy storage projects. This has been helped by the need for these systems at data centers used for AI.

During the Q1 Earnings Call, Tesla CFO Vaibhav Taneja confirmed that the company’s energy division had been impacted by the need to source cells from China-based suppliers. He went on to say that the company would work on “securing additional supply chain from non-China-based suppliers.”

It seems as if Tesla has managed to secure some of this needed domestic supply chain.

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Energy

Tesla Shanghai Megafactory produces 1,000th Megapack for export to Europe

The Shanghai Megafactory was able to hit this milestone less than six months after it started producing the Megapack. 

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Tesla Energy has announced a fresh milestone for its newest Megapack factory. As per the electric vehicle maker, the Shanghai Megafactory has successfully produced its 1,000th Megapack battery. 

The facility was able to hit this milestone less than six months after it started producing the grid-scale battery system. 

New Tesla Megapack Milestone

As per Tesla Asia in a post on its official accounts on social media platform X, the 1,000th Megapack unit that was produced at the Shanghai Megafactory would be exported to Europe. As noted in a CNEV Post report, Tesla’s energy products are currently deployed in over 65 countries and regions globally. This allows Tesla Energy to compete in energy markets that are both emerging and mature.

To commemorate the 1,000th Megapack produced at the Shanghai Megafactory, the Tesla China team posted with the grid-scale battery with celebratory balloons that spelled “Megapack 1000.” The milestone was celebrated by Tesla enthusiasts on social media, especially since the Shanghai Megafactory only started its operations earlier this year.

Quick Megafactory Ramp

The Shanghai Megafactory, similar to Tesla’s other key facilities in China, was constructed quickly. The facility started its construction on May 23, 2024, and it was hailed as Tesla’s first entry storage project outside the United States. Less than a year later, on February 11, 2025, the Shanghai Megafactory officially started producing Megapack batteries. And by March 21, 2025, Tesla China noted that it had shipped the first batch of Megapack batteries from the Shanghai plant to foreign markets.

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While the Shanghai Megafactory is still not at the same level of output as Tesla’s Lathrop Megafactory, which produces about 10,000 Megapacks per year, its ramp seems to be quite steady and quick. It would then not be surprising if Tesla China announces the Shanghai Megafactory’s 2,000th Megapack milestone in the coming months.

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